比特币（BTC）的价格超过其关键阻力水平，交易高于$ 96,000

比特币（BTC）的价格正高于其关键阻力水平，在前一天的轻度回调之后，周四撰写本文时的交易高于96,000美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is rising after a mild pullback on Tuesday. The decline came as US GDP data showed a contraction of 0.3% in Q1, spurring recession fears.

比特币（BTC）的价格在周二轻度回调后上涨。下降是因为美国GDP数据显示第1季度收缩为0.3％，这激发了衰退的担忧。

Bitcoin price rebounds to reclaim $96K following mild pullback

轻度回调后，比特币价格篮板将获得$ 96K

Bitcoin (BTC) price has risen again to reclaim the $96,000 level, recovering from a brief pullback on Tuesday. This mild correction in Bitcoin’s price was primarily caused by the US GDP data released on Tuesday.

比特币（BTC）的价格再次上涨，以收回96,000美元的水平，从周二的短暂回调中恢复过来。比特币价格的轻度更正主要是由周二发布的美国GDP数据引起的。

The world’s largest economy experienced an unexpected contraction in the first quarter of 2023, with output falling at an annualized pace of 0.3%. This went against economists’ predictions of a 0.4% growth and marked the first instance of a decline since early 2022.

全球最大的经济体在2023年第一季度出现了意外的收缩，产出的年化速度为0.3％。这违背了经济学家对增长0.4％的预测，并标志着自2022年初以来下降的第一例。

The unexpected contraction in GDP came alongside inflation data exceeding forecasts, as shown by the PCE Price Index, which rose 3.7% compared to the expected 3.1%. Moreover, retail sales also fell by 0.7%, displaying a weaker-than-expected performance.

如PCE价格指数所示，GDP中意外的收缩与通货膨胀数据超过预测相比，该预期增长了3.7％，而预期的3.1％。此外，零售销售额也下降了0.7％，表现出比预期的较弱。

These figures suggest that the US economy might be entering a stage of stagflation – when the economy is characterized by stagnant growth and high inflation. This scenario typically occurs during periods of geopolitical instability or following a major economic crisis.

这些数字表明，当经济以停滞的增长和高通货膨胀为特征时，美国经济可能会进入停滞阶段。这种情况通常发生在地缘政治不稳定时期或发生重大经济危机之后。

Stagflation fears will likely drive a risk-off sentiment in the market, which does not bode well for risky assets such as Bitcoin. Additionally, high inflation reduces retail investor participation, and the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) reluctance to cut rates immediately adds to the headwinds.

停滞的担忧可能会引起市场上的冒险情绪，这对于像比特币这样的风险资产而言并不是很好。此外，高通货膨胀减少了散户投资者的参与，美国美联储（美联储）不愿降低利率立即增加了逆风。

Bitcoin price chart

比特币价格图

Meanwhile, institutional demand for Bitcoin declined slightly on Wednesday after the cryptocurrency faced difficulties breaking through the key resistance level.

同时，在加密货币遇到的困难爆发了关键阻力水平之后，周三对比特币的机构需求略有下降。

According to the data from SoSoValue shown below, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a mild outflow of $56.23 million on Tuesday. This marks a small setback from the prior day’s inflows, breaking a continuous streak since April 17.

根据下面所示的Sosovalue的数据，美国现货比特币ETF在周二的温和流出量为5623万美元。这标志着去年流入的小挫折，自4月17日以来打破了连续的连续纪录。

However, these outflows are lower than those seen during February, which caused BTC prices to fall sharply. Traders should be cautious if the outflow levels match those of February as this could weigh on BTC price further.

但是，这些流出低于2月份的流出，这导致BTC价格急剧下跌。如果流出水平与2月相匹配，则交易者应保持谨慎，因为这可能会进一步与BTC的价格更加平衡。

Some signs of optimism

一些乐观的迹象

CryptoQuant data shows that the Bitcoin supply in profit is approaching a historic euphoria threshold. Bitcoin Supply in profit refers to the percentage of BTC’s total supply that holders currently hold are in profit. A large portion of the supply in profit is generally seen as a positive sign, suggesting a strong bullish outlook and confidence among investors.

加密数据表明，利润中的比特币供应正接近历史悠久的欣快阈值。利润中的比特币供应是指持有人目前持有的BTC总供应率的百分比。通常，利润供应的很大一部分被视为一个积极信号，表明投资者的看法和信心很强。

Currently, the metric stands at above 85.8%, approaching its key level of 90%. Throughout history, when the supply in profit crossed the 90% threshold, it consistently triggered euphoric phases. However, these euphoric phases are usually short-lived and are often followed by short- to medium-term corrections.

目前，该度量标准率高于85.8％，接近其90％的关键水平。在整个历史上，当利润供应越过90％的阈值时，它始终触发欣快的阶段。但是，这些欣快的阶段通常是短暂的，通常是短时到中期校正的。

Bitcoin percentage supply in profit chart

利润图中的比特币百分比

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC traders await a decisive breakout

比特币价格预测：BTC交易者在等待决定性突破

Bitcoin price broke above its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $85,000 early last week, rallying 11.14% through Friday.

比特币的价格上周早些时候以85,000美元的价格超过其200天的指数式移动平均线（EMA），截至周五，涨势为11.14％。

However, BTC failed to close above its March high of $95,000 and remained in a tight range around this level for five days. If BTC manages to close above the $95,000 resistance on a daily basis, it could extend the rally to retest its next daily resistance at $97,000.

但是，BTC未能超过其3月的95,000美元，并在此水平近距离范围内保持五天。如果BTC每天设法超过95,000美元的电阻，则可以扩展集会以重新测试其下一个每日电阻，为97,000美元。

A successful close above this level could open the door for additional gains to reach the psychological resistance at $100,000.

超过此水平的成功接近，可以为额外的收益打开大门，以达到100,000美元的心理阻力。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is still in overbought territory, suggesting that bullish momentum remains strong. However, traders should be cautious as the chances of a pullback are high as it approaches its overbought level at 70. Another possibility is that the RSI could remain above the overbought levels and continue driving the price up.

每日图表上的相对强度指数（RSI）仍处于过多的领土上，这表明看涨的势头仍然很强。但是，交易者应保持谨慎，因为回调的机会很高，因为它接近了70岁的超买水平。另一种可能性是，RSI可以保持高于超买的水平并继续提高价格。

BTC/USDT daily chart

BTC/USDT每日图表

But if BTC fails to close above the $95,000 resistance level and faces a pullback, it could extend the decline to find support around the $90,000 psychological level. A break below this level could continue the sell-off to the next support at $85,000, which coincides with the 200-day EMA.

但是，如果BTC未能超过95,000美元的阻力水平并面临回调，则可以扩大下降，以在90,000美元的心理水平上找到支持。低于此水平的休息可能会继续向下一个支持的抛售，为85,000美元，这与200天的EMA相吻合。