加密货币分析师 TechDev 表示，在价格大幅上涨之前，比特币可能正处于熊市陷阱之中，以摆脱弱势势力

这位匿名分析师在社交媒体平台 X 上与他的 464000 名粉丝分享了一张比特币图表，表明 BTC 正在反映 2017 年的情况

Renowned crypto analyst TechDev says that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely setting up a bear trap to shake out weak hands before a strong move up in price.

著名加密货币分析师 TechDev 表示，比特币（BTC）可能会设置一个熊市陷阱，以在价格大幅上涨之前摆脱弱势。

The pseudonymous analyst tells his 464,000 followers on social media platform X that a Bitcoin chart shows BTC is echoing its 2017 pre-parabola price action after about 1,200 days of accumulation.

这位化名分析师在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉他的 464,000 名粉丝，比特币图表显示，经过约 1,200 天的积累，比特币正在呼应 2017 年抛物线前的价格走势。

TechDev’s chart also features the net unrealized profit and loss (NUPL) metric, which gauges the overall sentiment of market participants by tracking the unrealized gains and losses of all coins in circulation.

TechDev 的图表还具有未实现净损益（NUPL）指标，该指标通过跟踪所有流通代币的未实现损益来衡量市场参与者的整体情绪。

According to his chart, the analyst sees Bitcoin’s NUPL moving through four distinct phases in a bull cycle: hope, optimism, belief and euphoria. The analyst suggests that Bitcoin is in the belief stage where the biggest rallies of the bull run occur.

根据他的图表，分析师认为比特币的 NUPL 在牛市周期中经历了四个不同的阶段：希望、乐观、信念和欣快感。分析师表示，比特币正处于牛市最大反弹发生的信念阶段。

“Bitcoin.”

“比特币。”

TechDev shares another chart showing what he believes are the 16 different stages of the Bitcoin market cycle.

TechDev 分享了另一张图表，显示了他认为的比特币市场周期的 16 个不同阶段。

He believes that BTC is currently in the “bear trap” phase where a “correction fed by overvaluation concerns and pre-mature fears that the cycle has ended” brings prices down, just before a strong expansion into the euphoria zone.

他认为，比特币目前正处于“熊市陷阱”阶段，“高估担忧和对周期结束的过早担忧引发的修正”导致价格下跌，而就在强劲扩张进入欣快区域之前。

TechDev also examines two indicators that he says have a strong track record at calling the beginning and end of previous Bitcoin blow-off tops: the relative strength index (RSI) and the Chaiken Money Flow (CMF) index. The RSI is a momentum indicator while the CMF is a volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a given period.

TechDev 还研究了两个指标，他说这两个指标在判断之前比特币爆发顶部的开始和结束方面有着良好的记录：相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和柴肯资金流 (CMF) 指数。 RSI 是动量指标，而 CMF 是给定时期内累积和分配的成交量加权平均值。

Says TechDev,

TechDev 表示，

“RSI calls the tops. CMF calls the blow-offs.”

“RSI 见顶。 CMF 称之为“吹响”。

Looking at the trader’s chart, he appears to be suggesting that the RSI has yet to hit a descending resistance line that signaled the end of bull markets in previous cycles. Meanwhile, the CMF has just broken above a resistance level that has previously signaled the start of major BTC rallies.

从该交易员的图表来看，他似乎暗示 RSI 尚未触及下降阻力线，该阻力线标志着先前周期牛市的结束。与此同时，CMF 刚刚突破阻力位，该阻力位此前预示着 BTC 大幅上涨的开始。

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $55,282.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 55,282 美元。

Don't Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox Check Price Action Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

不要错过任何一个节拍 – 订阅即可将电子邮件提醒直接发送到您的收件箱 查看价格行动 在 X、Facebook 和 Telegram 上关注我们 冲浪每日 Hodl Mix

Generated Image: DALLE3

生成的图像：DALLE3