初學者的最終聚合物指南：從設置錢包到放置第一個賭注

有沒有希望您可以兌現您對未來的直覺？就像，誰將贏得下屆選舉，比特幣是否會達到一定的價格

Ever wish you could cash in on your instincts about the future? Like, who’s going to win the next election, whether Bitcoin will hit a certain price, or if your favorite team will take the championship?

有沒有希望您可以兌現您對未來的直覺？就像，誰將贏得下一次選舉，比特幣是否會達到一定的價格，還是您最喜歡的球隊會贏得冠軍？

That’s exactly what Polymarket lets you do. It’s a decentralized prediction platform built on crypto, where you can bet on real-world events by buying shares in potential outcomes. If you're right, you profit. If not, you lose your stake. It’s part betting, part trading, and all powered by the blockchain. And no, you don’t need to be a crypto expert to get started.

這正是Polmarket允許您做的。這是一個基於Crypto建立的分散預測平台，您可以通過在潛在結果中購買股票來押注現實世界中的事件。如果您是正確的，那麼您就會獲利。如果沒有，您會失去股份。這是投注，部分交易的一部分，全部由區塊鏈提供動力。不，您無需成為加密專家即可開始。

In this beginner’s guide, I’ll walk you through every step—from setting up your wallet to placing your first bet. No confusing jargon, no guessing. Just a straightforward, no-stress way to dip your toes into prediction markets, and maybe even come out ahead.

在本初學者的指南中，我將介紹每個步驟 - 從設置錢包到放置第一個賭注。沒有混淆的行話，沒有猜測。只是一種直接，無壓力的方式，可以將腳趾浸入預測市場，甚至可能取得成功。

Key highlights:

關鍵亮點：

What is Polymarket and why should you care?

什麼是聚物市場，為什麼要關心？

Imagine a place where you can bet on almost anything—from how many Tweets Elon Musk will have in the next week to whether Ethereum will hit $5,000 by the end of the year. That’s Polymarket in a nutshell.

想像一下，您幾乎可以押注任何東西的地方 - 從埃隆·馬斯克（Elon Musk）下週會有多少條推文到以太坊在今年年底之前達到5,000美元。簡而言之，這是多聚市場。

Polymarket is what’s known as a crypto-powered prediction market. Instead of placing a bet with a bookie or a sportsbook, you’re buying shares in outcomes on real-world events. The price of those shares reflects what people think the odds are. And if you’re right, you get paid when the outcome is resolved.

Polmoarket是被加密驅動的預測市場。您沒有在賭注或體育書上放賭注，而是在現實世界中的成果中購買股票。這些股票的價格反映了人們認為的賠率。而且，如果您是對的，那麼在解決結果時就會獲得報酬。

But here’s the catch: Polymarket isn’t run by “the house.”

但這是捕獲：Polymarket不是由“房子”經營的。

There’s no middleman setting odds or taking a cut. It’s entirely peer-to-peer, and everything is powered by the blockchain (specifically, the fast and low-cost Polygon network). That means:

沒有中間人設定賠率或削減。它完全是點對點，一切都由區塊鏈（特別是快速和低成本的多邊形網絡）提供動力。這意味著：

You’re not locked into your bet either. You can buy in or sell out anytime, just like trading a stock.

您也沒有鎖定您的賭注。您可以隨時購買或賣光，就像交易股票一樣。

It’s fast, transparent, and (you guessed it) decentralized.

它是快速，透明的，並且（您猜對了）分散。

How to bet on Polymarket

如何押注Polmoarket

Let's break down the crucial steps for betting on Polymarket to get you started.

讓我們分解押注Polymarket的關鍵步驟，以使您入門。

Step 1: Set up your crypto wallet

步驟1：設置您的加密錢包

Before you can start placing bets on Polymarket, you need a crypto wallet. Think of it as your personal key to the world of decentralized apps.

