Coinbase Premium 的三角收斂暗示比特幣價格可能出現重大波動

類似的 Coinbase Premium 模式在 2021-2022 年多頭期間創下了歷史新高。

Bitcoin price has seen a 2.28% rise in the last 24 hours, recovering from a sharp decline and showing a promising sign of climbing back up.

比特幣價格在過去 24 小時內上漲了 2.28%，從大幅下跌中恢復過來，並顯示出回升的良好跡象。

After hitting a local low of $55,629 on Monday morning, Bitcoin began to rise and reached $58,401 by press time. This recent rise follows a steep decline last week, where BTC fell to as low as $52,732. As Bitcoin continues to trade below the crucial $62,000 price level, questions remain about whether this recovery will lead to a sustained rally or another dip.

在周一早上觸及 55,629 美元的局部低點後，比特幣開始上漲，截至發稿時達到 58,401 美元。最近的上漲是在上周大幅下跌之後，BTC 跌至 52,732 美元的低點。隨著比特幣繼續低於 62,000 美元的關鍵價格水平，有關這種復甦是否會導致持續上漲或再次下跌的問題仍然存在。

However, data from the Coinbase Premium is hinting at a potential major price move in the coming days.

然而，來自 Coinbase Premium 的數據暗示未來幾天可能會出現重大價格變動。

Coinbase Premium suggests a major price move coming up

Coinbase Premium 顯示即將出現重大價格變動

One key indicator that analysts are watching is the Coinbase Premium, which reflects the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Binance. According to the latest 1-hour Coinbase Premium chart, the volatility in the premium has decreased, and both the upper and lower bounds of the price range are converging into a triangular pattern.

分析師正在關注的一項關鍵指標是 Coinbase 溢價，它反映了 Coinbase 和 Binance 上比特幣之間的價格差異。根據最新的1小時Coinbase溢價圖表，溢價的波動性有所下降，價格範圍的上限和下限正在收斂成三角形模式。

This pattern is often seen as a sign of an imminent major price movement, especially when it occurs after a period of high volatility.

這種模式通常被視為即將發生重大價格變動的跡象，特別是當它發生在一段高波動期之後時。

Historically, during the 2021-2022 bull market, a similar triangular convergence was observed in the Coinbase Premium before Bitcoin surged to new all-time highs.

從歷史上看，在 2021-2022 年多頭期間，在比特幣飆升至歷史新高之前，Coinbase Premium 也出現了類似的三角收斂。

If this trend holds, the narrowing price gap could indicate that the market is finding its fair value, and a decisive upward or downward move is likely on the horizon.

如果這種趨勢持續下去，價格差距的縮小可能表明市場正在尋找其公允價值，並且可能即將出現決定性的上漲或下跌。

Large investors, such as over-the-counter (OTC) desks and институты, might be engaging in a standoff before the next big shift in Bitcoin’s price.

在比特幣價格發生下一個重大轉變之前，場外交易（OTC）櫃檯和 институты 等大型投資者可能會陷入僵局。

Bitcoin still in a bear phase

比特幣仍處於熊市階段

It’s important to note that, despite the recent gains, BTC is still in a bear phase as it trades below the $62k price level.

值得注意的是，儘管近期有所上漲，但 BTC 仍處於熊市階段，因為其交易價格低於 6.2 萬美元。

Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has been below its 365-day moving average since August 26, signaling bearish market conditions.

自 8 月 26 日以來，比特幣的市值與實現價值 (MVRV) 比率一直低於其 365 天移動平均線，顯示市場狀況看跌。

Analysts suggest that this bear phase could delay any major rally unless Bitcoin breaks out of this consolidation.

分析師表示，除非比特幣突破這種盤整，否則這個熊市階段可能會推遲任何重大反彈。