分析師表示，美元疲軟可能推動比特幣飆升

加密貨幣分析師 Jamie Coutts 表示，比特幣第二季和第三季反彈的歷史重要指標可能預示著積極的趨勢。美元指數（DXY）衡量美元兌主要貨幣的價值，歷史上與比特幣呈負相關，該指數可能會下跌。 Coutts 表示，如果 DXY 跌破 101 美元，可能會引發比特幣大幅上漲，根據過去與 DXY 疲軟相關的價格走勢，比特幣價格可能會升至 15 萬美元。

Dollar Index Weakness Poised to Fuel Bitcoin Rally, Analyst Suggests

分析師表示，美元指數疲軟將推動比特幣上漲

Jamie Coutts, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst, has identified a crucial indicator that has historically preceded Bitcoin's summer rallies: the Dollar Index (DXY). In a tweet to his extensive following, Coutts highlighted the DXY's significance in forecasting Bitcoin's price movements.

著名加密貨幣分析師 Jamie Coutts 發現了一個歷史上先於比特幣夏季反彈的關鍵指標：美元指數 (DXY)。在發給眾多追隨者的推文中，Coutts 強調了 DXY 在預測比特幣價格走勢方面的重要性。

The DXY measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of prominent international currencies. It is a widely watched indicator by analysts for its potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.

DXY 衡量美元兌一籃子主要國際貨幣的價值。該指標因其對比特幣等風險資產的潛在影響而受到分析師廣泛關注。

"If there was one indicator to watch to see if this thesis is playing out accordingly, or not, I think it would be the dollar," Coutts wrote. "Every $BTC summer rally has been precipitated by a stronger dollar, which peaks and rolls over, which as it cascades lower, sends BTC skyrocketing."

庫茨寫道：“如果有一個指標可以觀察這一論點是否得到了相應的證實，我認為那就是美元。” “每一次 BTC 夏季上漲都是由美元走強引發的，美元走強後會回落，當美元走低時，BTC 就會飆升。”

Traditionally, the DXY exhibits an inverse correlation with risk assets, tending to rise during market downturns and decline during rallies. Coutts notes that Bitcoin's previous summer rallies have coincided with a weakening DXY.

傳統上，DXY 與風險資產呈負相關，在市場低迷時往往上漲，在反彈時下跌。 Coutts 指出，比特幣之前夏季的反彈恰逢美元指數走軟。

"Every summer BTC rally has been preceded by a stronger dollar hitting highs and [reversing the trend], subsequently pushing BTC prices higher," Coutts stated.

Coutts 表示：“每年夏天 BTC 上漲之前，美元都會走強，觸及高點並[扭轉趨勢]，隨後推高 BTC 價格。”

Currently, the DXY is consolidating within a narrow range. Coutts suggests that a break below $101 could trigger a significant surge in Bitcoin's price.

目前，美元指數正在窄幅區間內盤整。 Coutts 表示，跌破 101 美元可能會引發比特幣價格大幅上漲。

"A break below 101 should see a drop into the low 90s," Coutts explained. "If this happens, Bitcoin could potentially rise to $150,000 based on the historical movements of the DXY."

「跌破 101 應該會跌至 90 左右，」Coutts 解釋道。 “如果這種情況發生，根據 DXY 的歷史走勢，比特幣可能會上漲至 15 萬美元。”

The analyst also mentioned that an inverse relationship existed between the DXY and Bitcoin's price action. Typically, when the DXY strengthened, Bitcoin's price tended to decline. Conversely, when the DXY weakened, Bitcoin's price often experienced gains.

該分析師也提到，美元指數和比特幣的價格走勢之間存在著反比關係。通常，當 DXY 走強時，比特幣的價格往往會下跌。相反，當美元指數走弱時，比特幣的價格往往會上漲。

As of the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $68,370. Should the DXY break below $101 and continue to weaken, it could provide a significant tailwind for Bitcoin's price, potentially pushing it towards the $150,000 mark.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 68,370 美元。如果 DXY 跌破 101 美元並繼續走弱，它可能會為比特幣的價格提供巨大的推動力，有可能將其推向 150,000 美元大關。

Coutts' analysis emphasizes the importance of monitoring the DXY's movements to discern potential trends in Bitcoin's price. The analyst's insights provide valuable guidance for investors seeking to make informed decisions in the cryptocurrency market.

Coutts 的分析強調了監控 DXY 走勢以辨別比特幣價格潛在趨勢的重要性。分析師的見解為尋求在加密貨幣市場做出明智決策的投資者提供了寶貴的指導。