彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff），比特幣和黃金樹籬：逆勢的加密貨幣轉彎？

彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）正在軟化比特幣的立場嗎？探索他不斷發展的觀點以及關於比特幣與黃金的持續辯論，以此作為對美元弱點的樹籬。

Peter Schiff, Bitcoin, and the Gold Hedge: A Contrarian's Crypto Turn?

彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff），比特幣和黃金樹籬：逆勢的加密貨幣轉彎？

Peter Schiff, a well-known economist and gold advocate, has long been a vocal critic of Bitcoin. But things may be changing. This article dives into Schiff's evolving views on Bitcoin and the enduring debate of whether Bitcoin or gold serves as the better hedge against a weakening dollar.

著名的經濟學家和黃金倡導者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）長期以來一直是比特幣的聲音批評者。但是事情可能正在改變。本文深入了解了Schiff對比特幣的不斷發展的看法，以及關於比特幣或黃金是否可以作為對美元疲軟的對沖的持久辯論。

Schiff's Shifting Sands: From Bitcoin Basher to... Crypto Creator?

席夫（Schiff）的變化沙子：從比特幣Basher到...加密創作者？

For years, Schiff has dismissed Bitcoin, even calling it a "national threat." However, recent reports suggest a potential shift. He now claims to "understand" Bitcoin and has even hinted at launching his own gold-backed token. Talk about a plot twist!

多年來，席夫（Schiff）駁回了比特幣，甚至稱其為“國家威脅”。但是，最近的報告表明潛在的轉變。他現在聲稱要“了解”比特幣，甚至暗示要推出自己的金牌代幣。談論情節扭曲！

While he remains skeptical of stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar (questioning their utility when still tied to a potentially collapsing fiat currency), his interest in a gold-backed token suggests a begrudging acknowledgement of blockchain's potential.

儘管他仍然對固定的穩定幣持懷疑態度（在仍與潛在崩潰的法定貨幣聯繫在一起時質疑他們的效用），但他對金牌的興趣表明，他對Blockchain潛力的承認表示讚賞。

The Enduring Debate: Bitcoin vs. Gold as a Dollar Hedge

持久的辯論：比特幣與黃金作為美元樹籬

Schiff's traditional argument centers around gold's historical performance during periods of dollar weakness. He argues that gold, not Bitcoin, will benefit due to established market behavior. He even contends that Bitcoin has a negative correlation with gold, undermining its safe-haven status.

席夫的傳統論點圍繞著美元弱點期間黃金的歷史表現。他認為，由於既定的市場行為，黃金而不是比特幣將受益。他甚至認為比特幣與黃金有負相關性，破壞了其安全的地位。

He's not alone in this view. Traditional economists often point to gold's track record. However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its limited supply (21 million coins) and decentralized nature make it a superior store of value, especially as governments continue to print fiat currency.

從這個角度來看，他並不孤單。傳統經濟學家通常指出Gold的往績。但是，比特幣的支持者認為，其供應有限（2100萬個硬幣）和分散的自然界使其成為卓越的價值存儲，尤其是當政府繼續印刷法定貨幣時。

Inflation, Debt, and the Bitcoin Bull Case

通貨膨脹，債務和比特幣公牛案

The passage of large spending bills, like the one mentioned, often fuels the Bitcoin narrative. Such bills can lead to inflation and a weaker dollar, prompting investors to seek hedges. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, is increasingly viewed as a safe haven against government fiscal policy.

像提到的那樣，大型支出賬單的通過通常會為比特幣的敘述增添。這樣的法案可能導致通貨膨脹和較弱的美元，促使投資者尋求樹籬。比特幣以固定的供應被視為反對政府財政政策的避風港。

This perspective contrasts sharply with Schiff's view that buying Bitcoin puts the dollar under pressure, harming the nation. The core disagreement lies in whether Bitcoin is a legitimate store of value or a speculative asset.

這種觀點與Schiff的觀點形成鮮明對比，即購買比特幣將美元承受壓力，損害了國家。核心分歧在於比特幣是價值的合法存儲還是投機資產。

My Take: A Nuanced View is Needed

我的看法：需要一個細微的視圖

While Schiff's skepticism has merit, dismissing Bitcoin entirely seems short-sighted. Bitcoin's increasing adoption and resilience suggest it's more than just a passing fad. However, it's also crucial to acknowledge its volatility and the inherent risks of investing in a relatively new asset class. Gold is the tried and true, but Bitcoin's disruption and limited supply can't be ignored.

儘管席夫的懷疑是值得的，但完全駁斥比特幣似乎是短視的。比特幣的採用和韌性越來越多地表明，這不僅僅是一種過時的時尚。但是，承認其波動性和投資相對較新的資產類別的固有風險也至關重要。黃金是久經考驗的，但是比特幣的破壞和有限的供應不容忽視。

So, Will Schiff Launch a Crypto? And Will Bitcoin Dethrone Gold?

那麼，Schiff會推出加密貨幣嗎？比特幣德雷隆黃金會嗎？

Only time will tell if Schiff actually launches his gold-backed token. But one thing is clear: the debate surrounding Bitcoin, gold, and their roles as hedges against economic uncertainty will continue. Maybe someday, Peter Schiff will be buying the dip. Stranger things have happened, right?

只有時間會證明Schiff是否真的推出了他的金牌代幣。但是有一件事很清楚：圍繞比特幣，黃金的辯論及其作為對沖對經濟不確定性的角色將繼續。也許有一天，彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）會購買蘸醬。陌生人的事情發生了，對嗎？