PI網絡（PI）價格預測：拉伸估值可能會導致生態系統新聞之前發生崩潰

PI網絡價格在最近幾週的波動性大幅度波動率，目前的交易價格為0.7796美元。雖然令牌在過去24小時內增加了6％

The price of Pi Network (PI) has shown signs of volatility in recent times, currently trading at $0.7796. While the token has seen a 6% surge in the past 24 hours, it’s still down 38% over the last seven days and over 70% from its all-time high of $2.99, which was reached in February.

PI Network（PI）的價格最近顯示出波動率的跡象，目前交易價格為0.7796美元。儘管該令牌在過去的24小時中的增長6％，但在過去的七天中仍然下跌了38％，比2月達到的2.99美元的歷史高處超過70％。

As reported by AMB Crypto, there has been a slight increase in trading volume to more than $221 million in the past 24 hours, indicating renewed interest in the market despite the overall downtrend.

據Amb Crypto報導，在過去24小時內，交易量略有增加到超過2.21億美元，表明儘管總體下降趨勢，但在市場上的新興趣。

The recent price crash began after May 12, when Pi Network surged to $1.6631 ahead of ecosystem news. Since then, the price has dropped below several key technical indicators.

最近的價格崩潰始於5月12日之後，當時PI網絡在生態系統新聞之前飆升至1.6631美元。從那時起，價格下降到了幾個關鍵的技術指標以下。

Analysis of the daily chart presents mixed signals. The relative strength index is approaching the 51 level, which suggests a neutral trend. The 20- and 30-day moving averages have turned positive, indicating that some buying strength is returning.

每日圖表的分析呈現混合信號。相對強度指數正在接近51級，這表明是中立趨勢的。 20天和30天的移動平均值已變為正，表明某些購買力正在恢復。

However, short-term indicators like the 10-day EMA and SMA continue to present sell signals. At present, support appears to be forming around $0.77, and resistance is at $0.84, which needs to be breached for a stronger recovery.

但是，諸如10天EMA和SMA之類的短期指標繼續呈現賣出信號。目前，支持似乎是$ 0.77，電阻為0.84美元，需要違反更強大的恢復。

Technical Analysis: Bearish Pennant Could Send Pi Down 45%

技術分析：看跌三角旗可以將PI下降45％

Technical analysis of the eight-hour chart reveals a concerning pattern forming in the price of Pi Network. The cryptocurrency is forming what appears to be a bearish pennant pattern.

八小時圖表的技術分析揭示了PI網絡價格中有關模式的形成。加密貨幣正在形成似乎是看跌的五角旗模式。

This pattern is characterized by a flagpole-like vertical line, followed by a triangular consolidation pattern. The pennant is typically observed after a sharp decline in price, presenting a final drop before a rebound.

該模式的特徵是旗桿狀的垂直線，其次是三角形鞏固模式。通常在價格下降急劇下降後觀察到錦標賽，在反彈之前出現了最後的下降。

In the case of Pi Network, the pennant pattern follows a decline of nearly 70% from the highs of around $2.56 to lows of $0.77.

在PI網絡的情況下，五角旗模式的下降距離為2.56美元左右，低於$ 0.77。

If this bearish pattern completes with a downward breakout, it could push Pi’s price to a support level of $0.5580. This level corresponds to the previous lows reached on April 9 and April 30.

如果這種看跌模式以下降的突破完成，則可以將PI的價格提高到0.5580美元的支持水平。該級別對應於4月9日和4月30日達到的先前低點。

Failure to hold this support could result in further decline toward $0.40, rendering a 45% drop from current prices.

如果不進行此支持可能會導致進一步下降到0.40美元，從而使目前的價格下降了45％。

However, this bearish forecast could be invalidated if Pi manages to rise above the psychological resistance of $1.

但是，如果PI設法超過1美元的心理抵抗，這種看跌的預測可能會無效。

Centralization Concerns As Pi Foundation Holds Billions In Tokens

集中化問題，因為PI基金會擁有數十億個令牌

One of the main hurdles for Pi Network is its centralized structure. According to reports, the Pi Foundation holds at least 72.7 billion tokens, currently valued at over $53 billion, in seven wallets, in addition to more tokens in thousands of other wallets.

