Aptos（APT）在持续销售压力下挣扎，令牌解锁可能会加剧弊端

在过去的两个月中，Aptos（APT）一直在为稳定的销售压力而苦苦挣扎，最近的令牌解锁事件可能会加剧这些挑战。

Aptos (APT) has faced persistent selling pressure over the past two months, and recent token unlock events may amplify these challenges. With increasing unlocks and panicked sentiment in the market, APT could encounter more downside in the near future.

在过去的两个月中，Aptos（APT）面临着持续的销售压力，最近的令牌解锁事件可能会扩大这些挑战。随着市场上的解锁和惊慌的情绪，APT在不久的将来可能会遇到更多的缺点。

Aptos Recently Tested a Key Support Level

APTO最近测试了关键支持级别

Looking at the 1-week Aptos price chart, we can see that the token has recently tested a key support level around $5, which also coincides with a psychological price point. While a short-term bounce is possible from this support level, the main question is whether this bounce can lead to a full trend reversal or if it’s merely a temporary respite before the downtrend resumes.

从1周的APTOS价格表中查看，我们可以看到该令牌最近测试了5美元左右的关键支持水平，这也与心理价格点相吻合。虽然从这个支持级别可以短期反弹，但主要的问题是这种反弹是否可以导致趋势逆转，或者仅在降低趋势恢复之前只是暂时的喘息。

If we zoom out to the 1-month Aptos price chart, we can see that the token lost its bullish order block just above the $11 level in mid-December 2024, shifting the market structure to a bearish bias. The attempts made by buyers to recover have failed, with each rally quickly being met by selling pressure.

如果我们缩小到1个月的APTOS价格表，我们可以看到，令牌在2024年12月中旬的11美元水平上失去了其看涨订单块，将市场结构转移到了看跌的偏见。买家恢复的尝试失败了，每次集会都会通过销售压力迅速满足。

The OBV chart also highlights that selling pressure has consistently outpaced buying, further confirming the overall bearish sentiment. Even during recent recoveries, the price movements have resembled liquidity grabs rather than genuine upward trends, adding to market uncertainty and making any upward price action short-lived.

明显的图表还强调，销售压力始终超过了购买，进一步证实了整体看跌情绪。即使在最近的回收率期间，价格变动也类似于流动性的抓取而不是真正的向上趋势，从而增加了市场不确定性并使任何向上的价格行动短暂地生存。

Furthermore, Aptos has shown a notable lack of relative strength compared to Bitcoin (BTC). While Bitcoin has appreciated by 78% since last August, Aptos has only increased by 11.87%. This disparity in performance is sapping the conviction of bulls, making it more difficult for the token to stage a meaningful recovery.

此外，与比特币（BTC）相比，Aptos表现出显着的相对强度。自去年8月以来，比特币欣赏了78％，但Aptos仅增长了11.87％。表现的这种差异使对公牛的信念削弱了，这使代币更加困难地进行有意义的恢复。

From a technical perspective, the $5-level is seen as a critical support area for Aptos. This level marks the beginning of a strong rally from August 2024, and if APT manages to stay above it, a temporary bounce could be expected. The $5.5 liquidity cluster, which can be identified on the 1-week heatmap, is a likely candidate for a short-term bullish reversal.

从技术的角度来看，$ 5级别的APTO被视为APTO的关键支持区。这个水平标志着从2024年8月开始强烈集会的开始，如果APT设法保持在其上方，则可以预期暂时反弹。 $ 5.5的流动性集群可以在1周的热图上确定，可能是短期看涨逆转的候选人。

For swing traders, they may look to trade the bounce from the $5.34-$5.5 range, hoping to push the price toward $6.30. However, it’s important to take profits quickly, considering the current market sentiment that remains predominantly altcoin-averse. With the broader market still in uncertainty, aggressive profit-taking strategies are prudent for short-term traders.

对于摇摆交易者而言，他们可能希望从5.34美元至5.5美元的范围内交易弹跳，希望将价格推向6.30美元。但是，考虑到当前主要是不反对Altcoin的市场情绪，迅速获取利润很重要。由于更广泛的市场仍然处于不确定性状态，因此对短期交易者的积极获利策略是谨慎的。

One of the key challenges for Aptos holders is the ongoing token unlock process. According to CoinMarketCap, 50% of Aptos’ total supply is still locked, meaning that there is a significant amount of tokens yet to be released into the market. As these tokens are unlocked, additional selling pressure may drive the price lower, unless demand sees a substantial increase.

APTOS持有人的主要挑战之一是持续的令牌解锁过程。根据CoinMarketCap的数据，Aptos的总供应中有50％仍被锁定，这意味着尚未将其释放到市场上。由于这些令牌已解锁，除非需求看到大幅增加，否则额外的销售压力可能会降低价格。

Without a significant surge in demand or a favorable “altseason” where altcoins experience broad-based growth, these unlocks could put considerable downward pressure on APT’s price. Holders should be cautious, as the combination of market sentiment and additional unlocks could worsen the situation for APT in the near term.

如果需求量急剧增加或高高的“替代”，而Altcoins经历了广泛的增长，这些解锁可能会给APT的价格带来巨大的向下压力。持有人应该谨慎，因为市场情绪和其他解锁的结合在短期内可能会使情况恶化。