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比特币仍在交易额约103,000美元,尽管它在5月开始的上升势头在过去七天中表现出了放缓。
A new analysis suggests that the Golden Ratio Multiplier, a long-term cycle indicator, has reached Level 5, which could see Bitcoin hit $160,000 later this year.
一项新的分析表明,黄金比率乘数是一个长期周期指标,已达到5级,这可能会使比特币今年晚些时候达到160,000美元。
This model, which previously called the Bitcoin top in 2021, is known for incorporating logarithmic models with Fibonacci-derived multipliers to anticipate Bitcoin’s macro trends.
该模型以前称为2021年的比特币顶部,以将对数模型与斐波那acci衍生的乘数结合在一起以预测比特币的宏趋势。
One analyst Examined Bitcoin Tops
一位分析师检查了比特币上衣
Popular crypto analyst CryptoCon, took to X to highlight the reliability of the Golden Ratio Multiplier in predicting Bitcoin’s price top in each cycle.
流行的加密分析师Cryptocon登上X,以强调黄金比率乘数在预测每个周期中比特币的价格上涨时的可靠性。
This indicator, among the few to accurately call the April 2021 cycle top in real time (same as 2017 and 2013), has already clocked a mid-top for the current cycle in March 2024.
该指标是实时准确拨打2021年周期顶部(与2017年和2013年)的少数指标,在2024年3月的当前周期中已经成为中途。
CryptoCon explained that Bitcoin has already hit Level 4 of the multiplier chart this cycle, but this isn’t the final peak. “We’ve already hit our cycle top level this cycle once, but this was for the cycle mid-top in March 2024, which means we’re bound to do it again,” he said.
Cryptocon解释说,比特币在本周期已经达到了乘数图的4级,但这不是最后的峰值。他说:“我们已经在这个周期中达到了我们的周期最高水平,但这是2024年3月的周期中心,这意味着我们一定会再次这样做。”
The Level 5 band now sits around $160,000 and continues to trend upward. Drawing a parallel to past cycles, the analyst noted that the structure of the current cycle shows strong similarities to the 2015 to 2017 period, when Bitcoin saw a gradual build-up followed by an explosive breakout.
5级乐队现在位于160,000美元左右,并继续向上发展。分析师指出,当前周期的结构与2015年至2017年期间相似,当时比特币看到比特币逐渐积聚,随后发生了爆炸性突破。
This current market phase is seen as equivalent to April 2017, right before Bitcoin went on a rally in the months that followed.
当前的市场阶段相当于2017年4月,就在比特币在随后的几个月中进行集会之前。
Golden Multiplier Ratio Suggests $160k Is Next Major Target
黄金乘数比表明$ 160K是下一个主要目标
The chart accompanying CryptoCon’s post shows each band, ranging from Level 1 to Level 10, is based on a multiplier level derived from the 350-day moving average.
伴随加密孔的帖子随附的图表显示,每个频段范围从1级到10级,是基于从350天移动平均线得出的乘数级别。
Bitcoin topped at various levels: Level 10 in 2011, Level 9 and 8 in 2013, Level 7 in 2017, and Level 6 in 2021. The current cycle’s peak should most likely be Level 5.
比特币高于各种水平:2011年的10级,2013年的9级和8级,2017年的7级和2021年的6级。当前周期的峰值很可能是5级。
Now, should the market continue to respect this structure, then Bitcoin could be setting up for a rally toward the Level 5 mark of $160,000 later this year, which could mark the final high of this cycle. The current range around $103,000 may well be the calm before the final breakout. “Slower buildup, then all at once,” the analyst said.
现在,如果市场继续尊重这种结构,那么比特币可能会在今年晚些时候的5级大关上进行集会,这可能标志着这一周期的最终高点。目前的范围约为103,000美元,很可能是在最后突破之前的平静。分析师说:“较慢,然后一次。”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $102,971.
在写作时,比特币的交易价格为102,971美元。
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