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在加密货币投资的世界中,比特币(BTC)从摩根大通(JPMorgan)到方舟投资(Ark Invest),所有人都表现出乐观的数据。
Wall Street financial institutions and native crypto companies are starting to adjust their price forecasts for Bitcoin (BTC) as the cryptocurrency continues its bull run.
随着加密货币继续进行公牛,华尔街金融机构和土著加密公司开始调整其比特币(BTC)的价格预测。
According to JPMorgan, they expect Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $110,000 by the end of 2025. Standard Chartered has an even higher target of $150,000 for BTC.
据摩根大通(JPMorgan)称,他们预计比特币(BTC)到2025年底将达到110,000美元。标准包机的BTC目标更高150,000美元。
Cathie Wood, the CEO of Ark Invest, has also implied the possibility of Bitcoin (BTC) reaching $200,000 in this cycle.
ARK Invest的首席执行官Cathie Wood还暗示了比特币(BTC)在此周期中达到200,000美元的可能性。
With these mixed predictions, investors and analysts are monitoring various indicators to assess how far Bitcoin (BTC) can go.
有了这些混合的预测,投资者和分析师正在监视各种指标,以评估比特币(BTC)的发展。
The general consensus among analysts is that a figure of between $120,000 and $160,000 seems more realistic, with a possible peak of between $140,000 and $150,000 if market conditions remain largely favorable.
分析师之间的普遍共识是,如果市场条件在很大程度上有利,则在120,000至160,000美元之间的数字似乎更现实,可能的高峰在140,000美元至150,000美元之间。
On-Chain Signals Point to Continued Strength
链链信号指向持续的力量
On the on-chain side, long-term holders of Bitcoin (BTC) are slowly starting to distribute their assets, but it is still moderate compared to the previous peak.
在链侧,比特币(BTC)的长期持有人正在慢慢开始分配其资产,但与以前的峰相比,它仍然是温和的。
The Realized Cap HODL Waves metric shows that coins that are 3-6 months old are seeing an increase, which could indicate some selling pressure.
实现的帽子hodl波指标表明,3-6个月大的硬币正在增加,这可能表明销售压力。
Additionally, the MVRV Z-Score stands at 4.3, which is still below the threshold that was considered overheated at the previous peak of the cycle.
此外,MVRV Z分数为4.3,仍低于在循环的前一个峰值中被认为过热的阈值。
In technical analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) has now broken out of the consolidation range, signaling that the next leg up has begun.
在技术分析中,比特币(BTC)现在已经从整合范围中崩溃,表明下一条腿已经开始。
Fibonacci extension levels place the 1,618 extension near $128,000. Models from CoinCodex even suggest that Bitcoin (BTC) could rise to $151,000 by November 2025.
斐波那契的扩展水平将1,618延长量接近$ 128,000。 Concodex的模型甚至表明,到2025年11月,比特币(BTC)可能会上升至151,000美元。
Macro Conditions Beneficical For BTC
宏观条件对BTC有利
On the macro front, it is expected that the US Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates this year, which will benefit risky assets like Bitcoin (BTC).
在宏观方面,预计美国美联储今年将开始降低利率,这将使像比特币(BTC)这样的风险资产受益。
The recent surge in gold prices to $2,550 per ounce has also renewed the narrative of Bitcoin (BTC) as “digital gold”.
最近的黄金价格上涨至每盎司2,550美元,还将比特币(BTC)的叙述更新为“数字黄金”。
However, some risks to watch out for include a potential reversal of ETF fund flows or any unexpected regulatory crackdowns.
但是,要注意的一些风险包括潜在的逆转ETF基金流量或任何意外的监管镇压。
Sentiments from crypto Twitter and traders also show optimism, with suggestions that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach between $135,000 and $160,000.
Crypto Twitter和Traders的观点也表现出乐观,建议比特币(BTC)可以达到135,000美元至160,000美元。
However, derivatives data shows signs of overheated leverage that could trigger liquidation if there is a sharp market downturn.
但是,衍生品数据显示出过热杠杆作用的迹象,如果市场急剧下滑,可能会触发清算。
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