Dogecoin（Doge）可能有望從三年合併中突破，每週圖表顯示

Dogecoin在三年的大部分時間裡消化了2021年的吹式頂部，但受歡迎的模因可能即將離開合併範圍

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has spent the better part of three years digesting its 2021 blow-off-top, but the popular meme-coin may be about to leave the consolidation range behind, according to a fresh weekly chart shared on X by the pseudonymous analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto).

Dogecoin（Crypto：Doge）花了三年的大部分時間消化了其2021年的吹捧頂部，但流行的Meme-Coin可能會將合併範圍拋在後面，這是根據Pseudonymount的X在X上分享的全新圖表（@MaeliusCrypto）。

Dogecoin ‘Looks Incredible’

Dogecoin“看起來不可思議”

The DOGE/USDT pair on Binance is currently (09:08 ET, Friday) printing a weekly candle at $0.1828 (open $0.1705, high $0.1833, low $0.1643), putting it up 7.2% over the seven-day period.

目前，Doge/USDT對Binance（美國東部時間09:08，星期五）以0.1828美元的價格打印一支每週的蠟燭（開放$ 0.1705，高$ 0.1833，低$ 0.1643），在7天期間將其上漲了7.2％。

Two long-term moving averages frame the current structure: the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA-50) at $0.203 in blue and the rising 200-week EMA (EMA-200) at $0.138 in red.

兩個長期移動平均值框架當前結構：50週的指數移動平均線（EMA-50）為0.203美元的藍色，而上升的200週EMA（EMA-200）（EMA-200）為0.138美元，紅色為0.138美元。

Price sliced below the EMA-50 earlier this year, but—crucially in Maelius’ view—never lost the EMA-200, which now sits inside a broad, slate-coloured demand zone running roughly from $0.11 to $0.20.

價格將今年早些時候切成低於EMA-50的價格，但在Maelius的觀點中至關重要，它永遠不會損失EMA-200，該公司現在位於一個寬闊的，板岩色的需求區域內，大約從0.11美元到0.20美元。

A second layer of support comes from an ascending red trend-line that links the October 2023, August 2024 and April 2025 swing-lows. The most recent pullback—labelled “2” on the chart—bounced almost precisely where that diagonal meets the EMA-200 and the lower edge of demand—an area of triple confluence that technicians often see as a textbook springboard for the next advance.

第二層的支持來自上升的紅色趨勢線，該趨勢線鏈接了2023年10月，2024年8月和2025年4月的搖擺低點。最新的回調 - 圖表上的標籤為“ 2”）幾乎確切地恰好是該對角線達到EMA-200和需求的下邊緣 - 技術人員經常將其視為下一個進步的教科書跳板。

Maelius’ primary thesis is based on a nested 1-2, 1-2 Elliott Wave count. The first “1-2” sequence began with a thrust to ~0.2288 in March 2024, retraced to 0.0805 in August the same year, and then ignited a larger impulsive leg that topped near 0.4843 in December last year (labelled the second “1”). The corrective follow-through to 0.1298 in April completed the second “2”.

Maelius的主要論文基於嵌套的1-2，1-2 Elliott Wave計數。第一個“ 1-2”序列始於2024年3月的〜0.2288，同年8月回落至0.0805，然後點燃了一條更大的衝動腿，去年12月在12月的0.4843接近0.4843（標記了第二個“ 1”）。 4月的糾正措施至0.1298完成了第二個“ 2”。

In Elliott terminology, two consecutive 1-2 structures “wind the spring” for wave 3 of (3)—historically the longest and steepest portion of an impulse. Maelius places the coming third wave, its subsequent fourth-wave consolidation, and a final fifth wave in the blank area above current price.

在Elliott術語中，連續兩種1-2個結構“風彈簧”（3）波第3波 - 歷史上是衝動的最長和最陡峭的部分。 Maelius將即將到來的第三波浪潮，隨後的第四波鞏固以及在當前價格高於空白區域的最後第五波。

He predicts DOGE to reach roughly $1 as part of the third wave, followed by a correctional fourth wave below $0.70. The fifth wave is forecasted to reach its climax somewhere between $1.30 and $1.70.

他預測，作為第三波浪潮的一部分，Doge將達到約1美元，其次是低於$ 0.70的懲教第四波。預計第五波將達到1.30美元至1.70美元之間的高潮。

Also visible beneath the price action is the WaveTrend Oscillator (WTO), a momentum indicator closely related to the TSI that measures the distance between an asset’s price and its own smoothed values. The WTO prints two lines and a histogram; a bullish cycle begins when the faster line crosses above the slower one from oversold territory (-60/-53 in the standard settings).

在價格動作下方也可見的是Wavetrend振盪器（WTO），這是一種與TSI密切相關的動量指標，可測量資產價格與其自身平滑值之間的距離。 WTO打印兩條線和一條直方圖；當較快的線從超售區域（標准設置中的-60/-53）上方越過較慢的線上時，看漲的周期就開始了。

That cross just fired on the 1-week timeframe for the first time since the August 2024 low. The histogram has also shifted from deep red to neutral grey, which is similar to the transitions that preceded Dogecoin’s previous vertical advances.

自2024年8月低點以來，該十字架首次在1週的時間範圍內開火。直方圖也已從深紅色轉變為中性灰色，這類似於Dogecoin先前垂直進步之前的過渡。

Putting it Together

將其放在一起

Overall, the chart describes a market that is holding a multi-year demand block, trading above its 200-week EMA, testing—but yet to fully reclaim—its 50-week EMA, and exhibiting a fresh bullish momentum cross. From a pure-chart standpoint, those ingredients satisfy many of the conditions technicians look for when hunting the start of a primary trend leg.

總體而言，該圖表描述了一個持有多年需求障礙的市場，其交易高於其200週的EMA，測試（但尚未完全回收）的50週EMA，並展現出新的看漲勢頭交叉。從純粹的角度來看，這些成分滿足了技術人員在尋找主要趨勢腿的開始時所尋求的許多條件。

“DOGE looks incredible here, despite the fact it went lower as I initially expected (was expecting EMA50 to hold), ” the analyst stated.

分析師說：“儘管事實上，在這裡，Doge在這裡看起來令人難以置信，儘管它正如我最初預期的那樣（預計EMA50會持有）。”

“Respecting major demand area, EMA200 as well as diagonal support and it seems like 1,2,1,2 is completed and now we head for 3rd EW (within larger 3rd). 1W WTO recently crossed, which is also supportive of bottom being in.”

“尊重主要需求區域，EMA200和對角線支撐，似乎已經完成了1,2,1,2，現在我們前往第三個EW（在較大的第3次範圍內）。最近越過1W WTO，這也支持底部。”

At the time of writing, DOGE is changing hands at $0.18445.

在撰寫本文時，Doge以0.18445美元的價格易手。