在開始在Polymarket上下注之前，您需要一個加密錢包。將其視為分散應用程序世界的個人鑰匙。

A wallet stores your digital assets (like USDC) and connects you to platforms like Polymarket. Here are a few great options for beginners:

錢包存儲您的數字資產（例如USDC），並將您連接到PolyMarket之類的平台。對於初學者來說，這裡有一些不錯的選擇：

Your wallet must support the Polygon network (not just Ethereum). Polygon is what Polymarket runs on. It’s faster and way cheaper than Ethereum for transactions.

您的錢包必須支持多邊形網絡（不僅僅是以太坊）。 Polygon是Polymarket的運行。交易的速度比以太坊更快，更便宜。

Most wallets will either prompt you to add the Polygon network or let Polymarket do it for you when you connect. Just make sure you’re on the Polygon (Matic) network before placing any bets.

大多數錢包都會提示您添加多邊形網絡，或者在連接時讓Polymarket為您做。只需在放置任何賭注之前，請確保您在多邊形（matic）網絡上。

And one last thing: secure your wallet like your life depends on it. Write down your secret recovery phrase (usually 12 or 24 words), keep it offline, and never share it. Set up Face ID or a PIN if your wallet allows it.

最後一件事：像生活一樣固定錢包取決於它。寫下您的秘密恢復短語（通常為12或24個單詞），使其離線，永遠不要共享。如果您的錢包允許，請設置臉部ID或銷釘。

Step 2: Load up on USDC (your betting currency)

步驟2：加載USDC（您的投注貨幣）

Polymarket doesn’t use Bitcoin or Ethereum for betting. It uses USDC, a stablecoin that’s always meant to equal $1. Why? Because it takes the wild crypto price swings out of the equation. You bet in dollars, not rollercoasters.

Polymarket不使用比特幣或以太坊進行投注。它使用USDC，這是一種始終等於$ 1的穩定幣。為什麼？因為它使野生加密價格從等式中擺脫了。您以美元押注，而不是過山車。

Here’s how to get USDC on Polygon into your wallet:

這是將多邊形上的USDC納入您的錢包的方法：

You’ll need a tiny bit of MATIC in your wallet, too. This pays for network fees (called gas), but don’t worry, it’s cheap. Even $1 worth of MATIC can cover dozens of transactions. Some exchanges let you withdraw MATIC directly, or you can ask a friend to send you a few cents worth to get started.

您的錢包中也需要一點點的墊片。這支付了網絡費用（稱為汽油），但不用擔心，這很便宜。即使是價值1美元的Matic也可以涵蓋數十項交易。一些交流可讓您直接撤回Matic，或者您可以要求朋友向您發送一些值得開始的美分。

Step 3: Connect your wallet to Polymarket (and choose how you log in)

步驟3：將錢包連接到多聚市場（並選擇登錄方式）

You’ve got your wallet set up. You’ve got your USDC ready. Now it’s time to plug into Polymarket.

您已經設置了錢包。您已經準備好了USDC。現在是時候插入多聚市場了。

Head over to polymarket.com and click "Sign Up" in the top-right corner of the page. You'll get two options:

前往PolyMarket.com，然後在頁面的頂角單擊“註冊”。您將獲得兩個選擇：

Once connected, Polymarket might ask you to:

連接後，Polymarket可能會要求您：

You’ll also be asked to sign a message in your wallet to confirm you’re the wallet owner. Don’t worry, this doesn’t cost anything. It just proves you’re legit and logs you in. After that, you’re in. Welcome to the marketplace.

還會要求您在錢包中籤署一條消息，以確認您是錢包所有者。不用擔心，這沒有任何費用。它只是證明您是合法的並將您登錄。之後，您進入了市場。歡迎來到市場。

Step 4: Deposit funds into Polymarket (Like Trading Chips at a Casino)

步驟4：將資金存入多個市場（例如賭場的交易籌碼）

Even though your wallet is connected, Polymarket uses an internal balance system to make trading instant. Think of it like a poker game: you

即使您的錢包已連接，Polymarket也使用內部平衡系統即時進行交易。認為它是撲克遊戲：您