如果历史重演，比特币（BTC）可能会在这段时间内达到周期高点：加密货币分析师

在新的策略会议中，加密货币交易员 Rekt Capital 告诉他在社交媒体平台 X 上的 481200 名关注者，市值最高的加密资产往往会在减半事件后 518546 天达到峰值

A popular crypto analyst has shared his analysis on when Bitcoin (BTC) might reach its cycle high, assuming history were to repeat itself.

一位受欢迎的加密货币分析师分享了他对比特币（BTC）何时可能达到周期高点的分析，假设历史会重演。

During a recent strategy session, crypto trader Rekt Capital shared his analysis with his 481,200 followers on the social media platform X, highlighting that the top crypto asset by market cap tends to peak 518-546 days following its halving event, which occurs in April every four years.

在最近的一次策略会议上，加密货币交易商 Rekt Capital 在社交媒体平台 X 上与他的 481,200 名关注者分享了他的分析，强调市值最高的加密资产往往会在减半事件后 518-546 天达到峰值，减半事件发生在每年 4 月。四年。

“In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 518 days after the halving. In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days after the halving.

“在2015-2017年周期中，比特币在减半后518天达到顶峰。在2019-2021周期中，比特币在减半后546天达到顶峰。

If history repeats and the next bull market peak occurs 518-546 days after the halving… That would mean Bitcoin could peak in this cycle in mid-September or mid-October 2025.”

如果历史重演，下一个牛市峰值出现在减半后的 518-546 天……这意味着比特币可能会在 2025 年 9 月中旬或 10 月中旬在这个周期中达到峰值。”

However, Rekt Capital notes that due to the recent crypto market crash, the crypto king’s rate of acceleration has fallen drastically.

然而，Rekt Capital 指出，由于最近的加密市场崩盘，加密王的加速率大幅下降。

“Earlier this year, Bitcoin was accelerating in this cycle by 260 days. Currently however, thanks to this over 3-month consolidation, this rate of acceleration has drastically dropped and is now approximately 150 days.

“今年早些时候，比特币的周期加速了 260 天。然而目前，由于这超过 3 个月的整合，这一加速率已大幅下降，现在约为 150 天。

The longer Bitcoin consolidates after the halving, the better it will be for resynchronizing this current cycle with the traditional halving cycle.”

比特币在减半后整合的时间越长，就越有利于当前周期与传统减半周期的重新同步。”

The trader goes on to argue that BTC has likely bottomed out by comparing all BTC pullbacks since February 2023.

该交易员接着认为，通过比较自 2023 年 2 月以来的所有 BTC 回调，BTC 可能已经触底。

“Here is a list of all Bitcoin pullbacks dating to the bear market bottom of 2022:

“以下是自 2022 年熊市底部以来所有比特币回调的列表：

Therefore this current pullback is almost an average -22% correction.”

因此，当前的回调几乎是平均-22% 的修正。”

Bitcoin is trading at $56,521 at the time of writing, down 2.6% over the last 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 56,521 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 2.6%。