永恆的爭吵：Peter Schiff、比特幣、辯論和 40 萬美元問題

彼得·希夫 (Peter Schiff) 加倍押注黃金，金融界一片喧囂，而盧克·布羅伊爾斯 (Luke Broyles) 等比特幣多頭則將目光投向了驚人的 40 萬美元，引發了激烈的爭論。

The eternal debate between gold advocate Peter Schiff and the burgeoning world of Bitcoin continues to rage, punctuated by bold predictions and sharp retorts. As Schiff champions gold's recent rallies, prominent Bitcoin analysts are forecasting stratospheric gains, setting the stage for a compelling showdown in the digital age.

黃金倡導者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）與新興的比特幣世界之間的永恆爭論持續激烈，不時夾雜著大膽的預測和尖銳的反駁。隨著希夫支持黃金最近的反彈，著名的比特幣分析師預測比特幣將大幅上漲，為數字時代引人注目的攤牌奠定了基礎。

Schiff's Golden Gloat: Bitcoin's "Strategic Reserve"

希夫的金光閃閃：比特幣的“戰略儲備”

Peter Schiff, the outspoken Chief Economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management and a notorious Bitcoin skeptic, hasn't shied away from his "I told you so" moments. With gold prices hitting impressive highs, Schiff has been quick to declare victory, asserting that Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative has utterly collapsed. He gleefully points out that Bitcoin has supposedly lagged behind the precious metal, despite significant institutional endorsements from figures like Michael Saylor. In a classic Schiffian twist, he even jokes about holding a small amount of gifted Bitcoin as a "strategic reserve" – a quip that perfectly encapsulates his dismissive stance.

歐洲太平洋資產管理公司 (Euro Pacific Asset Management) 直言不諱的首席經濟學家、臭名昭著的比特幣懷疑論者彼得·希夫 (Peter Schiff) 並沒有迴避他的“我告訴過你”的時刻。隨著金價創下令人印象深刻的高位，希夫很快就宣布勝利，聲稱比特幣的“數字黃金”敘事已經徹底崩潰。他興高采烈地指出，儘管得到了邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor)等機構的大力支持，但比特幣據稱仍落後於貴金屬。他甚至開玩笑說持有少量有天賦的比特幣作為“戰略儲備”——這一俏皮話完美地概括了他的輕蔑立場。

Bitcoin's Bullish Barrage: The $400,000 Horizon

比特幣的看漲攻勢：40萬美元地平線

Yet, while Schiff polishes his gold, the Bitcoin faithful are busy charting an entirely different course. Luke Broyles, a well-regarded Bitcoin analyst, has thrown down a audacious gauntlet, predicting Bitcoin could rocket to an astounding $400,000 by February 2029. Broyles’ optimism isn’t just hot air; it's grounded in a cocktail of shifting regulatory landscapes, increasing political support for digital assets (with whispers of pro-Bitcoin appointments in key U.S. financial bodies), and robust institutional adoption, evidenced by the proliferation of ETFs and bank custody services.

然而，當希夫打磨他的黃金時，比特幣忠實者卻忙著制定一條完全不同的路線。著名的比特幣分析師盧克·布羅伊爾斯 (Luke Broyles) 發出了大膽的挑戰，預測到 2029 年 2 月，比特幣可能會飆升至驚人的 40 萬美元。布羅伊爾斯的樂觀情緒並非空話，而是空話。它的基礎是不斷變化的監管環境、不斷增加的對數字資產的政治支持（美國主要金融機構任命支持比特幣的傳言）以及強勁的機構採用（ETF 和銀行託管服務的激增證明了這一點）。

The Gold-Bitcoin Paradox: A Nuanced Look at the Debate

黃金-比特幣悖論：對爭論的細緻觀察

The debate isn't merely about which asset performs better; it's about the underlying economic forces. Schiff and Bitcoin proponent Anthony Pompliano have clashed over everything from tariffs – Schiff calling them a direct consumer tax, Pomp countering with examples of increased domestic production and efficiency – to the very nature of inflation. Crucially, Broyles' analysis introduces a fascinating wrinkle: his research suggests that gold's extended rallies historically precede strong cryptocurrency performance. This challenges Schiff's direct comparison, hinting that perhaps gold is simply setting the stage for Bitcoin's next act. Furthermore, Broyles points to pressures within the fiat system, arguing that central banks needing to originate trillions in new loans, coupled with other assets being "pumped up with leverage," creates a "Cantillionaire gameplan" where newly printed currency disproportionately flows into Bitcoin.

爭論不僅僅在於哪種資產表現更好；還在於哪種資產表現更好。這是關於潛在的經濟力量。希夫和比特幣支持者安東尼·龐普里亞諾(Anthony Pompliano)在從關稅到通貨膨脹的本質等各個方面都存在衝突——希夫稱其為直接消費者稅，龐普則以增加國內生產和效率的例子進行反駁。至關重要的是，布羅伊爾斯的分析引入了一個令人著迷的問題：他的研究表明，從歷史上看，黃金的持續上漲先於加密貨幣的強勁表現。這對希夫的直接比較提出了挑戰，暗示黃金也許只是為比特幣的下一步行動奠定了基礎。此外，布羅伊爾斯還指出了法定貨幣體系內部的壓力，他認為央行需要發放數万億美元的新貸款，再加上“利用槓桿推動其他資產”，從而創造了一個“坎蒂利翁遊戲計劃”，新印刷的貨幣不成比例地流入比特幣。

Beyond the Bluster: What's Really Driving the Market?

超越喧囂：真正推動市場的是什麼？

While the Pomp-Schiff sparring often centers on immediate economic policies like tariffs, the broader conversation around Bitcoin's trajectory highlights a deeper shift. Pompliano, for instance, championed Artificial Intelligence as the "greatest deflationary force in history," capable of offsetting government spending through increased productivity. This underscores a belief that technological advancements, rather than just traditional monetary policy, will dictate future economic growth and asset valuations. For the average New Yorker trying to make sense of their portfolio, it's a dizzying mix of old-school economic principles battling against disruptive digital forces.

雖然盛況-希夫爭論通常集中在關稅等直接經濟政策上，但圍繞比特幣發展軌蹟的更廣泛討論凸顯了更深層次的轉變。例如，龐普里亞諾將人工智能視為“歷史上最強大的通貨緊縮力量”，能夠通過提高生產率來抵消政府支出。這強調了一種信念，即技術進步而不僅僅是傳統的貨幣政策將決定未來的經濟增長和資產估值。對於試圖理解自己的投資組合的普通紐約人來說，這是一個令人眼花繚亂的老派經濟原理與破壞性數字力量的鬥爭。

A Financial Rollercoaster, NYC-Style

紐約式的金融過山車

So, as Peter Schiff continues to marvel at his golden "strategic reserve" and Bitcoin maximalists dream of a $400,000 future, one thing is clear: the financial world remains a lively arena where titans clash and predictions fly. Whether you're a gold bug or a Bitcoin enthusiast, grab your popcorn – this debate is far from over, and it promises more twists and turns than a Manhattan taxi ride during rush hour. Just remember, as they say, don't put all your bagels in one basket!

因此，當彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）繼續驚嘆於他的黃金“戰略儲備”和比特幣最大化主義者夢想著 40 萬美元的未來時，有一點是明確的：金融世界仍然是一個充滿活力的舞台，巨頭們相互衝突，預測飛揚。無論您是黃金愛好者還是比特幣愛好者，請拿起您的爆米花——這場爭論還遠未結束，而且它比高峰時段乘坐曼哈頓出租車還要曲折。請記住，正如他們所說，不要將所有百吉餅放在一個籃子裡！