美联储降息之际比特币试图将 62,000 美元作为新的支撑位

BTC/美元 4 小时图。来源：TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) price surged to three-week highs on Sept. 19 as the United States Federal Reserve implemented a major rate cut.

9 月 19 日，随着美联储大幅降息，比特币 (BTC) 价格飙升至三周高位。

BTC/USD 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/美元 4 小时图。来源：TradingView

BTC price three-week highs as Fed begins cutting rates

美联储开始降息，比特币价格创三周高位

Fresh from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 0.5%, Bitcoin aimed to recapture the $62,000 support level on Sept. 19.

美联储决定降息 0.5% 后，比特币目标是在 9 月 19 日重新夺回 62,000 美元的支撑位。

According to Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, BTC/USD rose to local highs of $62,600 during the Asia trading session. The move came shortly after the Fed action, which marked only the third time in history that a rate-cutting cycle began with such a substantial reduction.

根据 Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的数据，比特币/美元在亚洲交易时段升至 62,600 美元的局部高点。此举是在美联储采取行动后不久采取的，这标志着历史上第三次降息周期以如此大幅的降息开始。

Short positions liquidated

空头头寸被清算

Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass showed that the bullish run liquidated short BTC positions across various exchange order books to the tune of $128 million in the 24 hours leading up to the time of writing.

监控资源 CoinGlass 的数据显示，在截至本文撰写之时的 24 小时内，看涨行情平仓了各种交易所订单簿中的 BTC 空头头寸，金额达 1.28 亿美元。

“Now we need to reduce leverage or take profits,” advised analysts on X, cautioning investors not to “get carried away.”

X 分析师建议：“现在我们需要降低杠杆或获利了结”，并警告投资者不要“得意忘形”。

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

BTC 清算热图（截图）。来源：CoinGlass

Bullish prediction: Aiming for $64,000

看涨预测：目标为 64,000 美元

Earlier predictions had suggested that Bitcoin could reach $64,000 following a 0.5% rate cut, but resistance at higher levels remained.

早些时候的预测表明，降息 0.5% 后，比特币可能会达到 64,000 美元，但更高水平的阻力仍然存在。

“Bitcoin slowly eating its way through the resistance level,” noted trader Jelle on X in his latest BTC analysis.

X 交易员 Jelle 在其最新的 BTC 分析中指出：“比特币正在慢慢突破阻力位。”

“Above $62,500, things will look a lot more constructive, and stops above $65,000 won’t be safe anymore. Going to be an interesting end to September.”

“高于 62,500 美元，事情看起来会更有建设性，而止损于 65,000 美元以上将不再安全。九月将会是一个有趣的结束。”

US dollar shows volatility

美元呈现波动性

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) saw significant fluctuations, initially rising before falling back to previous support levels.

美元指数（DXY）出现大幅波动，最初上涨，然后回落至先前的支撑位。

“Sitting at the edge of support. Breakdown can result in a sharp move towards 96,” commented trader Aksel Kibar in his latest DXY analysis on X.

“坐在支持的边缘。下跌可能会导致价格急剧上涨至 96，”交易员 Aksel Kibar 在其最新的 X 指数 DXY 分析中评论道。

Yen rate decision in focus

日元汇率决定成为焦点

For Arthur Hayes, former CEO of crypto exchange BitMEX, attention now shifts to the Bank of Japan’s rate decision, which is expected on Sept. 20. The strength of the yen could potentially influence BTC price movements.

对于加密货币交易所 BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 来说，注意力现在转向日本央行的利率决定，预计将于 9 月 20 日做出。日元走强可能会影响 BTC 价格走势。

“Something doesn’t add up”

“有些东西不合时宜”

Despite the Fed’s aggressive rate cuts, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter warned traders to remain cautious.

尽管美联储大幅降息，但交易资源《Kobeissi Letter》警告交易者保持谨慎。

Historical precedents indicate that such significant rate cuts often come before poor performance in U.S. equities.

历史先例表明，如此大幅降息往往发生在美国股市表现不佳之前。

“In 2001, the market fell 31% after 2 years and in 2007 the market fell 26% after 2 years. These were major crises,” an X thread pointed out.

“2001年，市场在2年后下跌了31%，2007年市场在2年后下跌了26%。这些都是重大危机，”X 帖子指出。

Related: Markets see 0.5% Fed rate cut — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

相关：市场预计美联储降息 0.5%——本周比特币需要了解的 5 件事

Contrast between Fed’s messaging and actions

美联储的信息和行动之间的对比

Kobeissi found a contradiction in the Fed’s optimistic messaging and the scale of its rate cut, questioning why the central bank would begin with a 50-basis point reduction if the economy were strong.

科比西发现美联储的乐观信息和降息规模之间存在矛盾，他质疑如果经济强劲，美联储为什么会开始降息50个基点。

“If the Fed has only started with 50 basis point rate cuts during crises, why start with 50 bps this time?”

“如果美联储在危机期间才开始降息 50 个基点，那为什么这次要从 50 个基点开始呢？”

Fed target rate probabilities. Source: CME Group

美联储目标利率概率。资料来源：芝商所

FedWatch Tool: Future rate cuts seen as 25 bps

FedWatch工具：未来降息预计为25个基点

Data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed that the likelihood of another 0.5% cut was slimmer compared to a 0.25% reduction at the next Fed meeting, which is scheduled for Nov. 7.

芝加哥商品交易所集团 FedWatch 工具的数据显示，与定于 11 月 7 日举行的下一次美联储会议降息 0.25% 相比，再次降息 0.5% 的可能性较小。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move carries a risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都存在风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。