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週二舉行的歐洲早期會議,印度盧比的邊緣降低了,因為印度儲備銀行對美元/INR的重擊均可下注,但是,多階段的美國 - 中國貿易協議可能會損失INR損失。
The Indian Rupee showed signs of weakness early Tuesday, with the USD/INR pair edging lower. However, the multi-phase US-China trade deal might limit the INR gains.
印度盧比(Indian Lupee)在周二初表現出弱點的跡象,美元/INR對降低。但是,多相美中貿易協議可能會限制INR的收益。
Consumer inflation in India fell more than anticipated in April, as per the data released by the Statistics Ministry on Tuesday. This supports bets that the Reserve Bank of India may extend its rate-cutting cycle.
根據統計局週二發布的數據,印度的消費者通貨膨脹率超過4月的預期。這支持賭注,即印度儲備銀行可能會延長其削減速度週期。
Moreover, the ongoing concerns about the us tariff could put pressure on the Asian currencies, including the rupee.
此外,對美國關稅的持續擔憂可能會對包括盧比在內的亞洲貨幣施加壓力。
As India is the world’s third-largest oil consumer. The decline in oil prices may also affect the rupee and limit its losses because the lower oil prices tend to have a positive impact on the INR.
由於印度是世界第三大石油消費者。石油價格下跌也可能會影響盧比並限制其損失,因為較低的石油價格往往會對印度盧比產生積極影響。
Key Drivers for the USD/INR:
USD/INR的主要驅動力:
How these factors may affect the USD/INR, if the India-US trade deal is established successfully, this may enhance the trade between the trade countries and lead to higher inflows of us dollars, potentially strengthening the Rupee. But in the short term, until they reach the deal, the looming threats of the US tariff still exist and act as a headwind.
這些因素如何影響美元/INR,如果成功建立了印度 - 美國貿易協議,這可能會增強貿易國之間的貿易並導緻美元流入更高,並可能加強盧比。但是在短期內,直到他們達成交易,美國關稅的迫在眉睫的威脅仍然存在並成為逆風。
On the other hand, the decision made by Moody’s may strengthen the rupee for the short term.
另一方面,穆迪(Moody's)做出的決定可以在短期內加強盧比。
USD/INR Technical Analysis:
USD/INR技術分析:
From the technical perspective, the USD/INR is now trading under the pressure of the resistance level at 85.90, having strong support from the level of 85.08, so any breakout above the 85.90 level could open the door for the pair to reach higher levels up to 86.70.
從技術的角度來看,美元/INR現在在電阻水平的壓力下在85.90的壓力下進行交易,從85.08的水平獲得了強有力的支持,因此,高於85.90水平的任何突破都可以為這對夫婦打開大門,以達到高達86.70的較高水平。
On the flip side, if the USD/INR moves downward towards the support level 85.08 and breaks down this level, the bearish scenario will be highly recommended to reach lower levels towards 84.55 and then 84.00. USD/INR Forecast for 2025, 2027, and 2030
另一方面,如果USD/INR向下移動到支撐級別85.08並分解該水平,則強烈建議您使用看跌的場景,以達到較低的水平,直到84.55,然後是84.00。美元/INR預測2025年,2027年和2030年
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