特朗普，美聯儲和比特幣：紐約人對加密混亂的看法

分析特朗普的政策，美聯儲的決定與比特幣的狂野行駛之間的相互作用。特朗普會“接管”美聯儲，這對加密貨幣意味著什麼？

Buckle up, buttercups! The intersection of Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve, and Bitcoin is turning into a real three-ring circus. Let's unpack this Wall Street freak show, shall we?

係好，毛cup！唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump），美聯儲和比特幣的交匯處正在變成一個真正的三環馬戲團。讓我們打開這個華爾街怪胎秀的包裝，好嗎？

Trump vs. The Fed: A Battle Royale

特朗普與美聯儲：一場大賽

Remember when Trump was perpetually steamed at Fed Chair Jerome Powell? Turns out, that beef is still sizzling. Apparently, Trump was seeing red over Powell's interest rate hikes back in the day. Larry Kudlow, a Trump whisperer, even hinted that the ex-prez plans to "take the Fed over." Imagine the fireworks! This could seriously shake up the global financial apple cart, sending shivers down the spines of stock and crypto traders alike.

還記得特朗普永遠在美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）蒸時嗎？事實證明，牛肉仍在嘶嘶作響。顯然，特朗普看到鮑威爾在當天的利率上升的雷德。特朗普耳語者拉里·庫德洛（Larry Kudlow）甚至暗示前武裝部隊計劃“把美聯儲”。想像一下煙火！這可能會嚴重改變全球金融蘋果購物車，使股票和加密貨幣交易員的刺顫抖。

The drama goes way back. Some folks think Powell's rate hike last September was a sneaky jab at Trump, a little gift to Kamala Harris. And Trump floated the idea of booting Powell before his term ends next year, which, naturally, sent the markets into a tizzy. It's like a soap opera, but with trillions of dollars on the line.

這部戲回去了。有些人認為鮑威爾去年9月的加息是對特朗普的偷偷摸摸的戳戳，這是給卡瑪拉·哈里斯的小禮物。特朗普浮出水面的想法是在明年任期結束之前啟動鮑威爾的想法，這自然會使市場陷入困境。這就像一部肥皂劇，但有數万億美元。

Bitcoin's Wild Ride

比特幣的瘋狂騎行

Now, Bitcoin's been tagging along for this rollercoaster ride. The price has been doing the tango, surging with gold and hitting all-time highs. The crypto market's ballooned to over $4 trillion, with some experts whispering that the floodgates are opening. A dovish Fed pivot is anticipated to fuel further gains, with rate cuts expected to juice the market with more liquidity.

現在，比特幣一直在為這次過山車騎行。價格一直在做探戈，猛增了黃金，並達到歷史最高點。加密貨幣市場的激增到超過4萬億美元，一些專家竊竊私語說閘門正在開放。預計一個骯髒的美聯儲樞軸會促進進一步的增長，預計降低速度會以更多的流動性榨汁。

Arthur Hayes' Crystal Ball

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的水晶球

Arthur Hayes, the BitMEX bigwig, is betting big on this rally continuing into 2026. He's convinced Trump will pump up the economy by then, giving crypto an extra shot of adrenaline. Hayes is also bullish on stablecoins, predicting a tidal wave of cash flowing in, even from the old-school financial crowd. If the U.S. loosens its grip on Eurodollar guarantees, we could see over $10 trillion flood into stablecoins, DeFi, and the whole crypto shebang.

Bitmex Bigwig的Arthur Hayes押注了這次集會，一直持續到2026年。他堅信，特朗普那時將為經濟增強，使Crypto額外的腎上腺素射擊。海斯也看好穩定幣，預測甚至從老式的金融人群中流入的現金浪潮。如果美國放寬了對歐洲價值保證的控制權，我們可能會看到超過100萬億美元的洪水氾濫到Stablecoins，Defi和整個Crypto Shebang。

The Fed's Tightrope Walk

美聯儲的繩索步行

The Fed's been playing a delicate game, especially with Trump breathing down its neck. They froze interest rates for the first half of 2025, possibly fearing major shakeups under a new administration. But now, with the labor market looking a bit shaky, the winds are shifting. Everyone's expecting a rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Institutions like Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank are even predicting three cuts in 2025, which would bring rates to their lowest since 2022.

美聯儲一直在玩微妙的遊戲，尤其是特朗普呼吸著脖子。他們凍結了2025年上半年的利率，可能會擔心新政府的重大改組。但是現在，隨著勞動力市場看上去有些動搖，風正在發生變化。每個人都期望在即將舉行的FOMC會議上降低利率。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）和德意志銀行（Deutsche Bank）等機構甚至預測2025年的三項削減，這將使自2022年以來最低率。

Looking Ahead: Million-Dollar Bitcoins?

展望未來：百萬美元的比特幣？

Fast forward a few years, and the crystal ball gets even wilder. Some analysts are throwing around eye-popping Bitcoin price predictions for 2026, 2028, and even 2030. Arthur Hayes thinks Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2028, fueled by government debt and money printing. Cathie Wood from ARK Invest has a bullish prediction of $1.5 million by 2030. Talk about a payday!

快進了幾年，水晶球變得更加荒野。一些分析師在2026年，2028年甚至2030年都在拋棄比特幣的價格預測。亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）認為，在政府債務和金錢印刷的推動下，到2028年，比特幣將在2028年達到100萬美元。 ARK Invest的Cathie Wood到2030年的看漲預測為150萬美元。談論發薪日！

Final Thoughts: Keep Your Chin Up!

最後的想法：保持下巴！

So, what's the takeaway? Trump's feud with the Fed, combined with the Fed's dance with interest rates, is creating a volatile cocktail for Bitcoin and the crypto market. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just dipping your toes in, keep your eyes peeled and your wits about you. It's gonna be a bumpy, but potentially lucrative, ride!

那麼，收穫是什麼？特朗普與美聯儲的仇恨，再加上美聯儲的舞蹈和利率的舞蹈，正在為比特幣和加密貨幣市場創建揮發性雞尾酒。無論您是經驗豐富的交易員還是只是浸入腳趾，都可以剝去眼睛和對您的智慧。這將是一個坎bump的，但有可能是有利可圖的！