比特币（BTC）Golden Cross承诺另外45–60％的价格集会

比特币（BTC）可能会在5月底之前确认其每日图表上的“金十字”，这是一种技术模式，近年来发生在集会之前。

Key takeaways:

关键要点：

Bitcoin is nearing a technical pattern known as a “golden cross,” which in recent years has been followed by 45–60% price rallies.

比特币接近一种被称为“金十字”的技术模式，近年来，其价格为45-60％。

Rising M2 supply and easing trade tensions are among the macroeconomic factors that support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin.

M2供应和缓解贸易紧张局势的上升是支持看涨比特币前景的宏观经济因素之一。

However, a technical divergence and overbought conditions suggest there’s still a risk of the BTC price falling below $100,000.

但是，技术分歧和过多的条件表明，BTC价格仍有低于100,000美元的风险。

Bitcoin (BTC) is set to confirm a “golden cross” on its daily chart by the end of May, a technical pattern whose occurrences in recent years have often been followed by substantial price rallies.

比特币（BTC）设定在5月底之前确认其每日图表上的“金十字”，这是一种技术模式，近年来，其发生的情况通常是大量的价格集会。

As of May 20, the cryptocurrency's 50-day simple moving average (50-day SMA; the red wave) is closely approaching a close above its 200-day SMA (the blue wave) for the first time since October 2024, forming the golden cross.

截至5月20日，加密货币的50天简单移动平均线（50天SMA；红波）自2024年10月自2024年10月以来首次与200天SMA（蓝波）紧密接近，形成了金十字架。

The last time the SMA(50) crossed above SMA(200) in October 2023, it was followed by a 60% rally in BTC price, which also coincided with the reelection of Donald Trump as the U.S. president.

SMA（50）上次在2023年10月越过SMA（200）上方时，随后是60％的BTC价格集会，这也与唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）连任为美国总统。

Later, in October, the golden cross led to a 45% price rally amid Bitcoin ETF euphoria. A similar instance in September 2021 resulted in 50% gains for BTC after it painted the SMA crossover.

后来，在10月，金十字赛导致了比特币ETF Euphoria的45％的价格集会。在2021年9月，类似的实例在绘制了SMA跨界车后，BTC的收益为50％。

Bitcoin golden crosses can fail

比特币金十字可能会失败

It’s important to note that relying solely on past successes of indicators might not guarantee future results.

重要的是要注意，仅依靠过去的指标成功可能无法保证未来的结果。

For instance, in February 2020, a golden cross on Bitcoin’s chart was followed by a 62% price crash, mainly due to the global market rout triggered by COVID-19 lockdowns.

例如，在2020年2月，比特币图表上的黄金十字架之后是价格崩溃的62％，这主要是由于Covid-19-19锁定了全球市场溃败。

This episode highlights the need to use golden crosses in conjunction with broader technical and macroeconomic indicators while keeping in mind the possibility of unexpected events.

这一集凸显了需要将黄金十字与更广泛的技术和宏观经济指标结合在一起，同时牢记意外事件的可能性。

At present, Bitcoin's upcoming golden cross is largely being supported by fundamental trends, which biases the signal towards the bullish side.

目前，比特币即将到来的金十字架在很大程度上得到了基本趋势的支持，这偏向了对看涨方面的信号。

Factors such as the increasing M2 money supply and the easing of U.S.-China trade tensions are further fueling predictions of a new all-time high price for Bitcoin.

诸如M2货币供应量增加以及美国 - 中国贸易紧张局势的缓解等因素进一步推动了对比特币新历史上高价的预测。

What’s interesting is that Bitcoin is also now b

有趣的是比特币现在也是B