XRP 價格預測：儘管供應減少，但代幣是否會飆升？

X 的著名加密貨幣分析師 Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) 最近分享了一些有關 XRP 供應量減少的有趣數據。這引發了加密貨幣社群內的爭論，並促使人們對代幣的流通模式和潛在的價格影響進行更仔細的檢視。

Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto recently shared data about XRP’s diminishing supply, sparking discussion in the cryptocurrency community.

加密貨幣分析師 Steph Is Crypto 最近分享了有關 XRP 供應量減少的數據，引發了加密貨幣社群的討論。

Steph’s analysis, based on CryptoQuant data, suggests that XRP’s price trajectory could be influenced by what he perceives as supply constraints.

Steph 基於 CryptoQuant 數據的分析表明，XRP 的價格軌跡可能會受到他認為的供應限制的影響。

Despite the token’s recent bearish performance, Steph maintains optimism, suggesting that increasing demand and supposed supply reduction could trigger substantial price appreciation.

儘管該代幣最近表現不佳，但史蒂芬仍保持樂觀態度，認為需求增加和供應減少可能會引發價格大幅上漲。

“The next big move is only a matter of time,” he stated.

「下一個重大舉措只是時間問題，」他表示。

However, a closer examination of XRP’s supply metrics reveals a more nuanced situation. While the token’s maximum supply is fixed at 100 billion, the actual reduction in circulation has been relatively modest.

然而，對 XRP 供應指標的仔細檢查揭示了更微妙的情況。雖然該代幣的最大供應量固定為 1000 億，但實際流通量的減少相對較小。

Despite other experts’ statements about the asset’s supply dynamics, current data indicates that only 13,275,691 XRP tokens have been permanently removed from circulation through burning mechanisms, leaving the total supply at approximately 99.986 billion tokens. This minimal reduction challenges assertions about significant supply constraints driving future price movements.

儘管其他專家對該資產的供應動態做出了陳述，但當前數據表明，只有 13,275,691 個 XRP 代幣透過銷毀機制永久退出流通，使得總供應量約為 999.86 億個代幣。這種最小的減少對有關推動未來價格變動的重大供應限制的斷言提出了挑戰。

An analysis of XRP holdings on major cryptocurrency exchanges provides additional context. Throughout 2024, XRP’s presence on centralized exchanges has remained relatively stable, contrasting sharply with the declining exchange reserves observed in other major cryptocurrencies.

對主要加密貨幣交易所持有的 XRP 的分析提供了更多背景資訊。在整個 2024 年，XRP 在中心化交易所的存在保持相對穩定，與其他主要加密貨幣的外匯儲備下降形成鮮明對比。

A look at Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange, reveals that XRP reserves dropped from 3.14 billion to 2.79 billion between November and December 16. However, these levels are now returning to the 3 billion mark, consistent with the average holdings maintained in most days of 2024.

最大的加密貨幣交易所幣安網顯示，11 月至12 月16 日期間，XRP 儲備從31.4 億下降至27.9 億。保持的平均持有量一致。

While XRP’s exchange reserves remained stable, other major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin experienced a significant decline in exchange presence. BTC reserves decreased substantially from 3.07 million to 2.42 million this year.

雖然 XRP 的外匯存底保持穩定，但比特幣等其他主要加密貨幣的交易量卻大幅下降。今年BTC儲備量從307萬枚大幅減少至242萬枚。

Ethereum’s exchange presence also fluctuated, dropping from 20.66 million to 18.6 million before settling at approximately 19 million tokens. Shiba Inu also demonstrated a substantial reduction in exchange reserves, declining from 167.34 trillion tokens last December to 134.4 trillion.

以太坊的交易所數量也出現波動，從 2,066 萬個下降到 1,860 萬個，然後穩定在約 1,900 萬個代幣。柴犬也表現出外匯存底大幅減少，從去年 12 月的 167.34 兆代幣下降至 134.4 兆代幣。

Despite the data suggesting stable supply levels, numerous market analysts maintain bullish predictions for XRP. Most of their predictions depend on other factors, not current supply metrics. While supply dynamics remain a crucial consideration, they represent just one component, and external factors might play a more significant role.

儘管數據顯示供應水準穩定，但許多市場分析師仍維持對 XRP 的看漲預測。他們的大部分預測取決於其他因素，而不是目前的供應指標。雖然供應動態仍然是一個重要的考慮因素，但它們僅代表一個組成部分，外部因素可能發揮更重要的作用。