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這是可能場景的細分:
The price movement following token unlocks—such as those for Solana (SOL) and TRUMP tokens on May 24—depends on how the market reacts. Here’s a breakdown of possible scenarios:
代幣解鎖之後的價格運動,例如5月24日的Solana(Sol)和Trump Tokens的價格運動都取決於市場的反應。這是可能場景的細分:
📉 Reasons the Price Might Go Down
📉價格可能會下跌的原因
• Increased Supply = Sell Pressure: When locked tokens become available, some holders (especially those linked to FTX or TRUMP insiders) might sell immediately, increasing supply and pushing prices down.
•供應量增加=賣出壓力:鎖定令牌可用時,一些持有人(尤其是與FTX或特朗普內部人士相關的持有人)可能會立即出售,增加供應並將價格降低。
• FTX/Alameda Liquidations (for SOL): If tokens are liquidated to repay creditors, that could trigger localized selling.
•FTX/Alameda清算(用於SOL):如果將令牌清算以償還債權人,則可能觸發本地銷售。
• Negative Sentiment: Traders might preemptively sell in anticipation of a "dump," driving the price down before the unlock even occurs.
•負面情緒:交易者可能會因預期“轉儲”而先發售,在解鎖發生之前將價格降低。
Optimism in bitcoin price movements following a series of legal developments in the U.S. is largely misplaced, according to Ben Armstrong.
根據本·阿姆斯特朗(Ben Armstrong)的說法,在美國一系列法律發展之後,比特幣價格變動的樂觀情緒在很大程度上放錯了位置。
The crypto trader and influencer said in a recent YouTube video that while the legal cases are interesting to follow, they shouldn't be used to make short-term trading decisions.
加密交易者和影響者在最近的YouTube視頻中說,儘管法律案件很有趣,但不應使用它們來做出短期交易決定。
"People are getting massively carried away with this whole legal angle on bitcoin," Armstrong said. "We've had some legal developments recently that have seen people bullish on bitcoin price action."
阿姆斯特朗說:“人們在比特幣上的整個法律角度都大大蒙受了責任。” “最近,我們有一些法律發展,使人們對比特幣價格行動看漲。”
Specifically, Armstrong was referring to a recent ruling by a U.S. judge who shot down the Securities and Exchange Commission's bid to block an exchange-traded fund, or ETF, that would track bitcoin futures.
具體來說,阿姆斯特朗指的是美國法官最近的裁決,該裁決擊落了證券交易委員會旨在阻止將追踪比特幣期貨的交易所交易基金或ETF。
The ruling was seen as a setback for the SEC, which has been trying to crack down on cryptocurrencies, and it was broadly viewed by the crypto community as a positive development for the industry.
該裁決被視為SEC的挫折,該裁決一直在努力打擊加密貨幣,而加密貨幣社區廣泛認為這是該行業的積極發展。
However, Armstrong argued that the ruling shouldn't necessarily be used to predict bitcoin price movements.
但是,阿姆斯特朗認為,該裁決不應一定用來預測比特幣的價格變動。
"I think people are reading too much into it," he said. "It's certainly interesting to follow these legal cases, but I don't think we should be making short-term trading decisions based on them."
他說:“我認為人們正在讀太多。” “遵循這些法律案件肯定很有趣,但是我認為我們不應該根據它們做出短期交易決策。”
Instead, Armstrong said that traders should focus on the broader market trends and technical indicators when making trading decisions.
相反,阿姆斯特朗說,交易者在做出交易決策時應關注更廣泛的市場趨勢和技術指標。
"We need to be looking at the bigger picture here," he said. "What is the overall market sentiment? How are the technical indicators looking? These are the things that will ultimately determine where the price goes."
他說:“我們需要在這裡查看更大的局面。” “總體市場情緒是什麼?技術指標的外觀如何?這些是最終確定價格上漲的事情。”
Ultimately, Armstrong said that he believes bitcoin price will continue to move higher in the long term, as more institutions and individuals invest in the cryptocurrency.
最終,阿姆斯特朗說,他認為比特幣價格從長遠來看將繼續提高,因為越來越多的機構和個人投資加密貨幣。
"Bitcoin is still the clear leader in this space," he said. "It's the cryptocurrency that everyone knows and trusts, and I think we'll continue to see more capital flowing into bitcoin in the years to come."
他說:“比特幣仍然是這個領域的明確領導者。” “這是每個人都知道並信任的加密貨幣,我認為在未來幾年中,我們將繼續看到更多資本流入比特幣。”
"I'm not saying that we won't see any price drops or that we shouldn't prepare for them," he added. "But I do think that the long-term trend is up, and I'm personally bullish on bitcoin."
他補充說:“我並不是說我們不會看到任何價格下跌,也不應該為它們做準備。” “但是我確實認為長期趨勢已經上升了,我個人看好比特幣。”
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