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在公牛队未能在5月14日至15年关闭105,000美元以上,今天的比特币价格徘徊在102,400美元左右。
The Bitcoin price today is hovering near $102,400 after bulls failed to close above the $105,000 level on May 14–15. While the broader trend remains bullish, short-term indicators show fading momentum after a multi-week rally that began from $74,000. A rejection from key resistance has left BTC vulnerable to a pullback as traders eye intraday support zones.
在公牛队未能在5月14日至15年关闭105,000美元以上,今天的比特币价格徘徊在102,400美元左右。尽管更广泛的趋势仍然看涨,但短期指标表明,经过多周的集会,从74,000美元开始。关键阻力的拒绝使BTC很容易受到回调,因为交易者眼内支持区。
What’s Happening with Bitcoin’s Price?
比特币的价格发生了什么?
After a sharp rise from $78,000 to $105,700, Bitcoin price action has entered a cooling phase. The 4-hour chart shows BTC forming a narrowing triangle structure with lower highs and horizontal support near $100,800. This range-bound behavior indicates market indecision. At the time of writing, price is testing the lower boundary of this formation.
在从78,000美元急剧上升到105,700美元之后,比特币价格行动进入了冷却阶段。 4小时的图表显示了BTC形成一个狭窄的三角形结构,高较低,水平支撑接近100,800美元。这种范围的行为表明市场犹豫不决。在撰写本文时,价格正在测试该构成的下边界。
On the weekly Fibonacci chart, BTC rejected from the 0.786 retracement level at $101,970 and is struggling to reclaim the 1.0 Fib at $109,396, a strong historical resistance. If BTC fails to break above this zone, it could enter a broader retracement phase toward the 0.618 level at $96,556.
在每周的斐波那契图表上,BTC从0.786的回撤水平上拒绝了101,970美元,并正在努力将1.0 fib的1.0 fib以109,396美元的价格收回,这是一种强烈的历史抵抗。如果BTC未能超过该区域,则它可以进入更广泛的回回阶段,朝着0.618级别的水平,$ 96,556。
Bitcoin Price Faces Intraday Pressure Near Key Support
比特币价格面临盘中压力附近的关键支持
Shifting to the 30-minute chart, BTC is slipping below the key short-term support at $102,800. The RSI stands at 31.4, entering oversold territory, while MACD has turned sharply negative with a widening histogram, suggesting strong short-term downside pressure.
转移到30分钟的图表时,BTC以102,800美元的价格滑到了关键的短期支持以下。 RSI为31.4,进入超售区域,而MACD的直方图扩大,表明较大的短期下行压力变化。
A close below $102,000 could open a flush toward $100,800, which aligns with the lower trendline of the current 4-hour triangle. This level has acted as dynamic support since May 10 and remains pivotal for holding the structure.
低于$ 102,000的近低于$的$ 100,800可以打开100,800美元,这与当前4小时三角形的趋势线较低。自5月10日以来,该级别一直是动态支持,并且仍然是保持结构的关键。
Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are beginning to narrow, indicating reduced Bitcoin price volatility. Price is clinging to the lower Bollinger Band around $101,742, which increases the probability of a rebound if buyers step in.
4小时图表上的Bollinger乐队开始缩小,表明比特币价格波动降低。价格紧紧抓住下Bollinger乐队的价格约为101,742美元,如果买家介入,则增加了反弹的可能性。
Why Bitcoin Price Going Down Today?
为什么今天的比特币价格下跌?
The latest Bitcoin price update shows selling pressure after BTC failed to break through the upper resistance band at $105,000. The rejection from the high created a short-term bearish divergence on the RSI and a MACD crossover to the downside on the 30-minute chart.
最新的比特币价格更新表明,BTC未能以105,000美元的价格突破上限频段后出售压力。高中的拒绝在RSI上产生了短期的看跌差异,并在30分钟图表上脱颖而出。
This might be why Bitcoin price is going down today, as the inability to continue the ascent has exhausted the earlier bullish momentum.
这可能就是为什么比特币价格今天下跌的原因,因为无法继续上升的努力耗尽了较早的看涨势头。
Unless the $104,000–$105,500 zone is breached decisively, BTC could remain stuck in a short-term correction range.
除非$ 104,000- $ 105,500的区域被果断地违反,否则BTC可能仍处于短期校正范围内。
Will Bitcoin Price Hold the $102K Support or Break Lower?
比特币价格会持有$ 102K的支持还是降低打破?
On the daily chart, BTC remains above its long-term trend breakout from April. The 20 EMA sits at $103,260, acting as immediate resistance. The 50 EMA below at $101,904 coincides with the key support band. As long as Bitcoin price remains above this dynamic zone, bulls have a fighting chance.
在每日图表上,BTC从4月起仍超出其长期趋势突破。 20 EMA的价格为103,260美元,充当立即抵抗。以下50美元的EMA价格为101,904美元,与Key Support Band一致。只要比特币价格保持在这个动态区域之上,公牛就有一个战斗的机会。
The weekly structure still favors buyers, but a failure to defend $100,800 may push BTC into a deeper correction toward $96,500–$98,000, which aligns with multiple Fibonacci retracements and horizontal support.
每周的结构仍然有利于买家,但是未能捍卫100,800美元的$ 100,800可能会将BTC推向更深入的更正,而$ 96,500- $ 98,000,这与多次斐波那契回曲和水平支撑相吻合。
On the flip side, if BTC breaks back above $104,000 with volume, the $105,700 high could be retested, and a move toward $107,000 and the 1.0 Fibonacci extension becomes likely.
另一方面,如果BTC在数量上折回104,000美元以上,则可以重新测试105,700美元的高价,并且朝107,000美元的搬迁和1.0 fibonacci的扩展名可能会变成。
Bitcoin Price Forecast Table for May 16
比特币价格预测表5月16日
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