比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC/USDT追溯低于$ 100,000，但在宣布美国 - 中国贸易协定之后，标准普尔500指数（SPX）和美元指数（DXY）急剧上升。

比特币（BTC）已经开始了新的一周，谨慎地开始了103,000美元以下，但是在宣布美国 - 中国贸易协定之后，标准普尔500指数（SPX）和美元指数（DXY）急剧上升。原因之一可能是其他资产试图赶上比特币，而美元的急剧集会可能会在短期内充当比特币的逆风。

Bitcoin price slipped on Monday, but the S&P 500 Index and the US Dollar Index rose sharply following the announcement of the US-China trade agreement.

比特币价格在周一下跌，但在宣布美国 - 中国贸易协定之后，标准普尔500指数和美元指数急剧上升。

One of the reasons could be that other assets are trying to play catch up with Bitcoin, and the sharp rally in the US dollar may be acting as a headwind for Bitcoin in the near term.

原因之一可能是其他资产试图赶上比特币，而美元的急剧集会在短期内可能会成为比特币的逆风。

Bitwise European Head of Research André Dragosch said in a post on X that the firm’s proprietary indicator has reached its highest level since 2024.

欧洲研究负责人安德烈·德拉格斯（AndréDragosch）在X上的一篇文章中说，该公司的专有指标已达到自2024年以来的最高水平。

Historically, high levels of the indicator have resulted in a short-term correction or sideways price action.

从历史上看，高水平的指标导致了短期校正或侧向价格行动。

The short-term uncertainty has not stopped the long-term bulls from adding more Bitcoin to their portfolio.

短期不确定性并没有阻止长期的公牛在其投资组合中增加更多比特币。

Michael Saylor’s Strategy has acquired 13,390 Bitcoin at an average price of $99,856 between May 5 and May 11. The latest purchase has boosted the firm’s haul to 568,840 Bitcoin.

迈克尔·赛勒（Michael Saylor）的策略在5月5日至5月11日之间以99,856美元的平均价格收购了13,390个比特币。最新的购买使该公司的运输量增加到568,840比特币。

Crucial Bitcoin, altcoin support, resistance levels to watch

至关重要的比特币，Altcoin支持，要观看的阻力水平

The S&P 500 Index gapped up sharply on Friday and rose above the stiff overhead resistance at 5,800.

标准普尔500指数在周五急剧上升，并以5,800的高度高架阻力上升。

Time is running out for the bears. If they want to prevent the upside, they will have to fiercely defend the 5,800 level and quickly drag the price below the 20-day exponential moving average (5,570). If they manage to do that, the index could start a deeper correction toward 5,400.

熊的时间耗尽。如果他们想防止上升空间，他们将不得不强烈地捍卫5,800水平，并迅速将价格拖到20天的指数移动平均水平以下（5,570）。如果他们设法这样做，则该指数可以开始更深入地更正5,400。

Instead, if the price closes above 5,800, the up move may continue toward the 6,000 level. There could be a minor halt at 6,000, but if the bulls prevail, the index could retest the all-time high at 6,147.

取而代之的是，如果价格收盘超过5,800，则UP移动可能会持续到6,000级。可能会在6,000时停止，但如果公牛占上风，则指数可能会重新测试6,147的历史最高点。

US Dollar Index breached the 20-day EMA (100.42) on May 8, indicating that the bears are losing their grip.

美元指数违反了5月8日的20天EMA（100.42），表明熊队正在失去抓地力。

Sellers tried to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA on May 9, but the bulls held their ground. The index has reached the 50-day simple moving average (102.08), which is expected to behave as resistance.

卖方试图将价格降低到5月9日的20天EMA以下，但公牛队占据了自己的地面。该指数已达到50天简单的移动平均线（102.08），预计将其表现为电阻。

If the price turns down from the 50-day SMA but finds support at the 20-day EMA, it suggests a positive sentiment. That increases the likelihood of a rally to 103.54 and thereafter to 104.68.

如果价格从50天的SMA降低，但在20天EMA的支持中获得了支持，则表明是积极的情绪。这将集会的可能性增加到103.54，然后再增加到104.68。

Bitcoin turned down from $105,819, signaling that the bears remain active at higher levels.

比特币从$ 105,819降低，表明熊在较高水平上保持活跃。

The first support on the downside is at $100,000, and below that, the 20-day EMA ($97,238). If the price rebounds off the support zone, the bulls will again try to kick the BTC/USDT pair above $109,588. If they can pull it off, the pair could ascend to $130,000.

不利的首要支持为100,000美元，低于20天的EMA（97,238美元）。如果价格从支持区反弹，公牛队将再次尝试将BTC/USDT对以109,588美元的价格发挥作用。如果他们能够将其取消，两人可以上升至130,000美元。

Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it signals that buyers are booking profits at higher levels. That opens the doors for a fall to $93,000 and then to the 50-day SMA ($89,302).

相反，如果价格降低并在20天的EMA以下中断，则表明买家正在预订更高级别的利润。这使门跌至93,000美元，然后到50天的SMA（89,302美元）。

Ether bulls are trying to sustain the price above $2,550, but the bears have kept up the selling pressure.

以太公牛试图将价格维持在2,550美元以上，但熊队持续了销售压力。

If the price skids below $2,435, the ETH/USDT pair may fall to $2,320. If the price rebounds off $2,320, the bulls will try to resume the up move. There is resistance at $2,850, but if it is crossed, the pair could reach $3,000.

如果价格低于2,435美元，ETH/USDT对可能会降至2,320美元。如果价格回弹2,320美元，公牛队将尝试恢复上升。电阻为$ 2,850，但如果越过，这对夫妇可能会达到3,000美元。

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below $2,320, it suggests that the bulls are booking profits. The pair may drop to the breakout level of $2,111, which is likely to act as support.

与此假设相反，如果价格降低并在2,320美元以下中断，这表明公牛正在预订利润。这对夫妇可能会跌至2,111美元的突破水平，这很可能充当支持。

XRP broke above the resistance line on May 10, and the bulls successfully held the retest of the breakout level on May 11.

5月10日，XRP在阻力线上闯入，公牛队在5月11日成功进行了突破级别的重新测试。

The bulls have strengthened their position by pushing the price above the $2.50 resistance. There is minor resistance at $2.65, but if the level is scaled, the rally could reach $3. Such a move signals a potential trend change.

公牛通过将价格推高到2.50美元的电阻来增强了自己的位置。 $ 2.65的电阻较小，但是如果缩放水平，则会达到3美元。这样的举动标志着潜在的趋势变化。

Alternatively, if the price turns down sharply from $2.65 and breaks below the 20-day EMA ($2.27), it signals a possible range formation in the near term. The XRP/USDT pair could swing between $

另外，如果价格从2.65美元急剧下降，并且突破了20天EMA（2.27美元），则标志着在短期内可能形成的范围形成。 XRP/USDT对可以在$之间摆动