2023 年 12 月 Polkadot (DOT) 價格分析：市場適應宏觀經濟壓力時需要關注的關鍵水平

Polkadot（DOT）經歷了動盪的12月，挑戰與機會並存。在 11 月令人印象深刻的 125.75% 漲幅之後，DOT 的價值一直面臨壓力，本週稍早跌至 7.16 美元。

After a turbulent December that saw its value plummet to $7.16 earlier this week, Polkadot (DOT) appears to be garnering support at a critical level amid a challenging market environment.

在經歷了動蕩的 12 月並於本週早些時候暴跌至 7.16 美元之後，Polkadot (DOT) 似乎在充滿挑戰的市場環境中獲得了關鍵水平的支撐。

As of December 20, DOT trades at $7.18, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 37.20, indicating slightly oversold conditions.

截至 12 月 20 日，DOT 交易價格為 7.18 美元，相對強弱指數 (RSI) 為 37.20，顯示有輕微超賣情況。

The Stochastic Oscillator (STOCH) is at 34, suggesting a balanced sentiment.

隨機振盪指標 (STOCH) 位於 34，表示市場情緒平衡。

According to analysts, this aligns with technical indicators that hint at a potential significant move for the cryptocurrency.

分析師表示，這與暗示加密貨幣潛在重大走勢的技術指標一致。

During its recent price decline, Polkadot’s price entered the critical 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci range.

在最近的價格下跌期間，Polkadot 的價格進入了關鍵的 0.5 和 0.618 斐波那契範圍。

This zone has historically served as a pivot point, often leading to a resurgence in demand.

該區域歷史上一直是一個樞紐點，通常會導致需求復甦。

On-chain data seems to be supporting this, indicating $1 million in spot outflow on Friday morning, as reported by Coinglass, highlighting five straight days of outflows since December 16.

鏈上數據似乎支持了這一點，據 Coinglass 報道，週五上午現貨資金流出達 100 萬美元，突顯自 12 月 16 日以來連續五天資金流出。

As Polkadot’s price consolidates around the $6.50 mark in the derivatives market, analysts are observing a Head and Shoulders pattern forming on technical charts.

隨著 Polkadot 的價格在衍生性商品市場上於 6.50 美元大關附近盤整，分析師正在觀察技術圖表上形成的頭肩形態。

Currently, the price appears to be breaking down below the “neckline” (a support line connecting the troughs between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder).

目前，價格似乎正在跌破「頸線」（連接左肩、頭和右肩之間的低谷的支撐線）。

A head-and-shoulders pattern is usually interpreted as a bearish reversal pattern, indicating that the uptrend is likely coming to an end, with further downward movement being expected.

頭肩形態通常被解釋為看跌反轉形態，表明上升趨勢可能即將結束，預計將進一步下跌。

Once the neckline is broken, the price typically drops, with the potential target being the pattern’s height (from the neckline to the head) projected downward.

一旦頸線被突破，價格通常會下跌，潛在目標是向下投射的形態高度（從頸部線到頭部）。

Despite the recent bearish trends, Polkadot’s ability to maintain support at $6 underscores buyer confidence in the cryptocurrency.

儘管最近出現看跌趨勢，但 Polkadot 能夠維持 6 美元的支撐位，凸顯了買家對加密貨幣的信心。

Its supply of over 1.5 billion tokens ensures liquidity, bolstering its resilience.

其供應量超過 15 億個代幣確保了流動性，並增強了其彈性。

Analysts maintain that breaking through the $9 resistance is essential for any upward movement, with trading volumes set to determine the trajectory in the coming days.

分析師認為，突破 9 美元阻力位對於任何上漲走勢都是至關重要的，交易量將決定未來幾天的走勢。

The broader crypto market’s reaction to the latest Federal Reserve meeting also influenced Polkadot’s mid-week dip.

更廣泛的加密市場對最新聯準會會議的反應也影響了 Polkadot 週中的下跌。

As the market adjusts to macroeconomic pressures, Polkadot traders remain divided—some anticipating further downside, while others are banking on a bullish comeback.

隨著市場適應宏觀經濟壓力，Polkadot 交易員仍然存在分歧——有些人預計會進一步下跌，而有些人則寄望於看漲捲土重來。