比特币（BTC）在过去一周中下降了11.3％

比特币（BTC）在过去一周中下降了11.3％，目前在写作时的交易价格低于80000美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) has slid 11.3% over the past week and is currently trading in the low $80,000 range at the time of writing. The recent decline has pushed the leading cryptocurrency below the 200-day moving average (MA), raising concerns about a deeper pullback.

比特币（BTC）在过去一周中的下滑11.3％，目前在撰写本文时的交易范围为80,000美元。最近的下降使领先的加密货币低于200天的移动平均线（MA），引起了人们对更深层次回调的担忧。

However, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a crucial price level that BTC must defend to prevent further downside.

然而，经验丰富的加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）强调了BTC必须为防止进一步弊端的重要价格水平。

According to Martinez’s X post, BTC is now trading below the 200-day MA, a key price level that has historically functioned as strong support for the top digital asset.

根据马丁内斯（Martinez）的X帖子，BTC现在的交易低于200天的MA，这是一个关键价格水平，历史上一直在对顶级数字资产的强烈支持。

For the uninitiated, the 200-day MA is a famous technical indicator that essentially represents the average closing price of BTC over the last 200 days to identify the long-term price trend.

对于初学者来说，200天的MA是一个著名的技术指标，该指标实际上代表了过去200天内BTC的平均收盘价，以确定长期价格趋势。

Historically, a sustained movement above the 200-day MA has led to long-term uptrends while a prolonged price movement below the level has often preceded further declines.

从历史上看，超过200天的MA的持续移动导致了长期上升趋势，而延长价格转移的延长水平通常会进一步下降。

BTC Must Remain Above TD Sequential’s Risk Line

BTC必须保持在TD顺序的风险线上

According to Martinez, BTC must remain above the TD Sequential indicator’s risk line at $79,280. A sustained move above this level could set the stage for a strong rebound to the upside.

根据马丁内斯（Martinez）的说法，BTC必须在TD顺序指标的风险线上保持79,280美元。持续的移动超过这一水平可能会为强劲的反弹奠定基础。

The potential for a BTC recovery was also highlighted by crypto analyst Ted. In a post on X, he pointed out that over the past two years, BTC has frequently undergone 25% to 30% corrections before rebounding to new all-time highs (ATHs).

加密分析师TED也突出了BTC恢复的潜力。在X上的一篇文章中，他指出，在过去的两年中，BTC经常经过25％至30％的纠正，然后反弹到新的历史高峰（ATHS）。

If BTC follows a similar pattern and climbs 30% from its current price, it could reach approximately $104,000 in a short period. However, broader macroeconomic factors — such as US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy — could significantly impact BTC’s trajectory.

如果BTC遵循类似的模式并比目前的价格攀升30％，则在短时间内可能达到约104,000美元。但是，更广泛的宏观经济因素（例如美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的贸易关税和美联储（美联储）货币政策）可能会严重影响BTC的轨迹。

BTC Needs To Reclaim $84,000 First

BTC需要首先收回$ 84,000

In another post on X, Martinez outlined BTC’s potential path to a new ATH, emphasizing that BTC must first reclaim $84,000 as a support level before any major upside movement. Once this milestone is secured, the digital asset could rally toward $128,000.

在X上的另一篇文章中，马丁内斯概述了BTC通往新ATH的潜在途径，强调BTC必须首先在任何重大上行移动之前首先将84,000美元作为支持水平。一旦确保了这个里程碑，数字资产就可以集结到128,000美元。

Several indicators suggest that BTC may have already found a local bottom, increasing the chances of a trend reversal. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently noted that BTC’s plunge to $78,258 could mark the cycle low.

一些指标表明，BTC可能已经找到了局部底部，增加了趋势逆转的机会。加密分析师Rekt Capital最近指出，BTC的跌至78,258美元可能标志着周期的低点。

Additionally, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has just recorded one of its largest weekly breakdowns since 2013, a move that historically signals bullish momentum for risk-on assets like BTC.

此外，美元指数（DXY）自2013年以来刚刚记录了其每周最大的崩溃之一，此举历史上标志着BTC等风险资产的势头。

At press time, BTC trades at $80,137, down 3.5% in the past 24 hours.

发稿时，BTC的交易价格为80,137美元，在过去24小时内下跌3.5％。