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许多分析师和加密粉丝都认为它即将到来,但有些分析师也相信,当它到达时,它将是迄今为止最大的。
The crypto industry has been buzzing about the speculation of the new altcoin season for some time now. A lot of analysts and crypto fans believe it’s coming, but some are also convinced that when it does arrive, it will be the biggest one yet.
一段时间以来,加密货币行业一直在轰动新的Altcoin季节的猜测。许多分析师和加密粉丝都认为它即将到来,但有些分析师也相信,当它到达时,它将是迄今为止最大的。
One of those is Dan Krupka, head of Coin Bureau Research. He shared a video on Coin Bureau Trading's YouTube channel, discussing his thoughts and expertise on why this altcoin season just might explode (in a good way). For starters, Krupka highlights spot Ethereum ETF approvals and rate cuts by the Fed, which are expected to come later this year. Additionally, crypto-friendly sentiment is increasing, especially in the US, providing further fuel to the possibility of an altcoin season. Plus, the potential ETF applications for Solana, Layer-2 innovations, and growing user bases on new chains could all play an important role in a possibly huge altcoin season.
其中之一是硬币局研究负责人丹·克鲁普卡(Dan Krupka)。他分享了有关Coin Bureau Trading的YouTube频道的视频,讨论了他的想法和专业知识,以了解为什么Altcoin季节可能会爆炸(以一种很好的方式)。对于初学者来说,克鲁普卡(Krupka)重点介绍了美联储的批准和削减速度的批准,预计将于今年晚些时候出现。此外,对加密货币友好的情绪正在增加,尤其是在美国,为山寨币季节的可能性提供了进一步的燃料。另外,在新连锁店的Solana,2层创新和不断增长的用户基础上的潜在ETF应用程序在可能的巨大Altcoin季节中都起着重要作用。
Then, there is the fact that TikTok and YouTube crypto content keeps on growing, a notable trend among the younger generations.
然后,有一个事实是,Tiktok和YouTube加密内容不断增长,这是年轻一代的显着趋势。
Krupka mentioned retail participation and how it hasn't fully returned, indicating that this isn't the final leg of the bull run. Altcoin season typically follows Bitcoin and Ethereum rallies once retail re-enters.
克鲁普卡(Krupka)提到零售参与及其如何尚未完全返回,这表明这不是公牛奔跑的最后一站。 Altcoin季节通常会遵循比特币和以太坊集会,一旦零售重新进入。
Furthermore, several altcoin sectors have strong potential that may contribute to the altcoin season boost. These include Layer 1s such as Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche; Layer 2s like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base; AI coins (SingularityNET, Render, Bittensor, etc.); Privacy coins (Aleph Zero, Monero, and the rest); DePIN; real-world assets; and so on.
此外,几个山寨币部门具有强大的潜力,可能会导致山寨赛季的提升。其中包括以太坊,索拉纳和雪崩等第1层;第2层等仲裁,乐观和基础; AI硬币(SingularityNet,渲染,Bittensor等);隐私硬币(Aleph Zero,Monero和其余);德国现实世界中的资产;等等。
Bitcoin Dominance
比特币优势
As mentioned, altcoin season depends on Bitcoin, or rather, its dominance. Bitcoin dominance (and Ethereum's to a point) is a classic indicator of altcoin rotations. The strength of these two cryptocurrencies can signal phases of altcoin outperformance, or, to be more precise, the Ethereum/Bitcoin chart.
如前所述,Altcoin季节取决于比特币,或者取决于其主导地位。比特币优势(以及以太坊的占地)是山寨币旋转的经典指标。这两种加密货币的强度可能会向替代表现的阶段表明表现优于表现,或者更确切地说是以太坊/比特币图。
Naturally, Bitcoin is still leading, and that likely won't ever change. However, Ethereum's dominance increased by around 2% compared to last month, while Bitcoin stayed pretty much the same, which may suggest that altcoin season is brewing but not quite there yet.
自然,比特币仍在领导,这可能永远不会改变。但是,与上个月相比,以太坊的优势增加了约2%,而比特币的统治地位几乎相同,这可能表明Altcoin季节正在酿造,但还没有。
Lastly, the video notes that during the 2020-2021 bull run, retail attention surged because people were locked down and had more time to learn about investing. Most retail investors from 2021 and early 2024 front-ran the market, expecting a repeat of the mentioned bull run cycle. Now, they're possibly out of altcoins or in Bitcoin, making them potential buyers and not sellers for the next rally.
最后,该视频指出,在2020-2021公牛奔跑中,零售的注意力引起了人们的注意,因为人们被锁定并有更多时间学习投资。从2021年到2024年初的大多数零售投资者,市场将重复上述公牛运行周期。现在,它们可能是从Altcoins或比特币中的,使他们成为潜在的买家,而不是下一次集会的卖家。
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