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比特幣的現貨價格約為109,600美元,在以前有史以來高中的破損標誌的持續看漲趨勢中。
After hitting a new all-time high, Bitcoin is entering a slight stabilization phase. Discover our complete technical analysis and the scenarios to watch for BTC.
達到了新的歷史最高水平後,比特幣進入了一個輕微的穩定階段。發現我們的完整技術分析和觀看BTC的方案。
BTC/USD Technical Analysis
BTC/USD技術分析
The spot price of bitcoin is trading around $109,600, still in a sustained bullish trend following the breakout of the previous all-time high. The weekly variation of +2.42% marks a recovery after a short consolidation phase, accompanied by a clear resurgence in activity, with weekly volumes reaching $44 billion, up 41%. Technically, the trend remains firmly bullish in the long term (200 SMA), while the pace accelerates in the medium term (50 SMA), confirming positive momentum. In the short term (20 SMA), the upward phase continues, although some signs of fatigue appear. Momentum shows a slight recovery but remains in an overbought zone, suggesting stabilization of momentum rather than a strong acceleration.
比特幣的現貨價格約為109,600美元,在以前的歷史最高水平突破之後仍處於持續的看漲趨勢。 +2.42%的每週變化標誌著短暫的合併階段後的恢復,伴隨著明顯的活動復興,每週量達到440億美元,增長了41%。從技術上講,從長遠來看(200 SMA),這種趨勢仍然堅定地看漲,而速度在中期(50 SMA)中加速了,證實了積極的勢頭。在短期(20 SMA)中,儘管出現了一些疲勞跡象,但上升階段仍在繼續。動量顯示出輕微的恢復,但仍處於過多的區域,表明動量穩定而不是強大的加速度。
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Levels
比特幣(BTC)技術級別
In an active consolidation context under resistance, Bitcoin is trading near major technical levels, with an still constructive market structure. Resistances at $110,500 and $112,000 (previous ATH) are critical zones that could serve as distribution thresholds if buying power exhausts. On the downside, supports at $106,790, $100,700, and $91,713 represent important defense levels, often linked to accumulation phases. The last daily breakout at $109,346 validates a bullish technical breach of the previous all-time high, reinforcing a positive short-term bias. The monthly pivot point at $88,177 remains well below the current price, serving as a structural reference level. Finally, the volume profile highlights an upper value area at $111,434 and a lower value area at $103,500, delineating a market balance beyond which a more significant imbalance could emerge.
在阻力下的積極合併環境中,比特幣的交易接近主要的技術水平,具有建設性的市場結構。電阻為110,500美元和112,000美元(以前的ATH)是關鍵區域,如果購買電力排氣,則可以用作分配門檻。不利的一面是,支援$ 106,790,100,700美元和91,713美元代表著重要的國防水平,通常與累積階段有關。上次每日突破$ 109,346驗證了對以前歷史最高水平的看漲技術破壞,從而增強了積極的短期偏見。每月的樞軸點為88,177美元,遠低於當前價格,作為結構參考水平。最後,該數量概況突出顯示了一個高價值面積為$ 111,434,較低的價值面積為103,500美元,劃定了市場平衡,超出了市場平衡,可能會出現更大的不平衡。
Market Sentiment
市場情緒
The market operates in a greed zone, reflecting euphoric sentiment and a clear resurgence in risk appetite. BTC spot ETFs register significant inflows, indicating clear institutional support for the current bullish momentum.
市場在貪婪的地區運作,反映出欣快的情緒和風險食慾的明顯復興。 BTC斑點ETF登記了大量流入,表明對當前的看漲勢頭的機構支持明顯。
The current technical analysis was conducted in collaboration with Elyfe, and 0xhugzer, investors and educators in the cryptocurrency market.
當前的技術分析是與Elyfe合作進行的,而0xhugzer,加密貨幣市場的投資者和教育者。
Derivatives Analysis (BTC/USDT)
衍生物分析(BTC/USDT)
Derivatives indicators offer a balanced reading of the market. Open interest continues to rise, reflecting growing speculative interest in the futures market. CVD flows remain overall balanced, with no net pressure signal between buyers and sellers. Liquidation activity remains moderate and directionally unbiased, while the slightly positive funding rate suggests a minor advantage for long positions.
