EIP 1559 提高了以太坊效率，但費用可預測性仍令人擔憂

以太坊改進提案（EIP）1559實施後，以太坊已銷毀約5,000 ETH（價值1,400萬美元），佔新鑄幣的36%。最初，EIP 1559 似乎在控制費用和區塊大小方面有效。然而，更仔細的分析揭示了由於激勵措施錯位導致的區塊大小和基本費用波動導致費用可預測性面臨的挑戰。

Ethereum Improvement Proposal 1559 Enhances Network Efficiency but Raises Concerns Regarding Fee Predictability

以太坊改進提案 1559 提高了網路效率，但引發了對費用可預測性的擔憂

The implementation of Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP) 1559 on the Ethereum network has resulted in a significant reduction in circulating ETH, with over 5,000 ETH, valued at approximately $14 million, being burned. This constitutes 36% of the total new coin issuance during the same period.

以太坊網路改進提案（EIP）1559的實施導致流通中的ETH大幅減少，超過5000個ETH（價值約1400萬美元）被銷毀。這占同期新幣發行總量的 36%。

While average transaction fees on Ethereum have experienced a slight increase since the upgrade's activation, block sizes have generally trended towards the anticipated 15 million gas target. However, a closer examination reveals potential limitations of EIP 1559 in achieving its primary goal of enhancing fee predictability for users.

雖然自升級啟動以來，以太坊的平均交易費用略有增加，但區塊大小總體上趨向於預期的 1500 萬個 Gas 目標。然而，更仔細的檢查揭示了 EIP 1559 在實現增強用戶費用可預測性的主要目標方面的潛在限制。

Block Size Variability and Fee Oscillations

區塊大小變化和費用波動

Under EIP 1559, block sizes on Ethereum exhibit significant fluctuations, ranging from being completely filled to entirely empty. This behavior stems from the dynamic allocation of transaction fees into a "base fee" determined by the network. As blocks become full, the base fee increases, reducing the size of the transaction pool eligible for inclusion.

在 EIP 1559 下，以太坊上的區塊大小表現出顯著的波動，從完全填滿到完全空。這種行為源自於交易費用動態分配為網路確定的「基本費用」。隨著區塊變滿，基本費用會增加，從而減少符合納入條件的交易池的規模。

Incentives Affecting Fee Volatility

影響費用波動的激勵措施

Tim Beiko, chair of the All Core Developers meeting, explains that users have an incentive to submit transactions in the current block if they anticipate higher fees in the subsequent block. Conversely, if they expect lower fees, they may choose to defer transactions to later blocks.

全核心開發者會議主席 Tim Beiko 解釋說，如果用戶預計後續區塊的費用會更高，他們就有動力在當前區塊中提交交易。相反，如果他們期望費用較低，他們可能會選擇將交易推遲到以後的區塊。

However, predicting optimal transaction fees beyond a few minutes remains challenging with EIP 1559. While the upgrade provides real-time fee optimization, it does not offer a reliable mechanism for users to anticipate future fee levels due to the fluctuating supply and demand dynamics for block space.

然而，使用EIP 1559 預測幾分鐘後的最佳交易費用仍然具有挑戰性。水平。

Potential Implications for Network Operators

對網路營運商的潛在影響

The marked oscillations in block sizes and base fees may result in gas consumption exceeding the block gas target in the long term. This could pose challenges for network node operators responsible for maintaining and propagating transaction data.

從長遠來看，區塊大小和基本費用的顯著波動可能會導致天然氣消耗超過區塊天然氣目標。這可能給負責維護和傳播交易數據的網路節點營運商帶來挑戰。

Cautious Approach and Data Analysis

謹慎的態度和數據分析

Researchers and developers are closely monitoring the impact of EIP 1559 on Ethereum's usability. Data from Dune Analytics indicates that over 90% of transactions on Ethereum have yet to leverage the benefits of EIP 1559 two days after its activation.

研究人員和開發人員正在密切關注 EIP 1559 對以太坊可用性的影響。 Dune Analytics 的數據表明，以太坊上超過 90% 的交易在 EIP 1559 激活兩天后尚未利用其優勢。

Possible Adjustments and Ongoing Assessment

可能的調整和持續評估

The Ethereum community is actively discussing potential adjustments to EIP 1559 to address concerns regarding fee predictability. Researchers are also exploring analytical techniques to identify patterns and anticipate future fee levels.

以太坊社群正在積極討論對 EIP 1559 的潛在調整，以解決有關費用可預測性的擔憂。研究人員也正在探索分析技術來識別模式並預測未來的費用水平。

The ultimate effectiveness of EIP 1559 in enhancing user experience and fee predictability on Ethereum remains to be determined as the network continues to evolve and the upgrade's effects are more fully realized.

隨著網路的不斷發展和升級效果的更充分實現，EIP 1559 在增強以太坊上的用戶體驗和費用可預測性方面的最終效果仍有待確定。