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加密貨幣投資者如今有很多慶祝活動。在過去的一年中,許多最受歡迎的硬幣的價格飆升,XRP(XRP 4.94%)
Cryptocurrency investors have a lot to celebrate these days. Prices of many of the most popular coins have surged over the past year, and the XRP (XRP 4.94%) cryptocurrency, sometimes called Ripple, is no exception. Its price soared 234% in 2024, but will the good times continue.
加密貨幣投資者如今有很多慶祝活動。在過去的一年中,許多最受歡迎的硬幣的價格飆升,XRP(XRP 4.94%)加密貨幣(有時稱為Ripple)也不例外。它的價格在2024年飆升了234%,但美好時光會繼續下去。
Back-to-back years of such strong gains would be exceptional, so how likely is it that the XRP coin could more than double from its current price and reach $6 in 2025? I think the debut of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holding XRP later this year and the crypto-friendly regulatory environment that the Trump administration is creating could help lift its price higher. However, there are also reasons to be skeptical that a $6 XRP price is realistic.
如此強勁的收益的背靠背幾年將是非凡的,那麼XRP硬幣的可能性超過目前的價格並在2025年達到6美元的可能性?我認為,今年晚些時候持有XRP的現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)的首次亮相以及特朗普政府正在創造的對加密友好的監管環境可以幫助提高其價格。但是,也有理由懷疑6美元的XRP價格是現實的。
Image source: Getty Images.
圖像來源:蓋蒂圖像。
XRP ETFs could launch this year
XRP ETF今年可以推出
The launch of an XRP exchange-traded fund would be the most important bullish catalyst for XRP's price this year. ETFs give investors an easier way to own cryptocurrencies.
XRP交易所交易基金的推出將是今年XRP價格最重要的看漲催化劑。 ETF為投資者提供了一種擁有加密貨幣的簡便方法。
You can quickly buy and sell ETFs through standard brokerage accounts. This makes them especially beneficial for investors who may want to invest in cryptocurrencies but don't want to go through the hassle of opening a dedicated crypto wallet or owning the actual coins.
您可以通過標準經紀帳戶快速購買和出售ETF。這使他們對可能想投資加密貨幣但不想經歷打開專用的加密錢包或擁有實際硬幣的麻煩的投資者特別有益。
The launch of several Bitcoin ETFs early last year was momentous for the cryptocurrency. At this time last year -- just before those ETFs launched -- Bitcoin's price was around $46,100 -- compared to its current price of about $87,000.
去年年初的幾個比特幣ETF的推出對於加密貨幣來說是重要的。去年的這個時候 - 就在這些ETF推出之前,比特幣的價格約為46,100美元,而目前的價格約為87,000美元。
Grayscale and a handful of other financial institutions have already filed applications with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch spot XRP ETFs. Those applications are currently under review, and a decision could come by October. If they're approved, investors who may have wanted to own XRP -- but who didn't want to buy the crypto through the usual methods -- could flock to the ETF.
灰度和少數其他金融機構已經向美國證券交易委員會(SEC)提出申請,以啟動現場XRP ETF。這些申請目前正在審查中,並且可以在10月之前做出決定。如果他們獲得批准,可能想擁有XRP的投資者 - 但不想通過通常的方法購買加密貨幣的投資者可能會湧向ETF。
JPMorgan estimates that investors could pour between $3 billion and $8 billion into XRP ETFs in their first year alone. Such a surge of new money into XRP would certainly benefit the coin's price, though it's uncertain by how much.
摩根大通估計,僅在第一年,投資者就會將30億至80億美元倒入XRP ETF中。 XRP的這種新資金激增肯定會使硬幣的價格受益,儘管這尚不確定多少。
A friendly regulatory environment for crypto
加密的友好監管環境
Regulation is always a significant factor in any investment, but it has been particularly important for cryptocurrencies. Previous leaders of regulatory agencies viewed crypto with skepticism, but President Trump has shown that under his administration, Washington will take a more crypto-friendly regulatory approach.
法規始終是任何投資的重要因素,但對於加密貨幣而言,這一點尤其重要。監管機構的先前領導人對持懷疑態度看過加密貨幣,但特朗普總統表明,在他的政府下,華盛頓將採取一種更友好的加密友好法規方法。
Credit: CC0 Public Domain
學分:CC0公共領域
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the "Trump effect" has already been felt by his company. "We signed more U.S. deals in the last six weeks of 2024 than the previous six months," Garlinghouse said in early January.
Ripple首席執行官Brad Garlinghouse表示,他的公司已經感受到了“特朗普效應”。加林豪斯在1月初說:“在2024年的最後六週,我們簽署了更多的美國交易。”
While many cryptocurrencies saw their prices rise after Trump was elected, it's worth mentioning that the optimism can easily fade. For example, Bitcoin's price recently fell to a three-month low.
儘管許多加密貨幣在特朗普當選後的價格上漲,但值得一提的是樂觀主義很容易消失。例如,比特幣的價格最近下跌了三個月。
Still, Trump has set up a "crypto czar," appointed pro-crypto individuals to key positions in his administration, and directed the SEC to reverse its stance on having banks and financial institutions treat cryptocurrencies as liabilities on their balance sheets -- all moves that have naturally fueled optimism about the general outlook for crypto.
儘管如此,特朗普還是建立了一個“加密沙皇”,任命了親克萊托普個人在其政府中的關鍵立場,並指示SEC扭轉其對擁有銀行和金融機構的立場,將其視為其資產負債表的責任 - 所有行動都對Crypto的一般展望充滿了樂觀。
Will XRP reach $6 in 2025?
XRP在2025年會達到$ 6嗎?
Even if XRP benefits from some substantial catalysts, it's unrealistic to think it'll reach $6 this year. XRP is volatile even by cryptocurrency standards, and it would have to more than double from its current price (as of Feb. 25) to reach $6 per coin.
即使XRP受益於一些實質性的催化劑,認為今年將達到6美元是不現實的。 XRP即使是加密貨幣標準,XRP也是波動的,它的價格將比目前的價格(截至2月25日)達到一倍以上,達到每枚硬幣6美元。
Also, while the economy looks strong, a few concerning signs have appeared. In February, consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since 2021, and Trump's threats of international tariffs have some economists concerned that rising inflation will rear its ugly head again.
另外,儘管經濟看起來很強,但出現了一些有關跡象的信息。 2月,消費者的信心降至2021年以來的最低水平,特朗普對國際關稅的威脅使一些經濟學家擔心通貨膨脹率上升將再次抬高其醜陋的頭腦。
If the U.S. economy slows even mildly, I think it's likely that some of the euphoria surrounding cryptocurrencies will fade, leaving XRP far short of $6 per coin.
如果美國的經濟略微減慢,我認為圍繞加密貨幣的一些欣喜可能會消失,而XRP的每一枚硬幣卻低於6美元。
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