比特币（BTC）继续展现弹性，维持其在上升通道内的地位

尽管比特币最近错误突破支撑线，但它仍保持在上升通道内的位置，继续表现出弹性。

Bitcoin encountered support at a crucial level following a false breakout below the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the 12-hour chart. BTC could resume its uptrend if this zone holds, targeting the upper resistance line.

比特币在 12 小时图上错误突破上升通道下限后，在关键水平遇到支撑。如果该区域守住，比特币可能会恢复上行趋势，目标是上方阻力线。

After bouncing off the support line, Bitcoin encountered resistance at the ascending channel’s upper boundary. This level coincides with the Daily 55EMA, which has acted as a critical moving average throughout the year.

比特币从支撑线反弹后，在上升通道的上边界遇到阻力。该水平与每日 55EMA 重合，后者是全年的关键移动平均线。

As the year comes to a close, several patterns emerge in Bitcoin’s price action, influenced by market participants’ varying strategies during this period.

随着这一年即将结束，受市场参与者在此期间不同策略的影响，比特币的价格走势出现了多种模式。

After a strong pump from October to November, December usually brings range-bound action, marked by temporary bounces from key moving averages like the Daily 55EMA.

在 10 月至 11 月的强劲上涨之后，12 月通常会带来区间波动，其特点是从每日 55EMA 等关键移动平均线暂时反弹。

Historical trends suggest that BTC’s price movement during the end-of-year period tends to follow a familiar pattern.

历史趋势表明，年底期间比特币的价格走势往往遵循熟悉的模式。

The expectation remains that BTC could see a bottom around the Daily 100EMA in early January, estimated near the $85,000–$87,000 range. If this scenario unfolds, a subsequent rebound toward all-time highs may follow.

人们仍然预计 BTC 可能会在 1 月初在每日 100EMA 附近触底，估计在 85,000 美元至 87,000 美元区间附近。如果这种情况发生，随后可能会反弹至历史高点。

According to the analysis, investors maintaining patience through this period might find lucrative opportunities as the cycle top is not believed to be in yet.

分析认为，由于周期顶部尚未到来，在此期间保持耐心的投资者可能会发现利润丰厚的机会。

Bitcoin’s recent price action has been supported by long-term holders, who remained largely unfazed by the selling pressure from younger coins.

比特币最近的价格走势得到了长期持有者的支持，他们基本上没有受到年轻代币抛售压力的影响。

Data from CryptoQuant reveals that long-term holders played a significant role in Bitcoin’s recent price dynamics. Investors holding Bitcoin for 6–12 months were the most active sellers during the November-December rally, likely taking profits from positions accumulated earlier in the year.

CryptoQuant 的数据显示，长期持有者在比特币近期的价格动态中发挥了重要作用。在 11 月至 12 月上涨期间，持有比特币 6 至 12 个月的投资者是最活跃的卖家，他们可能从今年早些时候积累的头寸中获利。

Despite this selling pressure, BTC has managed to stay within the $90,000–$100,000 range, thanks to robust demand from younger coins. Notably, holders with assets aged over a year showed minimal selling activity, signaling confidence in higher future valuations.

尽管存在抛售压力，但由于年轻代币的强劲需求，比特币仍设法保持在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元的范围内。值得注意的是，拥有一年以上资产的持有者出售活动很少，这表明对未来更高估值的信心。

Furthermore, the Binary CDD indicator, which measures the average age of coins being sold, also supports the observation that older coins are being sold less aggressively. This aligns with the analysis that many long-term holders are holding out for more significant price milestones.

此外，衡量所售代币平均年龄的二元 CDD 指标也支持了旧代币销售不那么积极的观察结果。这与许多长期持有者坚持等待更重要的价格里程碑的分析相一致。