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今天早些时候,比特币(BTC)在发布比预期的美国消费者价格指数(CPI)数据之后,短暂攀升了110,000美元。
Earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly climbed above the $110,000 mark after the release of cooler-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The softer inflation reading strengthens the case for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin cutting interest rates – a development that could benefit risk-on assets like BTC.
今天早些时候,比特币(BTC)在发布比预期的美国消费者价格指数(CPI)数据之后,短暂攀升了110,000美元。通货膨胀率更高,加强了美国美联储(美联储)开始降低利率的情况,这一开发项目可以使BTC等风险资产受益。
U.S. Inflation Cools In May As Expected
美国通货膨胀在5月的预期会冷却
On Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the May 2025 CPI report, which showed that both the headline and core CPI readings came in below economists’ forecasts.
周五,美国劳工统计局发布了2025年5月的CPI报告,该报告表明,标题和Core CPI读数都属于经济学家的预测以下。
According to the report, headline CPI rose by just 0.1% in May, compared to the 0.2% consensus estimate. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, the headline CPI registered at 2.4%, slightly below the expected 2.5%, and up from 2.3% in April.
根据该报告,与0.2%的共识估计相比,标题CPI在5月仅增长了0.1%。同比(YOY)的基础,标题CPI注册为2.4%,略低于预期的2.5%,高于4月的2.3%。
Core CPI – which excludes volatile components like food and energy – also rose by 0.1% in May, versus the forecasted 0.3%. The April figure was 0.2%. On a YoY basis, core CPI came in at 2.8%, marginally lower than the 2.9% consensus.
CORE CPI(不包括食品和能源等挥发性组件)在5月也增长了0.1%,而预测为0.3%。 4月的数字为0.2%。根据您的基础,Core CPI的收入为2.8%,略低于2.9%的共识。
At the time of writing, BTC had risen modestly, climbing 0.6% to briefly touch the $110,000 level before retracing slightly. The data has increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in the near future.
在撰写本文时,BTC谦虚地上升了0.6%,在稍微回溯之前,短暂触摸了110,000美元的水平。数据增加了在不久的将来降低美联储率的可能性。
According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in two rate cuts in 2025, with the first expected in September and the second in December.
根据芝加哥商人交易所(CME)FedWatch工具的数据,交易员目前在2025年以两次降低速度定价,预计在9月,第二次是12月。
BTC also stands to benefit from easing geopolitical tensions. US President Donald Trump stated that a trade deal with China “is done,” further boosting investor sentiment.
BTC还可以从缓解地缘政治紧张局势中受益。美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)表示,与中国达成的贸易协定“完成了”,进一步促进了投资者的情绪。
Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted a bullish golden cross forming on Bitcoin’s weekly chart. In a post on X, the analyst shared the following chart and stated that BTC must stay above $109,000 to confirm a breakout.
同时,加密货币的加密分析师泰坦(Titan)指出,在比特币的每周图表上形成了一个看涨的金十字架。在X上的一篇文章中,分析师分享了以下图表,并指出BTC必须保持在109,000美元以上以确认突破。
A golden cross is a bullish technical pattern that occurs when a short-term moving average (MA) – typically the 50-day – crosses above a long-term MA like the 200-day. This crossover signals a potential shift in momentum and is often seen as an indicator of a sustained upward trend.
黄金十字架是一种看涨的技术模式,当短期移动平均线(通常是50天)超过200天的长期MA时,发生了这种模式。这种跨界标志着动量的潜在转变,通常被视为持续向上趋势的指标。
Macroeconomic Conditions Favor A BTC Rally
宏观经济条件有利于BTC集会
Beyond easing inflation, several macroeconomic indicators support a bullish outlook for BTC. Historically, Bitcoin tends to track M2 money supply, and a rise in global liquidity could contribute to further price appreciation.
除了缓解通货膨胀外,几个宏观经济指标还支持看涨BTC的前景。从历史上看,比特币倾向于追踪M2货币供应,全球流动性的增加可能有助于进一步的价格赞赏。
Some analysts are also drawing parallels between Bitcoin and gold. Crypto commentator Ted Pillows recently predicted that BTC could reach $130,000 by Q3 2025, mirroring gold’s performance in inflationary cycles.
一些分析师还在比特币和黄金之间提出相似之处。加密评论员泰德·枕头(Ted Pillows)最近预测,到2025年第3季度,BTC可能达到130,000美元,这反映了Gold在通货膨胀周期中的表现。
Importantly, the current Bitcoin market shows no signs of overheating. Unlike past bull runs, the current cycle lacks signs of retail-driven mania, suggesting there may still be significant upside potential. At press time, BTC trades at $109,876.
重要的是,当前的比特币市场没有过热的迹象。与过去的公牛奔跑不同,当前的周期缺乏零售驱动的躁狂症的迹象,这表明可能仍然具有巨大的上升潜力。发稿时,BTC的交易价格为109,876美元。
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