以太坊鯨魚逢低買入，但復甦面臨額外風險

以太坊 (ETH) 交易價格為 2,445 美元，較本週最低點上漲超過 15%。此價格走勢與比特幣（BTC）的價格走勢同步

After a massive sell-off on Monday, Aug. 5, which saw Bitcoin (BTC) drop to a low of $24,200, Ether (ETH) also fell sharply, hitting a low of $2,191. However, both tokens bounced back on Tuesday, Aug. 6, with ETH rising by over 15% from its lowest point this week.

在 8 月 5 日星期一的大規模拋售之後，比特幣 (BTC) 跌至 24,200 美元的低點，以太幣 (ETH) 也大幅下跌，觸及 2,191 美元的低點。然而，這兩種代幣都在 8 月 6 日星期二反彈，其中 ETH 較本週最低點上漲了 15% 以上。

This price action was in sync with that of other major cryptocurrencies, with BTC rising by over 10%, Cardano (ADA) increasing by over 20%, and Bittensor (TAO) gaining over 30%.

這一價格走勢與其他主要加密貨幣的價格走勢同步，BTC 上漲超過 10%，Cardano (ADA) 上漲超過 20%，Bittensor (TAO) 上漲超過 30%。

Some big investors appear to have used the opportunity to buy the dip, with one entity, known as ‘7 Siblings,’ buying 56,093 ETH tokens, valued at over $129 million, at an average price of $2,318. 7 Siblings began buying when the price dropped to $2,600 and continued until the price dropped to $2,191, over a period of 12 hours.

一些大投資者似乎利用了這個逢低買入的機會，其中一個名為「7 Siblings」的實體購買了 56,093 個 ETH 代幣，價值超過 1.29 億美元，平均價格為 2,318 美元。當價格跌至 2,600 美元時，7 Siblings 開始購買，並持續購買，直至價格跌至 2,191 美元，歷時 12 小時。

Meanwhile, Exchange Traded Funds investors also appeared to buy the dip, with Bloomberg reporting that these investors bought assets worth $49 million, in a sign of increased investor optimism.

與此同時，交易所交易基金投資者似乎也在逢低買入，根據彭博社報道，這些投資者購買了價值 4,900 萬美元的資產，這表明投資者的樂觀情緒有所增強。

However, the crypto industry is still being cautious, with some big holders selling their tokens. Jump Trading, a prominent player in the crypto industry, sold Ether tokens worth over $609 million in the past few weeks. Another big holder, known as Longling Capital, sold 20,000 coins after being largely dormant for almost two years.

然而，加密產業仍然持謹慎態度，一些大持有者出售了他們的代幣。 Jump Trading 是加密貨幣行業的知名參與者，在過去幾週內出售了價值超過 6.09 億美元的以太幣。另一大持有者龍嶺資本在休眠近兩年後賣了 20,000 個代幣。

There are also some additional risks to Ethereum’s recovery. For one, not every analyst believes that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates in September. In an interview with CNBC, Komal Sri-Kumar, founder of Sri Kumar Global Strategies, said that the Fed should wait for inflation to fall before cutting interest rates.

以太坊的復甦還存在一些額外的風險。首先，並非所有分析師都認為聯準會應該在 9 月降息。 Sri Kumar Global Strategies創辦人Komal Sri-Kumar在接受CNBC採訪時表示，聯準會應該等待通膨下降後再降息。

While Sri-Kumar seems to be in the minority, with the CME Fedwatch tool giving a 76.5% probability of a 50bps rate cut in September (followed by another one in November and December), this could still pose a problem for crypto.

儘管 Sri-Kumar 似乎屬於少數派，但 CME Fedwatch 工具給出 9 月降息 50 個基點的可能性為 76.5%（隨後在 11 月和 12 月再次降息），但這仍然可能給加密貨幣帶來問題。

On the other hand, another positive for Ethereum is that its staking yield rose by 6.3% in the past 24 hours to 9.46%. This rebound occurred as the staking market cap fell by 26% to $81.95 billion.

另一方面，以太坊的另一個利好是其質押收益率在過去24小時內上漲了6.3%至9.46%。這一反彈發生時，質押市值下降了 26%，至 819.5 億美元。

Finally, there are some technical risks to Ethereum’s price. On the daily chart, the coin formed a triple-top pattern whose neckline was at $2,810. The coin has now dropped below this neckline, indicating that bears have taken over.

最後，以太坊的價格存在一些技術風險。日線圖上，該代幣形成了三重頂形態，頸線位於 2,810 美元。代幣現已跌破該頸線，顯示空頭已佔據主導地位。

Another technical indicator is that Ether is about to form a death cross as the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Average are about to make a bearish crossover. Also, as was previously noted about Bitcoin, any rebound after a sell-off could turn out to be a dead cat bounce.

另一個技術指標是，以太坊即將形成死亡交叉，因為 50 天和 200 天簡單移動平均線即將形成看跌交叉。此外，正如先前關於比特幣所指出的那樣，拋售後的任何反彈都可能是死貓反彈。