標題：比特幣（BTC）繼續無視全球經濟不確定性，更接近$ 86,000

比特幣（BTC）繼續抗拒全球經濟不確定性，更接近回收$ 86,000。現在，它距離其“解放日”高3％。

Crypto markets are beginning the second quarter on a mixed note, with U.S. macroeconomic data and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's interview highlighting key trends.

加密市場（Crypto Markets）在第二季度開始以美國宏觀經濟數據和財政部長Scott Bessent的採訪，突出了關鍵趨勢。

As of 4 p.m. ET (8 p.m. UT), Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $85,877.18 and is less than 3% away from reclaiming the $86,000 level. It is now less than 3% away from its "Liberation Day" high. To put the move into perspective, bitcoin dominance — which measures BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market cap — is approaching 64%, a level not seen since January 2021.

截至美國東部時間下午4點（UT），比特幣（BTC）的交易價格為85,877.18美元，距離收回$ 86,000的水平不到3％。現在，它距離其“解放日”高3％。為了邁向透視，比特幣優勢（衡量BTC在總加密貨幣市值中的份額）接近64％，這是自2021年1月以來未見的水平。

In contrast, the Nasdaq 100 is still 5% away from its own Liberation Day high, underscoring bitcoin's relative strength versus U.S. equities.

相比之下，納斯達克100號距離自己的解放日仍然有5％的距離，強調了比特幣的相對實力與美國股票的相對實力。

According to X account Cheddar Flow , the S&P 500 has just formed a "death cross" — a traditionally bearish signal that occurs when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. The last time this happened was March 15, 2022, when S&P 500 initially rose by 11% in the following week, only to be followed by a 20% decline. Bearish sentiment is also reflected in the options market, where investors are reportedly buying large volumes of NVDA puts , signaling expectations of lower prices.

根據X帳戶CHEDDAR流量，標準普爾500指數剛剛形成了“死亡十字”，這是一個傳統的看跌信號，當50天移動平均線降至200天移動平均線以下時，發生了這種看跌信號。最後一次發生是2022年3月15日，當時標準普爾500指數最初在接下來的一周中增長了11％，隨後又下降了20％。看跌的情緒也反映在期權市場上，據報導，投資者正在購買大量NVDA投票，這表明了對價格較低的預期。

In a Bloomberg interview on Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed confidence in the U.S. bond market, dismissing concerns that foreign nations are dumping Treasuries.

在周一的彭博社採訪中，財政部長斯科特·貝斯特（Scott Bessent）重申了對美國債券市場的信心，駁斥了對外國國家正在傾倒財政部的擔憂。

"I am not seeing a dumping of U.S. Treasuries ,” Bessent said. "The Treasury has lots of tools , but we're a long way from needing them." He also emphasized the enduring status of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, despite the DXY index — which measures the dollar's value against a basket of major trading partners — falling below 100 and dropping over 10% in recent weeks.

貝森特說：“我沒有看到美國國債的傾銷。” “財政部有很多工具，但是我們需要它們很長的路要走。”他還強調了美元的持久狀態作為全球儲備貨幣，儘管DXY指數衡量了美元對一籃子主要貿易夥伴的價值 - 近幾週內下降到100％以下，跌至10％以上。

Bessent also confirmed that the Trump administration is seeking a new Federal Reserve Chair to replace Jerome Powell, with interviews set to begin later in the year. He concluded the interview by suggesting that the VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) may have peaked after the largest one-day percentage drop in its history last week. Stay alert!

Bessent還確認，特朗普政府正在尋求新的美聯儲主席來取代杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell），訪談將於今年晚些時候開始。他通過建議VIX（標準普爾500指數）可能在上週曆史上最大的一日百分比下降之後達到頂峰，得出了訪談的結論。保持警覺！

What to Watch

看什麼

Crypto:

加密：

April 15: The first SmarDEX (SDEX) halving means the SDEX token's distribution will be cut by 50% for the next 12 months.

4月15日：第一個Smardex（SDEX）減半意味著SDEX令牌的分配將在接下來的12個月內降低50％。

April 16: HashKey Chain (HSK) mainnet upgrade enhances network stability and fee control capabilities.

4月16日：Hashkey Chain（HSK）Mainnet升級增強了網絡穩定性和收費控制功能。

April 17: EigenLayer (EIGEN) activates slashing on Ethereum mainnet, enforcing penalties for operator misconduct.

4月17日：Eigenlayer（Eigen）激活對以太坊主網上的削減，對操作員不當行為執行處罰。

April 18: Pepecoin (PEP), a layer-1, proof-of-work blockchain, undergoes its second halving , reducing block rewards to 15,625 PEP per block.

4月18日：Pepecoin（PEP）是工作證明區塊鏈，將其第二次減少到每塊PEP 15,625 PEP。

April 20, 11 p.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — opBNB mainnet hardfork .

4月20日，晚上11點：BNB鏈（BNB） - Opbnb Mainnet Hardfork。

April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

4月21日：Coinbase衍生產品將列出商品期貨交易委員會（CFTC）批准的XRP期貨。

Macro

宏

April 15, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases March consumer price inflation data.

4月15日上午8:30：加拿大統計局發布了3月份消費者價格通貨膨脹數據。

Core Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.7%

核心通貨膨脹率媽媽上一條。 0.7％

Core Inflation Rate YoY Prev. 2.7%

核心通貨膨脹率yoy上一條。 2.7％

Inflation Rate MoM Est. 0.6% vs. Prev. 1.1%

通貨膨脹率媽媽est。 0.6％與上一篇。 1.1％

Inflation Rate YoY Est. 2.6% vs. Prev. 2.6%

通貨膨脹率yoy est。 2.6％vs.上一條。 2.6％

April 16, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Census Bureau releases March retail sales data.

4月16日上午8:30：美國人口普查局發布了3月零售數據。

Retail Sales MoM Est. 1.4% vs. Prev. 0.2%

零售業媽媽EST。 1.4％與上一篇。 0.2％

Retail Sales YoY Prev. 3.1%

零售銷售約比。 3.1％

April 16, 9:45 a.m.: Bank of Canada releases its latest interest rate decision, followed by a press conference 45 minutes later.

4月16日，上午9:45：加拿大銀行發布了最新的利率決定，然後在45分鐘後舉行新聞發布會。

Policy Interest Rate Est. 2.75% vs. Prev. 2.75%

政策利率EST。 2.75％與上一篇。 2.75％

April 16, 1:30 p.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will deliver an “Economic Outlook” speech. Livestream link .

4月16日，下午1:30：美聯儲主席Jerome H. Powell將發表“經濟前景”演講。直播鏈接。

April 17, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Census Bureau releases March new residential construction data.

4月17日上午8:30：美國人口普查局發布了三月新的住宅建築數據。

Housing Starts Est. 1.42M

住房開始。 142m