第五大比特幣鯨魚在減半預期中轉移 60.5 億美元

第五大比特幣（BTC）鯨魚最近於 3 月 23 日透過三筆不同交易轉移了價值 60.5 億美元的 BTC。休眠的比特幣地址“37X”幾乎移動了其全部 94.5K BTC 餘額，僅留下 1.4 BTC。這項活動發生在預期的比特幣減半事件之前，比特幣網路的區塊獎勵將減半，專家認為這可能會進一步推動需求並推高價格。

Fifth-Largest Bitcoin Whale Transacts $6.05 Billion in Major Transfer

第五大比特幣鯨魚大額轉帳交易金額達 60.5 億美元

March 25, 2024 – A dormant Bitcoin address labeled "37X" has recently revived its activity, transferring $6.05 billion worth of BTC to three new addresses. Arkham Intelligence reports the transactions occurred on March 23.

2024 年 3 月 25 日——一個標記為「37X」的休眠比特幣地址最近恢復了活動，將價值 60.5 億美元的 BTC 轉移到三個新地址。 Arkham Intelligence 報告稱，這些交易發生在 3 月 23 日。

The "37X" address had been inactive since 2019, holding an estimated 94.5K BTC. The transfer effectively liquidated the account, leaving a mere 1.4 BTC.

「37X」地址自 2019 年以來一直處於閒置狀態，估計持有 9.45 萬個 BTC。這次轉帳其實清算了帳戶，只剩下 1.4 BTC。

Transaction Context: Halving Anticipation

交易背景：預期減半

This significant movement coincides with growing anticipation surrounding the upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 20. During the halving, the block rewards for Bitcoin miners will be reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

這一重大變動恰逢人們對即將於 4 月 20 日舉行的比特幣減半的預期不斷增長。減半期間，比特幣礦工的區塊獎勵將從 6.25 BTC 減少至 3.125 BTC。

Experts speculate that this supply reduction, coupled with increasing institutional adoption, could trigger an enhanced scarcity for Bitcoin, potentially boosting its price in the aftermath.

專家推測，供應量的減少，加上機構採用率的提高，可能會引發比特幣的稀缺性加劇，這可能會推高其價格。

BTC Price Projections and Catalysts

比特幣價格預測與催化劑

Many analysts anticipate that Bitcoin's all-time high of $73,750.07 may not represent its peak. Consensus estimates suggest a potential surge towards $100k by the end of 2024, following a period of profit-taking and correction around the halving event.

許多分析師預計，比特幣的歷史高點 73,750.07 美元可能並不代表其高峰。共識估計表明，在減半事件發生一段時間的獲利回吐和調整之後，到 2024 年底，比特幣價格可能飆升至 10 萬美元。

Basile Maire, Co-Founder of D8X, emphasizes that the impact of reduced BTC issuance has not yet been fully reflected in market valuations, based on the fundamental principles of supply and demand.

D8X 聯合創辦人 Basile Maire 強調，根據供需基本原理，BTC 發行量減少的影響尚未完全反映在市場估值中。

Maire forecasts a bolder $100k target for Bitcoin by May, just a month after the halving, citing increased open interest at that price point.

Maire 預測，到 5 月份，即減半後一個月，比特幣的目標將達到 10 萬美元，理由是該價格點的未平倉合約增加。

He also underscores the potential influence of the upcoming US presidential election on the crypto market. Policymakers may prioritize market stability to avoid undermining their positions, which could benefit the crypto industry and Bitcoin in particular, due to its growing correlation to traditional finance through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

他也強調了即將到來的美國總統大選對加密貨幣市場的潛在影響。政策制定者可能會優先考慮市場穩定，以避免損害其地位，這可能有利於加密貨幣行業，尤其是比特幣，因為它透過現貨交易所交易基金（ETF）與傳統金融的相關性日益增強。

ETF Influence and Bitcoin Supply Dynamics

ETF 影響力和比特幣供應動態

Maire further notes that ETF issuers have been purchasing approximately 10 times more Bitcoin daily than miners produce. This demand, coupled with the halving's supply reduction, will likely exert significant buying pressure on the market, propelling Bitcoin prices upwards.

Maire 進一步指出，ETF 發行人每天購買的比特幣大約是礦工生產的比特幣的 10 倍。這種需求，加上減半的供應減少，可能會對市場造成巨大的購買壓力，推動比特幣價格上漲。

The current daily production of Bitcoin stands at 900 BTC, which will be halved to 450 BTC post-halving, exacerbating the demand-supply imbalance and further bolstering the bullish case for Bitcoin.

目前比特幣日產量為900 BTC，減半後將減半至450 BTC，加劇供需失衡，進一步支撐比特幣看漲。