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埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)預測,比特幣的“令人難以置信的”第四季度,目標是100萬美元。在市場波動和道德問題之中,他的預測現實了嗎?
Eric Trump's Bold Bitcoin Prediction: Q4 to be 'Unbelievable'?
埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)的大膽比特幣預測:第四季度是“難以置信的”?
Bitcoin's been a wild ride, and Eric Trump's adding fuel to the fire. He's predicting an 'unbelievable' Q4, but is it just hype or a realistic forecast? Let's dive in.
比特幣一直是瘋狂的旅程,埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)為大火增加了燃料。他預測了一個“令人難以置信的” Q4,但這只是炒作還是現實的預測?讓我們潛水。
Eric Trump's Million-Dollar Bitcoin Bet
埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)的百萬美元比特幣押注
Eric Trump isn't holding back. He boldly claims Bitcoin could hit $1 million, urging investors to buy the dips. This isn't new; he's been touting this since at least August 2025 at the Bitcoin conference in Hong Kong. He believes Q4 will be Bitcoin's strongest quarter, citing historical gains.
埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)沒有退縮。他大膽地聲稱,比特幣可能會觸及100萬美元,敦促投資者購買蘸醬。這不是新事物;至少自2025年8月在香港舉行的比特幣會議上,他就一直在吹捧這一點。他認為,第四季度將是比特幣最強的季度,理由是歷史上的收益。
The Bullish Case: Money Supply and Limited Supply
看漲案件:貨幣供應和有限的供應
Trump's optimism hinges on a few key factors. First, he anticipates an 8% rise in the global M2 money supply, which he believes will drive inflation and increase Bitcoin demand. Second, he points to the growing institutional investment in Bitcoin ETFs, reducing the liquid supply and putting upward pressure on prices. Major players like MicroStrategy are also HODLing substantial amounts.
特朗普的樂觀情緒取決於一些關鍵因素。首先,他預計全球M2貨幣供應量會增長8%,他認為這將推動通貨膨脹並增加比特幣需求。其次,他指出,對比特幣ETF的機構投資不斷增長,減少了液體供應,並給價格上漲。像MicroStrategy這樣的主要參與者也在大量籌集大量資金。
A Dose of Reality: Market Volatility and Skepticism
現實劑量:市場波動和懷疑論
However, it's not all sunshine and rainbows. Bitcoin's recent 15% drop from $130,000 to $109,000 highlights its inherent volatility. Some analysts are even predicting a 50% chance of further corrections. The market remains skeptical, advising caution amid uncertain conditions. It's worth noting that Bitcoin historically underperforms in September but then often surges in October, November, and December.
但是,這並不是所有的陽光和彩虹。比特幣最近的15%從130,000美元下降到109,000美元,突顯了其固有的波動性。一些分析師甚至預測了50%的進一步校正機會。市場仍然持懷疑態度,並在不確定的條件下謹慎行事。值得注意的是,比特幣歷史上在9月的表現不佳,但隨後在10月,11月和12月急劇激增。
Ethical Concerns and Foreign Influence
道德關注和外國影響
Adding another layer of complexity, Eric Trump's involvement with World Liberty Financial, a Trump family crypto venture backed by Abu Dhabi, raises ethical questions. Critics worry about potential conflicts of interest, given the Trump administration's past pro-crypto stance.
埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)又加入了另一層複雜性,他參與了由阿布扎比(Abu Dhabi)支持的特朗普家庭加密貨幣(Trump Family Financial)提出的道德問題。鑑於特朗普政府過去的親克賴特托立場,批評者擔心潛在的利益衝突。
Stablecoins: Saving the U.S. Dollar?
Stablecoins:節省美元?
Trump is also a big fan of stablecoins, suggesting they could 'save' the U.S. dollar. He's promoting USD1, the Trump family's stablecoin project, arguing that the global demand for stablecoins could bring trillions of dollars into the U.S., improving its financial standing.
特朗普也是Stablecoins的忠實擁護者,表明他們可以“節省”美元。他正在推廣特朗普家族的Stablecoin項目USD1,認為全球對穩定的需求可能會將數万億美元帶入美國,從而提高其財務狀況。
Q4: Boom or Bust?
問題4:繁榮還是胸圍?
Historically, Q4 has been kind to Bitcoin, with average gains of around 85% between 2013 and 2024. But past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Tom Lee from Fundstrat still has a $200,000 target for 2025, but even prediction markets assign only a small probability of hitting that mark by year-end.
從歷史上看,第四季度對比特幣一直很友善,在2013年至2024年期間,平均收益約為85%。但是過去的性能並不能保證未來的成績。 Fundstrat的Tom Lee在2025年仍然擁有2025美元的目標,但即使預測市場也只有很小的可能性命中了年底。
Final Thoughts
最後的想法
So, will Eric Trump's Q4 prediction come true? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: the Bitcoin saga is far from over. Buckle up, folks, it's gonna be a bumpy ride! Whether it's a Lambo or ramen for dinner... that's the magic of crypto!
那麼,埃里克·特朗普(Eric Trump)的第四季度預測會成真嗎?只有時間會證明。但是可以肯定的是:比特幣傳奇還遠遠沒有結束。搭扣,伙計們,這將是一個坎bump的旅程!無論是晚餐時是蘭博還是拉麵……這就是加密的魔力!
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