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技术指标表明,这种首次出现的加密货币正在闪烁一系列令人担忧的信号,表明其价值将大幅下跌。

Bitcoin price dropped as low as $59,700 on some exchanges during the last 24 hours, marking the first time that BTC price has slipped below the $60,000 level since August 2.
过去24小时内,部分交易所的比特币价格跌至59,700美元,这是自8月2日以来比特币价格首次跌破60,000美元的水平。
The price drop comes amid technical indicators that are suggesting a significant decline in value for the flagship cryptocurrency.
价格下跌之际,技术指标表明旗舰加密货币的价值大幅下跌。
Crypto trading expert Alan Santana noted in a TradingView post on August 4 that Bitcoin is likely to see much lower price levels before it can expect new highs or substantial growth.
加密货币交易专家 Alan Santana 在 8 月 4 日的 TradingView 帖子中指出,比特币的价格水平可能会大幅降低,然后才有望创下新高或大幅增长。
One of Santana's most alarming indicators is the bearish divergence on Bitcoin's weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI has made a lower high in 2024 than in 2021, despite Bitcoin's price showing higher highs during the same period.
桑塔纳最令人担忧的指标之一是比特币每周相对强度指数(RSI)的看跌背离。尽管比特币价格在同一时期出现了更高的高点,但 RSI 在 2024 年创下的高点低于 2021 年。
This divergence between price action and RSI is a classic bearish signal, suggesting that the underlying momentum driving Bitcoin's price upward has weakened considerably.
价格走势与 RSI 之间的背离是一个典型的看跌信号,表明推动比特币价格上涨的潜在动力已大大减弱。
Adding to the bearish outlook, Bitcoin's weekly RSI is trending downward, with a reading of 50.6.
比特币的每周 RSI 呈下降趋势,读数为 50.6,这进一步加剧了看跌前景。
This is significant as it indicates that the long-term RSI is about to turn bearish for the first time since August 2023.
这意义重大,因为它表明长期 RSI 即将自 2023 年 8 月以来首次转为看跌。
More notably, coming from a major high, this bearish shift in the RSI is the first since November 2021. According to the expert, such a development typically precedes a prolonged downturn, reflecting a loss of bullish momentum and the potential for substantial price declines.
更值得注意的是,RSI 从主要高点开始出现看跌转变,这是自 2021 年 11 月以来的首次。专家表示,这种发展通常先于长期低迷,反映出看涨势头的丧失和价格大幅下跌的可能性。
“Doom signal? It is only doom if you are not prepared. <…> On top of the bearish divergence we have Bitcoin's weekly RSI trending full down with a reading of 50.6. <…> This, and other signals, is telling us that there is room for lower prices; much lower, before we experience new highs and boom growth,” the expert stated.
“末日信号?如果你没有做好准备,那只会是厄运。 <...> 除了看跌背离之外,比特币的每周 RSI 呈全面下跌趋势,读数为 50.6。 <...> 这个信号和其他信号告诉我们,价格还有下降的空间;在我们经历新高和繁荣增长之前,价格要低得多,”专家表示。
Bitcoin price key levels to watch
值得关注的比特币价格关键水平
At the moment, Bitcoin's price appears to form a descending triangle pattern, a bearish formation that often precedes further declines. Critical support levels to watch include the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level around $37,795 and the 200-week moving average, which could act as potential downside targets.
目前,比特币的价格似乎形成了下降三角形模式,这是一种通常在进一步下跌之前出现的看跌形态。值得关注的关键支撑位包括 37,795 美元附近的 0.618 斐波那契回撤位和 200 周移动平均线,这可能是潜在的下行目标。
Additionally, decreasing volume on upward price movements suggests weakening buying interest, adding to the bearish case.
此外,价格上涨导致成交量减少表明购买兴趣减弱,加剧了看跌的情况。
Meanwhile, another analyst, Rekt Capital, noted in an X post on August 3 that the current Bitcoin RSI readings will likely dictate the extent of additional downside.
与此同时,另一位分析师 Rekt Capital 在 8 月 3 日的 X 帖子中指出,当前的比特币 RSI 读数可能会决定额外下行的程度。
“Bitcoin is getting really close to this RSI Higher Low trendline. It will dictate the extent of additional downside,” the expert said.
“比特币正在非常接近 RSI 较高低点趋势线。这将决定额外下行的程度,”专家表示。
It's worth noting that Bitcoin also took a hit following troubling signs in the United States economy. Investors will be looking at strategies implemented by the Federal Reserve to rescue the economy, as this will dictate Bitcoin's trajectory.
值得注意的是,在美国经济出现令人不安的迹象后,比特币也受到了打击。投资者将关注美联储为拯救经济而实施的策略,因为这将决定比特币的走势。
Bitcoin price analysis
比特币价格分析
At press time, Bitcoin price is trading at $60,868, having plunged 1.5% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin is down over 10%.
截至发稿时,比特币价格为 60,868 美元,在过去 24 小时内暴跌 1.5%。从每周的时间范围来看,比特币下跌了 10% 以上。
Overall, Bitcoin looks bearish, and the bulls' ability to sustain the price above the $60,000 support will be key to reducing any further losses.
总体而言,比特币看起来看跌,多头将价格维持在 60,000 美元支撑位之上的能力将是减少进一步损失的关键。
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