衍生品指標提供了對市場的平衡閱讀。開放興趣不斷上升,反映了期貨市場日益增長的投機興趣。 CVD流仍然整體平衡,買賣雙方之間沒有淨壓力信號。清算活動仍然是中等和方向無偏的,而略有正面的資金率表明長位置的優勢較小。
Bitcoin trades between two major technical liquidation zones.
比特幣在兩個主要的技術清算區之間進行交易。
On the upside, the $111,100 to $112,600 zone corresponds to a cluster of seller liquidations; surpassing it could act as a catalyst for bullish acceleration. On the downside, the zone between $106,000 and $93,000 is an area of vulnerability, where increased selling pressure could trigger forced liquidation moves.
從好的方面來說,$ 111,100至$ 112,600的區域對應於一群賣方清算。超越它可能是看漲加速的催化劑。不利的一面是,$ 106,000至93,000美元之間的區域是一個脆弱性的區域,銷售壓力增加可能會觸發強迫清算的移動。
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecasts
比特幣(BTC)價格預測
Bullish scenario: A breakout above the $113,000 level could open the door to a continuation of the uptrend with the next target at $120,000.
看漲的情況:超過$ 113,000水平的突破可能打開了上一個目標的延續,下一個目標為120,000美元。
Bearish scenario: A drop below the $100,000 support level could negate the bullish technical bias and herald a deeper correction, potentially aiming for the $76,000 level.
看跌方案:低於$ 100,000的支持水平的下降可能會抵消看漲的技術偏見,並預示著更深層的更正,可能是目標76,000美元的目標。
Commentary: The technical bias remains bullish, favoring a continuation of the upward movement. However, US macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and interest rates, as well as news related to the global geopolitical context, will be decisive in confirming this scenario.
評論:技術偏見仍然是看好的,有利於延續向上運動。但是,美國宏觀經濟指標(例如通貨膨脹和利率)以及與全球地緣政治背景相關的新聞,將決定這種情況。
Conclusion
結論
Bitcoin is evolving in a positive dynamic, supported by a robust technical structure and a renewed speculative interest. Despite a consolidation phase below key levels, the bias remains bullish, driven by a balanced market context and an overall optimistic sentiment. Current levels remain sensitive, and the price evolution will largely depend on reactions around technical pressure zones and the global macroeconomic climate. In this context, it will be essential to closely monitor the price reactions at strategic levels to confirm or adjust current forecasts.
比特幣正在以積極的動態發展,並以強大的技術結構和新的投機興趣支持。儘管合併階段低於關鍵水平,但在平衡的市場環境和整體樂觀情緒的推動下,偏見仍然看漲。當前水平保持敏感,價格演變將在很大程度上取決於技術壓力區域周圍的反應和全球宏觀經濟氣候。在這種情況下,必須密切監視戰略水平的價格反應以確認或調整當前預測。
Finally, let us remind you that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and that cryptocurrency prices can change rapidly due to other more fundamental factors.
最後,讓我們提醒您這些分析僅基於技術標準,並且由於其他更基本的因素,加密貨幣價格可能會迅速變化。
Did this study interest you? Find our latest Dogecoin analysis.
這項研究感興趣嗎?查找我們最新的狗蛋白分析。
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通過我們的“閱讀賺取”計劃最大化您的共同成員體驗!對於您閱讀的每篇文章,請賺取積分並獲得獨家獎勵。立即註冊並開始賺取福利。
Spécialiste en analyse technique, Elyfe décrypte les tendances graphiques des marchés des cryptomonnaies avec une approche rigoureuse et en constante évolution. À travers ses analyses détaillées, il apporte un regard éclairé sur la dynamique des prix, aidant les investisseurs et
技術分析的專家,Elyfe用嚴格且不斷發展的方法破譯了加密貨幣市場的圖形趨勢。通過詳細的分析,他帶來了明智的探討價格動態,幫助投資者和
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