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XRP處於關鍵點,因為較大的加密貨幣市場似乎已經為可能的大舉動做好了準備。
XRP is at a pivotal point in time as the broader cryptocurrency market appears to be preparing for a possible large-scale move.
XRP處於關鍵點,因為更廣泛的加密貨幣市場似乎正在為可能的大規模搬遷做準備。
While Bitcoin is holding strong at around $104,000, showing signs of robust accumulation and the potential for another leg up, XRP appears to be lagging, which could be a risky position during a market-wide shift.
雖然比特幣的強勢範圍約為104,000美元,顯示出強大的積累跡象,並且有可能出現另一支腿,但XRP似乎滯後,這在整個市場範圍內的轉變中可能是一個危險的位置。
From a technical perspective, XRP has broken out of a long-descending wedge formation, usually a bullish reversal pattern. However, the recent pullback toward $2.30 is testing the bulls' resolve despite the breakout pushing the token toward the $2.60 zone.
從技術的角度來看,XRP從長期降低的楔形構造中分解出來,通常是看漲的逆轉模式。但是,儘管突破將令牌推向了2.60美元的區域,但最近朝2.30美元的回調正在測試公牛的決心。
The 26 EMA at $2.31 and the 50 EMA at $2.25 are crucial support levels that XRP is currently holding just above at $2.38. A breakdown below these averages would signal a return to consolidation or, worse, a decline toward the $2.10 or even $2.00 zone, which would negate most of the bullish momentum.
26美元的EMA $ 2.31和50 EMA(2.25美元)是XRP目前持有的至關重要的支持水平,售價為2.38美元。低於這些平均值的故障將表明恢復合併,或者更糟糕的是,下降了2.10美元甚至2.00美元的區域,這將消除大多數看漲的勢頭。
The issue is how XRP is reacting in comparison to BTC. If Bitcoin breaks higher and XRP does not follow, it might indicate weak hands in XRP or just a lack of buying conviction.
問題是XRP與BTC相比的反應方式。如果比特幣突破較高,XRP不遵循,則可能表明XRP的手很弱,或者只是缺乏購買信念。
Due to this divergence, XRP would be more susceptible to a steeper correction. Also, recent red candles have seen volume decreasing, giving a mixed signal: buyers are obviously cautious, but sellers are not overpowering the market.
由於這種差異,XRP更容易受到更陡峭的校正。同樣,最近的紅色蠟燭的數量減少了,給人以混雜的信號:買家顯然謹慎,但賣家並沒有使市場壓倒。
If XRP manages to maintain current levels and recover $2.50, we might see a retest of the recent high. But if $2.30 doesn't hold, then the slide could quicken.
如果XRP設法保持當前水平並恢復2.50美元,我們可能會看到最近的高點重新測試。但是,如果$ 2.30不起作用,那麼幻燈片就可以加快了。
Bitcoin can see new highs
比特幣可以看到新的高點
The price of Bitcoin is consolidating just below its most recent local high of $104,000, and all signs suggest that a significant volatility event is about to occur.
比特幣的價格恰好低於其最近的本地高價104,000美元,所有跡像都表明即將發生重大波動性事件。
BTC has entered a textbook continuation pattern, which consists of tight daily candles with decreasing volume following its strong breakout above the $98,000 resistance. This suggests that a strong directional move is about to occur.
BTC進入了教科書的延續模式,該模式由每天緊張的蠟燭組成,其強勁的突破超過98,000美元的電阻後,體積下降。這表明即將發生強大的方向運動。
On the chart, Bitcoin is displaying a tight bull flag or mini-consolidation pattern just above key support levels like the 26 EMA. The price is still comfortably above the 50 and 100 EMAs, which is important because it shows strong short- and mid-term strength.
在圖表上,比特幣在關鍵支持水平(如26 EMA)上方顯示緊密的牛旗或迷你固化模式。價格仍然舒適地超過50和100 EMA,這很重要,因為它顯示出強大的短期和中期強度。
The RSI is also showing signs of cooling off, which means another upward push is possible without going into oversold conditions.