PI網絡的主要障礙之一是其集中式結構。據報導，除了數千個其他錢包中，Pi Foundation至少擁有727億個令牌，目前價值超過530億美元，還擁有7個錢包中的530億美元。

This high level of centralization poses risks for token holders, as these wallets have not been subject to audits. If the foundation decides to sell these tokens or hackers gain access to the wallets, it could lead to a dramatic crash in the token’s price.

這種高水平的集中化給令牌持有人帶來了風險，因為這些錢包沒有受到審計的約束。如果基金會決定出售這些代幣或黑客訪問錢包，則可能導致令牌價格發生巨大的崩潰。

Moreover, the centralized nature of Pi Network poses a challenge for obtaining listings on major exchanges like Binance and Upbit. Most top-tier exchanges are typically reluctant to list cryptocurrency projects with such concentrated token distribution.

此外，PI網絡的集中性質對獲得Binance和Upbit等主要交易所的上市構成了挑戰。大多數頂級交易所通常不願列出具有集中令牌分佈的加密貨幣項目。

Chart Analysis: Pi Network Faces Token Unlocks And Ecosystem Growth Challenges

圖表分析：PI網絡面臨令牌解鎖和生態系統增長挑戰

An analysis of Pi Network’s tokenomics reveals another challenge that could hamper price gains.

對PI Network的標記學的分析揭示了另一個挑戰，可能會阻礙價格上漲。

Data shows that the network will unlock 271.18 million tokens over the next 30 days, with a daily average exceeding 9 million tokens.

數據顯示，該網絡將在接下來的30天內解鎖2.718億個令牌，每天的平均值超過900萬個令牌。

Looking further ahead, 1.49 billion tokens will be unlocked over the next 12 months. Considering that Pi has a maximum supply of 100 billion and a current circulating supply of 7.9 billion, the supply will grow by over 92 billion tokens over time.

進一步展望，在接下來的12個月中，將解鎖14.9億個令牌。考慮到PI的最高供應量為1000億，目前的循環供應量為79億，因此隨著時間的推移，供應將增長超過920億個令牌。

These continuous unlocks increase the available supply, which can exert downward pressure on prices, especially if it’s not met with a corresponding rise in demand.

這些連續解鎖會增加可用的供應，這可能會對價格施加向下壓力，尤其是在需求相應增加的情況下。

Furthermore, Pi Network has faced criticism as a potential “ghost chain,” with few developers actively building applications on its platform. Although the mainnet launched with 100 apps, most of them have failed to gain significant user traction.

此外，PI Network面臨批評是一種潛在的“幽靈連鎖店”，很少有開發人員會在其平台上積極構建應用程序。儘管主網啟動了100個應用程序，但其中大多數未能獲得大量的用戶牽引力。

The $100 million Pi Network Ventures fund was established to support the growth of its ecosystem. However, despite this initiative, there hasn’t been much progress to report yet.

建立了1億美元的PI Network Ventures基金，以支持其生態系統的增長。但是，儘管採取了主動行動，但報告還沒有太多進展。

Without strong applications driving usage, the Pi Network token primarily serves as a subject of speculation rather than having intrinsic utility.

沒有強大的應用程序推動使用，PI網​​絡令牌主要是投機的主題，而不是具有內在效用。

Many users have also encountered difficulties accessing their coins since the February mainnet launch due to ongoing Know Your Customer (KYC) delays. This has frustrated early miners who anticipated being able to freely use or trade their tokens.

自2月Mainnet發布以來，由於持續了解您的客戶（KYC）延遲，許多用戶還遇到了訪問硬幣的困難。這使早期的礦工感到沮喪，他們希望能夠自由使用或交易其令牌。

Finally, Pi Network’s absence from major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance has limited its liquidity and wider adoption. While the token is traded on

最後，PI網絡缺席Coinbase和Binance等主要交易所的缺席限制了其流動性和更廣泛的採用。代幣交易