
Dogecoin is among several tokens that will have scheduled unlock events over the next week, which could have implications for short-term price movement.
From May 12 to May 19, nearly 96.52 million DOGE, or roughly $22.75 million, will be linearly unlocked, according to Tokenomics data shared by WuBlockchain.
This makes up only 0.06% of the total supply in circulation but comes as the cryptocurrency market experiences increased volatility and pressure to unlock.
With major players like APT, ARB, SOL and WLD also contributing to the volume, over $774 million worth of tokens are scheduled to be unlocked this week.
This kind of unlock often leads to selling pressure, especially if it occurs on weak support levels or during periods of the market that are already overheated.
Dogecoin has shown considerable strength in terms of technicality heading into the unlock window.
DOGE rose as high as $0.25 before encountering resistance after effectively overcoming the psychological $0.20 barrier, as well as the 100 and 200 EMA levels. It is currently in overbought territory with the RSI hovering around 73, suggesting potential exhaustion or a pullback, especially if supply related to unlocking starts to seep into the market. It will be crucial to watch how DOGE moves in the next few days around the 200 EMA, which is currently serving as a support level at $0.21.
If it holds, the token might start moving higher again, heading toward $0.30. A retracement toward the $0.20 or even $0.19 range, however, might occur rapidly if the unlock-related inflows cause a sell-off. It is important for market participants to remain alert.
Though comparatively small in DOGE's case, percentage-wise unlocks of this size have the power to change sentiment, particularly when combined with price saturation or general market uncertainty.
If the demand continues to be strong and unlocks are absorbed calmly, DOGE might benefit further from the positive momentum that was established in early May. Now the crucial question is whether Dogecoin can sustain this momentum or if the rally will be weakened by the unlock wave.