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The former U.S. president has lost none of his knack for shaking things up. By announcing on Truth Social, on May 7, the imminent signing of a “major trade deal” with a “highly respected” country, Donald Trump has clearly awakened speculators.
After several rumors, The New York Times quickly identifies the United Kingdom as a potential partner.
Immediate result: the bitcoin price climbs from 97,759 dollars to 99,140 dollars, nearing the symbolic 100,000 dollar mark. A rise that can be partly explained by the technical analysis developed by Charlie Sherry, analyst at BTC Markets.
Indeed, the market contradicted bearish expectations by forming an unexpected bullish structure.
And Anthony Pompliano adds: with this kind of deal, the chances of a new all-time high in 2025 rise significantly.
The Fed keeps rates stable despite Trump pressure
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is sticking to its guns. The American central bank has opted to keep its interest rates in a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, despite Donald Trump’s repeated calls for a rapid cut.
A monetary status quo that has briefly cooled the market: bitcoin dropped to 95,866 dollars before bouncing back strongly. The message is clear: even without a Fed pivot, the market remains responsive to political narrative. And Trump masters this art perfectly.
Bitcoin: technical signals lean towards euphoria despite fear
The momentum is not just based on Donald Trump’s words. Indeed, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index shows a return to 65 in the “Greed” zone, confirming a decidedly bullish sentiment.
Chart of the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. Source: Arcane Research
Moreover, inflows into bitcoin spot ETFs have totaled 4.41 billion dollars since the end of March. Fuel in abundance to sustain the market momentum.
But a note of caution: economist Timothy Peterson warns that a prolonged delay by the Fed in cutting rates could reverse the trend. In this scenario, bitcoin could fall back toward 70,000 dollars, which remains strong but less spectacular.
With Donald Trump back in the spotlight, every statement can become a catalyst. And even if the Fed maintains its course, the markets show they don’t need a pivot to dream bigger. At the crossroads of finance and politics, bitcoin more than ever embodies this gray area between risk and opportunity.
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