资产管理公司ARK Invest已大大提高了对比特币（BTC）的看涨前景

经过修订的目标是以前的150万美元的预测，反映了机构采用的日益增长，比特币的作用不断发展为“数字黄金”

Asset management firm ARK Invest has significantly increased its bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC), projecting a potential price of $2.4 million by the

资产管理公司ARK Invest已大大提高了其对比特币（BTC）的看涨前景，预计潜在的价格为240万美元

According to ARK’s latest report, released on April 24, the revised target, up from a previous forecast of $1.5 million, reflects growing institutional adoption and Bitcoin’s evolving role as “digital gold.”

根据ARK于4月24日发布的ARK最新报告，修订的目标是先前的150万美元的预测，反映了机构采用的日益增长和比特币作为“数字黄金”的不断发展的作用。

In addition to its optimistic bull case, ARK also raised its bear case target to $500,000 and its base case to $1.2 million. These figures mark an increase from the firm’s earlier projections of $300,000 and $710,000, respectively.

除了乐观的公牛案外，方舟还将其Bear Case Target提高到500,000美元，将基本案件提高到120万美元。这些数字比公司的早期预测分别增加了30万美元和710,000美元。

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ARK Analyst Cites Market Potential and Fixed Supply

方舟分析师引用市场潜力和固定供应

David Puell, a research analyst at ARK, explained that the updated forecasts are based on Bitcoin’s total addressable market (TAM), expected market penetration rates, and its fixed supply schedule.

ARK的研究分析师David Puell解释说，更新的预测基于比特币的总可寻址市场（TAM），预期的市场渗透率及其固定供应计划。

“Institutional investment contributes the most to our bull case,” Puell noted, estimating Bitcoin could capture 6.5% of the $200 trillion global financial market—excluding gold—in a best-case scenario.

Puell指出：“机构投资对我们的公牛案做出了最大的贡献，”估计比特币可以在最佳情况下捕获百亿美元全球金融市场的6.5％（包括黄金）。

A key driver behind ARK’s projection is Bitcoin’s rising acceptance as a digital counterpart to gold. Puell suggested that Bitcoin could absorb up to 60% of gold’s $18 trillion market cap by 2030.

ARK投影背后的关键驱动力是比特币作为黄金的数字对应物的上升接受。普尔建议，到2030年，比特币可以吸收高达80万亿美元市值的60％。

Additionally, Bitcoin’s role as a “safe haven” asset in emerging markets, protecting against inflation and currency devaluation, accounts for 13.5% of the bull case estimate.

此外，比特币在新兴市场中作为“避风港”资产的作用，可保护通货膨胀和货币贬值，占公牛案例估算的13.5％。

Other factors influencing ARK’s forecast include nation-state adoption, corporate treasury strategies, and the expansion of Bitcoin-based financial services.

影响ARK预测的其他因素包括民族国家采用，公司国库策略以及基于比特币的金融服务的扩展。

If Bitcoin reaches ARK’s $2.4 million target, its market capitalization would soar to $49.2 trillion, assuming a circulating supply of 20.5 million BTC by 2030.

如果比特币达到ARK的240万美元目标，其市值将飙升至49.2万亿美元，假设到2030年循环供应量为2050万BTC。

This valuation would surpass the combined GDP of the United States and China and position Bitcoin to overtake gold as the world’s largest asset—more than doubling gold’s current $22.5 trillion market cap.

这一估值将超过美国和中国的GDP，以及比特币的合并，以超过黄金作为世界上最大的资产，这超过了Gold目前的22.5万亿美元市值。

Even under ARK’s conservative scenarios, Bitcoin would require a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32% to 53%, an impressive feat for an asset already valued in the trillions.

即使在ARK的保守情况下，比特币也需要32％至53％的复合年增长率（CAGR），这对于已经价值数万亿美元的资产而言是令人印象深刻的壮举。

The report comes as Bitcoin rebounds from its 2025 low of $75,160 to trade near $94,000, buoyed by favorable market conditions and the Trump administration’s establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

该报告来自比特币的2025年低点75,160美元的篮板，到达$ 94,000的交易，受到有利的市场状况的鼓舞，而特朗普政府建立了战略性比特币储备。

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Bitcoin Becomes 5th Largest Asset

比特币成为第五大资产

On April 23, Bitcoin overtook Alphabet to become the world’s fifth most valuable asset, reaching a market cap of $1.87 trillion. The milestone came amid Bitcoin’s growing decoupling from U.S. tech stocks, with BTC gaining 15% in April, outperforming the Nasdaq 100.

4月23日，比特币超越字母成为世界上最有价值的资产，达到了1.87万亿美元的市值。这一里程碑是在比特币与美国科技股（BTC）股票不断增长的情况下达成的，而BTC在4月份获得了15％的股份，表现优于纳斯达克股票100。

Investor confidence has been bolstered by President Trump’s pro-Bitcoin policies, including the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) and easing concerns over Federal Reserve independence and China tariffs.

特朗普总统的亲甲币政策增强了投资者的信心，包括建立战略比特币储备金（SBR）以及对美联储独立性和中国关税的宽松担忧。

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