比特币 (BTC) 跃升至 6.7 万美元以上，创近三个月高点

历史数据表明，当比特币流通量盈利率超过 94% 时，我们往往会因获利了结而出现抛售。

Bitcoin's (BTC) 12% rally this week may be slowing down due to profit-taking, with data showing that 5% of the circulating BTC supply is at a loss while 95% is in profit.

比特币（BTC）本周12%的涨幅可能因获利了结而放缓，数据显示，流通的BTC供应量中有5%处于亏损状态，而95%处于盈利状态。

According to Glassnode, when the percentage of the supply in profit crosses the 94% threshold, bitcoin has historically faced selling pressure.

Glassnode表示，当供应量占利润的比例超过94%的门槛时，比特币历史上就会面临抛售压力。

Long-term holders (LTHs), defined by Glassnode as those holding coins for at least 155 days, could be the ones taking profits, given their reputation for being smart traders who buy when prices are depressed and sell into a rising market. As of writing, LTHs hold only 500,000 BTC at a loss, which is a small fraction, considering they hold 14 million BTC as a cohort.

Glassnode 将长期持有者 (LTH) 定义为持有代币至少 155 天的人，他们可能会获利了结，因为他们被誉为聪明的交易者，会在价格下跌时买入，然后在市场上涨时卖出。截至撰写本文时，LTH 只持有 50 万个 BTC，处于亏损状态，考虑到他们持有 1,400 万个 BTC，这只是一个很小的比例。

On the other hand, short-term holders currently own 235,000 BTC at a loss, which marks the lowest since March during bitcoin's all-time high.

另一方面，短期持有者目前亏损 235,000 BTC，这是自 3 月份比特币历史高点以来的最低水平。

Profit-taking has already begun, with Glassnode data showing that over $11 billion in realized profit has taken place in just over a week, with $5.6 billion on Oct. 8 alone, making it the single biggest profit-taking day since May 28.

获利了结已经开始，Glassnode的数据显示，在短短一周多的时间里，已实现利润超过110亿美元，仅10月8日就实现利润56亿美元，成为自5月28日以来最大的单日获利了结日。

However, two factors that show the strength of this rally are bitcoin dominance making new cycle highs and approaching 60%, which was last seen in April 2021, and BTC remaining resilient even as the DXY index continues to climb higher, now above 103.5. The last time the DXY index was above 103 was during the yen carry trade unwind on Aug. 5, which sent bitcoin plummeting from $65,000 to $49,000 over a few days.

然而，有两个因素显示了这次反弹的强度：比特币的主导地位创造了新的周期高点并接近 60％（上次出现在 2021 年 4 月），并且即使 DXY 指数继续攀升至 103.5 以上，比特币仍然保持弹性。 DXY 指数上一次高于 103 是在 8 月 5 日日元套利交易平仓期间，导致比特币在几天内从 65,000 美元暴跌至 49,000 美元。