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過去一周,加密貨幣總市值下降了 11.53%,至 3.2 兆美元。在大規模崩盤中,迷因幣經歷了下跌。

Over the past week, the total crypto market cap has dropped by 11.53% to $3.2 trillion. Amid the massive crash, meme coins witnessed a downfall from a peak of $120 billion to the current valuation of $93.26 billion.
過去一周,加密貨幣總市值下降了 11.53%,至 3.2 兆美元。在這場大規模崩盤中,meme 幣的估值從 1,200 億美元的峰值跌至目前的 932.6 億美元。
Among the top meme coins, Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) took a 22% hit, dropping to $0.3135. It currently has a market cap of $46.18 billion and has recorded a 32% downfall over the past 30 days.
在頂級 meme 代幣中,狗狗幣 (CRYPTO: DOGE) 遭受了 22% 的打擊,跌至 0.3135 美元。目前其市值為 461.8 億美元,過去 30 天下跌了 32%。
Amid such bearish conditions, Dogecoin’s crucial support at $0.30 remains solid. Will Dogecoin leap into bullish action as Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) holds the fort at $95K?
在如此看跌的情況下,狗狗幣 0.30 美元的關鍵支撐位仍然穩固。隨著比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)堅守 9.5 萬美元,狗狗幣會跳入看漲行動嗎?
Dogecoin Floating Above $0.30 Aims A Rebound Run
狗狗幣浮動在 0.30 美元上方,目標是反彈
In the daily chart, the DOGE price action showcases a bullish failure to hold the rising channel pattern. With a bearish engulfing candle on December 9, the DOGE price fell by 11.13%, resulting in a breakdown rally. The breakdown rally extended to a $0.30 psychological mark amid the broader market correction.
在日線圖中,DOGE 價格走勢顯示看漲未能守住上升通道模式。 12 月 9 日,隨著一根看跌吞沒蠟燭,DOGE 價格下跌 11.13%,導致反彈反彈。在大盤調整期間,突破反彈延伸至 0.30 美元的心理關卡。
Currently, the DOGE price is fluctuating between the 50-day EMA line and the 100-day EMA line. With rejections from the dynamic levels, the meme coin consolidates over the weekend. Currently, Dogecoin is trading at $0.3141 with a minor growth of 0.5%.
目前,DOGE價格在50日EMA線和100日EMA線之間波動。由於動態水平的拒絕,模因幣在周末進行了盤整。目前,狗狗幣的交易價格為 0.3141 美元,小幅上漲 0.5%。
Amid the consolidation, the daily RSI line has flattened slightly above the oversold boundary level. This increases the chances of a reversal if the meme coin regains momentum.
在盤整過程中,日線 RSI 線已趨於略高於超賣邊界水平。如果模因幣恢復勢頭,這會增加逆轉的機會。
Furthermore, the recovery run is trading close to a long-coming support trendline. This adds to the underlying support for Dogecoin, increasing the chances of upside.
此外,復甦運作接近長期的支撐趨勢線。這增加了對狗狗幣的潛在支持,並增加了上漲的機會。
Based on the price action levels, Dogecoin’s immediate resistance is $0.38 and the $0.40 psychological mark. Conversely, a breakdown below the support elements of the local trendline and the 100-day EMA line could drop to the 200-day EMA at $0.2198. Hence, in the current situation, the downside risk for Dogecoin remains nearly 30%.
根據價格走勢水平,狗狗幣的直接阻力位在 0.38 美元和 0.40 美元的心理關卡。相反,如果跌破當地趨勢線和 100 日均線的支撐位,則可能會跌至 0.2198 美元的 200 日均線。因此,在目前的情況下,狗狗幣的下行風險仍然接近30%。
Analyst Projects Parabolic Rise To $20
分析師預計拋物線將上漲至 20 美元
Despite the increase in price volatility in the short term, the larger trend anticipates a parabolic rise. In a recent tweet by an independent technical analyst Ali Martinez, a rising channel in Dogecoin highlighted a similar pattern last seen in 2017 and 2021.
儘管短期內價格波動加劇,但更大的趨勢預計將呈現拋物線式上漲。在獨立技術分析師 Ali Martinez 最近的一則推文中,狗狗幣的上漲通道凸顯了 2017 年和 2021 年出現的類似模式。
Back then, Dogecoin began a parabolic run of 220%, retraced by 40%, and then rallied 5000%. This pattern repeated in 2021 when the Dogecoin price surged 476%, retraced 56% and then skyrocketed by 12,000%. With history potentially repeating itself, Dogecoin surged 240% in 2024 and has witnessed a retracement of 46%.
當時,狗狗幣開始了 220% 的拋物線運行,回撤 40%,然後反彈 5000%。這種模式在 2021 年再次出現,當時狗狗幣價格飆升 476%,回撤 56%,然後飆升 12,000%。隨著歷史可能重演,狗狗幣在 2024 年飆升了 240%,並出現了 46% 的回撤。
Considering the parabolic history, Dogecoin’s upside potential marks a price target of $20. While this target seems optimistic, the rising channel’s overhead trendline brings it under the bullish radar.
考慮到拋物線歷史,狗狗幣的上漲潛力標誌著 20 美元的價格目標。雖然這個目標看起來很樂觀,但上升通道的上方趨勢線使其受到看漲的關注。
Dogecoin OI Drop And High Liquidations Warns A Crash
狗狗幣 OI 下跌和高清算警告崩盤
With the increase in price volatility last week, the Dogecoin open interest has dropped to $1.95 billion, crashing under the $2 trillion mark. This marks a lack of interest among Dogecoin.
隨著上週價格波動加劇,狗狗幣未平倉合約已降至 19.5 億美元,跌破 2 兆美元大關。這標誌著狗狗幣缺乏興趣。
Furthermore, the long-to-short ratio has turned bearish, dropping to 0.981. The liquidations over the past 24 hours in Dogecoin have reached $19.33 million.
此外,多空比率已轉為看跌,跌至0.981。過去 24 小時,狗狗幣的清算額已達 1,933 萬美元。
With the bulls suffering $11.45 million in long liquidations, the bearish sentiments are on the rise. Further adding to the declining sentiments, the Dogecoin OI-weighted funding rate has dropped from 0.0497% to 0.0053%.
隨著多頭遭受 1,145 萬美元的多頭平倉,看空情緒正在上升。狗狗幣 OI 加權融資利率從 0.0497% 降至 0.0053%,進一步加劇了市場情緒的下滑。
Conclusion
結論
The OI crash and drop in funding rates reveal a massive turnaround in derivative sentiments, with sellers taking control. Hence, the short-term derivatives market is extremely bearish, with sellers anticipating that the trend will continue.
OI 暴跌和融資利率下降揭示了衍生性商品情緒的巨大轉變,賣方佔據了主導地位。因此,短期衍生性商品市場極度悲觀,賣家預計這一趨勢將持續下去。
However, the technical signals and historical patterns are projecting a bounce-back rally, and with the market as a witness, the meme coins are known for their high fluctuations. Hence, the ongoing correction could be considered healthy if it sustains above the support trendline.
然而,技術訊號和歷史模式都預示著反彈行情,並且在市場的見證下,米姆幣以高波動著稱。因此,如果持續的修正維持在支撐趨勢線之上,則可以被認為是健康的。
In short, optimistic buyers could find the dip as a potential entry opportunity.
簡而言之,樂觀的買家可能會發現下跌是一個潛在的入場機會。
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