RSI還顯示出冷卻的跡象,這意味著在不進入超售條件的情況下,另一次向上推可以。
In terms of volatility, conditions are favorable for a large expansion. The Implied Volatility across options markets is decreasing due to the extended sideways price move, which usually precedes a large breakout or breakdown.
在波動性方面,條件有利於大型擴張。跨期權市場的隱含波動率正在下降,這是由於側向價格移動的擴展,這通常是在突破或崩潰之前進行的。
Volume has naturally tapered a bit during this consolidation. Crucially, a clear break above $104,500 would void any remaining bearish divergence and likely propel Bitcoin into price discovery territory above $110,000.
在此整合過程中,體積自然會逐漸變細。至關重要的是,超過$ 104,500的明顯中斷將使任何剩餘的看跌差異無效,並可能將比特幣推向價格發現領土以上的價格超過110,000美元。
Before any further bullish continuation, there might be a brief retracement toward $98,000 or even $95,000 if the psychological level of $100,000 is not defended and there is a breakdown below the 26 EMA.
在任何進一步看漲的延續之前,如果沒有捍衛100,000美元的心理水平,並且低於26 EMA,則可能會對98,000美元甚至95,000美元進行簡短的回溯。
Ethereum's volatility is near
以太坊的波動已經接近
Ethereum is consolidating above its recently breached 200 EMA, displaying the classic hallmarks of a significant move on the horizon.
以太坊正在鞏固其最近破壞的200 EMA,這表現出了重大舉動的經典標誌。
ETH encountered several resistance levels during its strong breakout rally in early May, putting it in a critical position to breach the long-feared 200-day Exponential Moving Average. This is a major turning point for any asset aiming for a long-term trend reversal.
ETH在5月初的強烈突破集會中遇到了幾個阻力水平,這使其處於關鍵位置,以違反長期磨損的200天指數移動平均線。這是任何旨在長期趨勢逆轉的資產的主要轉折點。
At the current price of $2,500, Ethereum is retesting the 200 EMA zone as support, which may indicate the next significant move. If this level holds, then Ethereum has a good chance of reaching the psychological barrier of $3,000.
以目前的價格為2500美元,以太坊正在重新測試200 EMA區域作為支持,這可能表明下一個重大舉措。如果這個水平達到,那麼以太坊就有很大的機會達到3,000美元的心理障礙。
A sustained close above the 200 EMA would typically reinforce bullish conviction, but what adds a layer of caution is the way the structure is unfolding. The implication is that traders should anticipate a strong counterforce if this 200 EMA is quickly lost.
在200 EMA以上的持續接近通常會加強看漲的信念,但增加了一層謹慎的是結構的發展方式。這意味著,如果這200 EMA很快丟失,交易者應該預期有強大的反對。
With volume rapidly decreasing, it's adding a degree of caution to the mix as it suggests that fewer traders are buying into the recent push. This divergence — rising or holding prices on decreasing volume — is often a beacon of caution for traders.
隨著數量迅速減少,它增加了一定程度的謹慎,這表明交易者正在購買最近的推動力。這種差異 - 數量下降或持有價格的上漲或持有的數量下降 - 通常是交易者謹慎的燈塔。
If this trend continues, then a potential steep retracement toward the $2,300-$2,200 range is now in the cards. The technical setup is screaming of incoming volatility.
如果這種趨勢持續下去,那麼現已在卡片中出現了$ 2,300- $ 2,200範圍的潛在陡峭回溯。技術設置正在尖叫進來的波動。
With Monday's trading session approaching and usually opening in continuation or rejection of the last candle, it will act as a catalyst for volatility. At this stage, it depends on this retest for Ethereum's next move. A reversal from current levels might ignite a second bullish
隨著周一的交易會議即將來臨,通常在繼續或拒絕最後一支蠟燭時開放,它將成為波動的催化劑。在此階段,這取決於以太坊的下一步行動的重新測試。從當前水平逆轉可能會點燃第二個看漲
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