美聯儲削減稅率，加密公牛跑和杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）：導航未來

分析了美聯儲降低稅率的影響，杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的公告以及加密公牛（Crypto Bull）的潛在擴展到2026年。

Fed Rate Cut, Crypto Bull Run, and Jerome Powell: Navigating the Future

美聯儲削減稅率，加密公牛跑和杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）：導航未來

The dynamics surrounding the Federal Reserve's rate cut, the crypto bull run, and Jerome Powell's influence are creating both excitement and uncertainty in the markets. The recent rate cut of 25 basis points, the first in 2025, has triggered significant market reactions and opened doors for potential shifts in investment strategies.

圍繞美聯儲降低速度，加密牛牛的速度以及杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的影響力的動力既引起了市場的興奮和不確定性。最近的25個基點的降低率（2025年的第一個）引發了重大的市場反應，並為投資策略的潛在轉變打開了大門。

Powell's Announcement and Initial Market Reaction

鮑威爾的公告和初始市場反應

Jerome Powell's announcement of a 25 basis point rate cut was highly anticipated, with many expecting it to fuel the ongoing rally in risk-on assets like Bitcoin and stocks. However, the immediate market reaction was somewhat unexpected. Shortly after the announcement, both the crypto and stock markets experienced a dip, with the S&P 500 and the total crypto market cap decreasing. This initial pullback led to a surge in liquidations, particularly affecting long positions.

杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）宣布降低25個基點率的宣布是備受期待的，許多人期望這會為諸如比特幣和股票等風險的資產中持續的集會加油。但是，直接的市場反應有些意外。宣布後不久，加密貨幣和股票市場都會下降，標準普爾500指數和加密貨幣市值的總數下降。最初的回調導致清算的激增，尤其是影響長位置。

Stablecoin Insights and Potential Bullish Waves

Stablecoin的見解和潛在的看漲波浪

Despite the initial downturn, there were signs of recovery. Stablecoin flow data indicated substantial inflows into Binance, suggesting that smart money was preparing to re-enter the market. This influx of stablecoins could be the catalyst needed to ignite the next bullish wave for crypto, potentially setting the stage for an altcoin season.

儘管最初的低迷，但仍有恢復的跡象。 Stablecoin流數據表明，大量流入融入了融資，表明智能資金正準備重新進入市場。這種穩定菌的湧入可能是點燃下一個看漲加密浪潮所需的催化劑，這有可能為Altcoin季節奠定基礎。

Bitcoin's Resilience and Key Support Levels

比特幣的彈性和關鍵支持水平

Bitcoin found support above $115,000 following the Fed's decision. Liquidation maps revealed that a significant number of long positions were concentrated around $114,458. As long as bulls maintain this level, Bitcoin remains poised for a rebound. On the upside, short positions clustered around $118,000, suggesting that a breakout above this level could trigger a short squeeze, potentially driving Bitcoin's price higher.

在美聯儲的決定之後，比特幣在115,000美元以上的支持下找到了支持。清算地圖顯示，大量的長位置集中在114,458美元左右。只要公牛保持這一水平，比特幣仍然準備好反彈。從好的方面來看，短職位額為118,000美元左右，這表明超過此水平的突破可能會引發短暫的擠壓，這可能會使比特幣的價格更高。

Arthur Hayes and the Potential Extension of the Bull Run

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）和公牛奔跑的潛在擴展

BitMEX Founder Arthur Hayes suggests that the bull run may extend beyond Q4 2025 into 2026, influenced by macro catalysts. He anticipates that former President Donald Trump's policies could stimulate further market growth. Hayes believes that Trump might advocate for increased money printing to support programs that could benefit Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections.

Bitmex創始人Arthur Hayes認為，牛跑可能會超過第4季度2025年，直至2026年，受宏催化劑的影響。他預計前總統唐納德·特朗普的政策可能會刺激進一步的市場增長。海耶斯認為，特朗普可能會主張增加金錢印刷，以支持在2026年中期選舉中可能受益的計劃。

Market Euphoria and Potential Sell-Offs

市場欣快感和潛在的拋售

Glassnode data indicates that the market is already in a state of euphoria, typically associated with price discovery and new record levels. While this euphoria could lead to increased selling pressure, other indicators suggest there may still be room for the rally to continue. The key level to watch in the short term is $117,000, as clearing this hurdle could pave the way for further gains.

玻璃節數據表明，市場已經處於欣快感的狀態，通常與價格發現和新的記錄水平有關。儘管這種欣喜可能會導致銷售壓力增加，但其他指標表明，拉力賽仍然可能有空間。在短期內觀看的關鍵水平為117,000美元，因為清除此障礙可能為進一步的收益鋪平了道路。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

The Fed rate cut has introduced a new layer of complexity to the crypto market. While initial reactions were mixed, underlying factors such as stablecoin inflows and key support levels for Bitcoin suggest potential for future growth. Keep an eye on those charts and maybe hold onto your hats – it could be a wild ride!

美聯儲降低的速度已向加密貨幣市場引入了新的複雜性。雖然最初的反應是混合的，但基本因素（例如穩定幣流入和比特幣的關鍵支持水平）表明了未來增長的潛力。密切注意這些圖表，也許可以握住您的帽子 - 這可能是一個瘋狂的旅程！