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加密貨幣新聞文章

EOS價格分析:EOS已完成了重大的長期校正,並且似乎正在建立新的看漲衝動結構

2025/05/16 18:12

EOS已經完成了重大的長期糾正,並且似乎正在建立新的看漲衝動結構。

EOS價格分析:EOS已完成了重大的長期校正,並且似乎正在建立新的看漲衝動結構

The price of EOS has surged in recent days, breaking out of a key resistance level. However, it has since pulled back, and it remains to be seen whether this will turn into a larger upward move or if the bullish momentum has already exhausted.

EOS的價格在最近幾天飆升,突破了關鍵的阻力水平。但是,從那以後,它退縮了,這是否會變成更大的向上移動,還是看漲的動力已經耗盡。

On the higher time frame, EOS has completed a significant long-term correction, which can be seen as an A-B-C-D-E structure on the chart. The final low of this correction was reached at $0.45, which can be considered the macro bottom.

在較高的時間範圍內,EOS完成了重大的長期校正,可以將其視為圖表上的ABCDE結構。該更正的最終低點以0.45美元的價格達到了宏觀底部。

From this low, the price of EOS broke out of a falling wedge in late March, which was followed by a five-wave rally. This rally confirmed a bullish trend shift from the previous multi-month downtrend.

從這個低點開始,EOS的價格從3月下旬就從一個下降的楔子中扣除,隨後是五波集會。這次集會證實了從以前的多個月下降趨勢的看漲趨勢轉變。

Wave V of this rally peaked at $0.87, which also coincided with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire macro decline from the 2021 high to the 2023 low.

這次集會的波V達到0.87美元,這也與從2021年高到2023年低點的整個宏觀下降的0.382斐波那契回開相吻合。

After completing this rally, EOS entered a corrective phase, pulling back to a higher low of $0.58 before continuing its uptrend to a higher high of $0.99 on May 10. At this level, the price encountered resistance at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.

完成這次集會後,EOS進入了一個糾正階段,將其拉回到$ 0.58的較高階段,然後繼續上升到5月10日的上升趨勢,至較高的高度為0.99美元。在此級別上,在0.5 fibonacci回撤位置遇到的價格。

From the May 10 high, the price of EOS experienced a sharp downturn, reaching a low of $0.76 on May 15. This move also pushed the RSI into oversold values.

從5月10日的高價開始,EOS的價格經歷了急劇下滑,5月15日的低點達到0.76美元。此舉還將RSI推向了超售值。

Following this oversold correction, the price of EOS spiked upward by 14%, testing the 0.382 Fib level. However, immediately upon this interaction, it fell back to $0.82, suggesting that the buyers were met with sellers at this resistance.

經過此次超賣校正後,EOS的價格上漲了14%,測試了0.382 FIB水平。但是,在這種互動後,它立即降至0.82美元,這表明買家在這種阻力下與賣方見面。

Currently, the uptrend is still intact as long as EOS stays above the diagonal support line connecting the previous wave ii and wave iv lows. If this trend resumes, the RSI has now reset to neutral territory, setting the stage for another leg up.

目前,只要EOS停留在連接上次波II和波IV低點的對角線支撐線上方,上升趨勢仍然完好無損。如果這種趨勢恢復,RSI現在已重置為中性領土,為另一支腿奠定了基礎。

Overall, the structure favors a continuation toward higher retracements at $1.12 (0.618 Fib) and $1.30 (0.786 Fib) if the bullish structure remains intact.

總體而言,如果看漲結構保持完整,該結構有利於延續較高的回購(0.618 FIB)和1.30美元(0.786 FIB)。

However, considering the recent price action and volume, it could first continue for a lower low, concluding its corrective phase. This would complete the (a)-(b)-(c) structure on the lower time frame.

但是,考慮到最近的價格行動和數量,它可能首先要以較低的低點持續下去,從而結論其糾正階段。這將完成(a) - (b) - (c)較低時間框架的結構。

On the lower time frame, we can see that the initial impulsive rally from early April is now being followed by a (a)-(b)-(c) corrective structure.

在較低的時間範圍內,我們可以看到4月初的初始衝動集會隨後是A(a) - (b) - (c)糾正結構。

This corrective structure is unfolding as follows:

這種糾正結構正在展開,如下所示:

The first swing low (i) at $0.77 completed wave i of this corrective structure.

該糾正結構的第一個鞦韆低(i)為0.77美元。

Wave (a) ((1)-(2)-(3)) traced a lower time frame bat pattern, bottoming at $0.58, and (c) completed at $0.76.

波(a)((1) - (2) - (3))追踪了較低的時間框架圖案,底部為$ 0.58,(c)以0.76美元的價格完成。

This (a)-(b)-(c) corrective structure is unfolding in an A-B-C-D-E structure on the lower time frame.

此(a) - (b) - (c)矯正結構在較低的時間範圍內在ABCDE結構中展開。

Wave (b) peaked at $0.9972, forming a local top, then experienced a steeper decline to around $0.76, which can be considered wave (c) of this correction.

波(b)達到$ 0.9972的峰值,形成了當地頂部,然後急劇下降到0.76美元左右,這可以認為是這種校正的波(c)。

From this low, the price had a slight bounce, and the current price action is testing the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from the April low to the May high at around $0.835, where it is also facing resistance from the descending trendline formed since the local top.

從這個低點開始,價格略有彈跳,目前的價格動作正在測試4月至5月高至0.835美元的0.382斐波那契回回試,從自當地頂部開始形成的下降趨勢線,它也面臨著阻力。

The RSI has also shown a mild bearish divergence, suggesting that if EOS fails to break above the 0.382 Fib level and close above it decisively, another test of lower levels at $0.786 or $0.75 is more likely. It also reached the oversold zone, which statistically suggests that a bearish reversal is more likely from this point than a continuation lower.

RSI還顯示出輕度的看跌差異,這表明如果EOS未能超過0.382的FIB水平,並且果斷地超過了它,則較低水平為0.786美元或0.75美元的另一個測試的可能性更大。它還到達了超售區,從統計學上講,這表明從那時起,看跌的可能性比延續較低的可能性更有可能。

However, if the price manages to break above the descending trendline, the next bullish targets are at $0.904 (0.786 Fib) and $0.993 (local high).

但是,如果價格設法超過下降趨勢線,下一個看漲目標為0.904美元(0.786 FIB)和0.993美元(當地高)。

Therefore, this area between $0.83 and $0.86 is critical. A clean breakout signals that the bullish structure is still intact and favors continuation, while rejection could lead to a prolonged correction or consolidation phase to complete the (a)-(b)-(c) structure.

因此,該區域在0.83美元至0.86美元之間至關重要。乾淨的突破信號表明,看漲的結構仍然完好無損,並且有利於延續,而排斥可能會導致較長的校正或鞏固階段,以完成(a) - (b) - (c)結構。

Considering the underlying wave structure, the broader trend favors upside if the immediate support at the 0.236 Fib holds.

考慮到基礎波結構,如果立即支撐在0.236 fib處,則更廣泛的趨勢有利於上行空間。

If we zoom out further, we can see that this entire move is unfolding as the final wave E of a larger A-B-C-D-E structure from the 2021 high.

如果我們進一步縮小,我們可以看到,這整個移動正在展開,這是2021年高的ABCDE結構的最終波動E。

This A-B-C-D-E structure

這個ABCDE結構

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