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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格预测:BTC是否会突破100,000美元?

2025/05/08 13:15

比特币的多时间框架图表继续反映出看涨的力量,尤其是在每日图表上,资产在4月中旬开始的强劲上升趋势。

比特币(BTC)价格预测:BTC是否会突破100,000美元?

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered around $97K on August 24 as traders assessed whether new all-time highs were in sight this week.

由于交易员评估了本周是否有新的历史高点,比特币(BTC)的价格在8月24日徘徊在9.7万美元左右。

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Structure favors bulls, but volume poses questions

BTC/USD 1小时蜡烛图(BITSTAMP)。结构有利于公牛,但音量提出了问题

The largest cryptocurrency dropped around $1,000 from session highs of $97,911 to trade at $97,030 at press time. It had risen steadily overnight, meeting resistance at the apex of a Fibonacci structure on the daily chart.

最大的加密货币从会议高点的97,911美元下降了约1,000美元,在发稿时以97,030美元的价格交易。它在一夜之间稳步上升,在每日图表上的斐波那契结构的顶点处遇到了阻力。

Nonetheless, the overall structure remained bullish, with support now gathering around $95,500, having acted as resistance previously. A break above $97,938 would also open up the way to new highs and the psychological $100,000 price point.

尽管如此,总体结构仍然看涨,现在支持的支撑量约为95,500美元,此前曾充当阻力。超过$ 97,938的休息也将为新高点和心理$ 100,000的价格开辟道路。

"On lower timeframes, we can see that bitcoin is currently engaged in a micro-consolidation phase immediately below a crucial resistance level, rendering it a preferred zone for setting up buy trades on minor dips," stated cryptocurrency analysis platform Tipranks in its latest note on Friday.

加密货币分析平台Tipranks在周五的最新注释中说:“在较低的时间范围内,我们可以看到比特币目前正处于关键阻力水平以下的微固结阶段,这使其成为在周五的最新笔记中的CryptoCurrency Platform Platform Platform Platform Platform Tipranks Tipranks的最新注释。

"The candle patterns are displaying small bodies with large lower wicks, indicating that buyers are actively stepping in whenever the price experiences a decline. However, the volume is gradually decreasing, hinting at either short-term indecision or momentum exhaustion."

“蜡烛模式显示出具有较大较低灯芯的小物体,表明买家每当价格下降时都会积极介入。但是,该数量逐渐减少,暗示了短期犹豫不决或动量疲惫。”

Bitcoin price action in a snapshot:

快照中的比特币价格动作:

The threat of a double top also appeared on the four-hour chart, where a decisive move lower would be needed to confirm a bearish shift.

双顶部的威胁也出现在四小时的图表上,在该图表中,必须降低决定性的移动以确认看跌的转变。

"On the 4H chart, we can observe a V-shaped recovery by price following a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at roughly $93,376, showcasing a strong rebound," Tipranks continued.

Tipranks继续说:“在4H图表上,我们可以在回调到61.8%的斐波那契回撤水平上以大约93,376美元的价格观察到V形回收率。”

"This recovery has been accompanied by a surge in bullish candles and increasing volume, signaling renewed interest from buyers. As a result, price is currently testing the prior highs.

“这种复苏伴随着看涨蜡烛和数量不断增加的激增,这表明了买家的兴趣。因此,价格目前正在测试先前的高点。

"A breakout above this zone would confirm bullish continuation, while failure to breach it could lead to the formation of a potential double top, especially if accompanied by a spike in sell-side volume.

“在该区域上方的突破将证实看涨的延续,而未能突破可能会导致潜在的双顶部形成,特别是如果伴随着卖出销售量的飙升。

"Support has firmed around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at roughly $95,500, aligning with previous resistance levels that are now acting as a launchpad for higher price action."

“支持已经确定了50%的斐波那契回波水平,约为95,500美元,与以前的电阻水平保持一致,这些电阻现在正充当更高价格行动的发射台。”

Relative Strength Index (RSI) on Bitstamp BTC/USD chart by Trading ViewOptimism despite lukewarm technical picture

Bitstamp BTC/USD图表上的相对强度指数(RSI)通过交易图表,尽管不冷不热技术图片

Oscillators were largely displaying neutrality, with the relative strength index (RSI), Stochastic, commodity channel index (CCI), average directional index (ADX) and Awesome oscillator all indicating balanced momentum conditions.

振荡器在很大程度上表现出中立性,具有相对强度指数(RSI),随机,商品通道指数(CCI),平均方向指数(ADX)和出色的振荡器,均表示平衡动量条件。

The momentum indicator (10) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level (12, 26), meanwhile, both signaled buys, highlighting the underlying bullish sentiment. This convergence of neutral and positive signals often precedes breakout scenarios, lending further credence to a potential upside resolution.

与此同时,动量指标(10)和移动平均收敛差异(MACD)水平(12,26),与此同时,这两个都表示购买,突出了潜在的看涨情绪。中性和积极信号的这种融合通常在突破场景之前,将进一步的信誉带入潜在的上行分辨率。

The moving average suite remained uniformly bullish throughout. All key exponential moving averages (EMAs) and simple moving averages (SMAs) across the 10, 20, 30, 50, 100 and 200-period windows signaled positive signals, with current price levels well above their respective trend baselines. This broad alignment suggests robust market strength and a supportive structure for continued upward movement, especially in the absence of a breakdown below short-term moving averages.

移动的平均套件在整个过程中仍然统一看涨。在10、20、20、30、50、100和200段窗口中,所有关键的指数移动平均值(EMA)和简单的移动平均值(SMA)表示正信号,当前价格水平远高于其各自的趋势基线。这种广泛的一致性表明了强大的市场实力和持续向上移动的支持结构,尤其是在短期移动平均水平以下的分解的情况下。

Fibonacci retracement levels on the daily chart, meanwhile, showed key retracement zones between $92,391 and $89,595 offering potential healthy pullback structures. On the four-hour timeframe, the recent bounce from the 61.8% retracement level ($95,118) supported a continuation toward $98,000. Finally, on the one-hour chart, consolidation occurred between the 23.6% and 38.2% retracement levels, offering a foundation for bullish setups on minor dips. Collectively, these levels defined clear zones for entries, stop-losses and profit-taking strategies.

与此同时,每日图表上的斐波那契回撤水平显示,关键回撤区在92,391美元至89,595美元之间,提供潜在的健康回调结构。在四个小时的时间范围内,最近从61.8%的回撤水平(95,118美元)的反弹支持了延续到98,000美元的延续。最后,在一个小时的图表上,合并发生在23.6%至38.2%的回收水平之间,为单调的小倾角提供了基础。总的来说,这些级别为参赛者,停止损失和获利策略定义了清晰的区域。

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