CME Group的XRP期貨ETF將於2025年5月19日啟動

在美國SEC在Spot XRP ETF上的延遲決定中，這是一個期貨，將於2025年5月19日推出。最近，CME Group的衍生品市場

The US SEC’s delayed decision on the spot XRP ETF has put the spotlight on a futures one that is all set to launch on May 19, 2025.

美國SEC在現場XRP ETF上的延遲決定使人們對2025年5月19日發行的期貨鮮明的決定。

Recently, the derivatives marketplace, CME Group, announced the plans for a Ripple token-based futures exchange-traded fund. Although it is not the desired spot ETF, investors are eyeing this launch for liquidity and to potentially influence the SEC’s decision. Can it also beat the debuts of ETH and BTC futures ETF? Let’s discuss.

最近，衍生品市場CME集團宣布了基於連鎖令牌的期貨交易所基金的計劃。儘管這不是所需的ETF，但投資者正在關注此次發射的流動性，並可能影響SEC的決定。它還可以擊敗ETH和BTC Futures ETF的首次亮相嗎？讓我們討論一下。

CME XRP Futures ETF Launch Confirmed

CME XRP期貨ETF發布已確認

CME Group’s XRP Futures ETF will be going live on May 19, based on the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate. Interestingly, it will be launched in two contract sizes, one being a micro-sized contract of 2,500 XRP and the other larger-sized with 50,000 XRP.

CME Group的XRP期貨ETF將於5月19日基於CME CF XRP-tollar參考率。有趣的是，它將以兩種合同規模啟動，一個是2500 XRP的微型合同，另一個是50,000 XRP。

The Global Head of Cryptocurrency Products at CME Group, Giovanni Vicioso, acknowledged the rising demand for the Ripple token among institutional and retail buyers. More importantly, he highlighted the creation of regulated derivatives for risk management.

CME集團Giovanni Vicioso的全球加密貨幣產品負責人承認，機構和零售買家對漣漪令牌的需求不斷上升。更重要的是，他強調了為風險管理創建受監管的導數。

Amid this, the Ripple Futures launch, the odds of the spot ETF approval by the SEC are rising on the Polymarket, hitting 83% at press time. This is significant as the Solana ETF decision is now pending after the recent approval of the WisdomTree and Global X spot Bitcoin ETFs. The next in line is the Ripple product-based Franklin Templeton spot ETF due for decision on June 17.

在此期間，SEC批准ETF批准的機率在此期間上升，在發稿時達到83％。這很重要，因為在智慧樹和全球X點比特幣ETF的最新批准之後，SOLANA ETF的決定現在正在等待中。下一個是基於波紋產品的富蘭克林·鄧普頓（Franklin Templeton）景點ETF，於6月17日決定。

Can XRP Futures ETF Beat the ETH and BTC Debut?

XRP期貨ETF可以擊敗ETH和BTC的首次亮相嗎？

The CME Group’s XRP ETF launch is a major event for the cryptocurrency. Crypto analyst, Cypress Demanincor, calls it a significant opportunity, claiming that it could bring large liquidity flows.

CME集團的XRP ETF發布是加密貨幣的重大事件。 Cypress Demanincor的加密分析師稱這是一個重要的機會，聲稱它可以帶來很大的流動性流動。

It would join CME’s other regulated crypto products, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana futures ETF. In Q1, they witnessed 141 YoY% with an average daily volume of 198k contracts or $11.3B in notional. Nearly 43k SOL futures were traded, and a similar or better result is expected with the XRP Futures ETF.

它將加入CME的其他受監管的加密產品，包括比特幣，以太坊和Solana Futures ETF。在第1季度，他們目睹了141％的％，平均每日量為198k合同，名義的$ 11.3B。交易了近43k的Sol Futures，XRP期貨ETF預計會產生類似或更好的結果。

Although there’s hype around the Ripple future ETF launch, the odds of its surpassing the ETH and BTC are less.

儘管圍繞著未來ETF的發射涉及炒作，但其超過ETH和BTC的機率卻很少。

Bitcoin Futures ETF (BITO), launched by ProShares, received $1 billion in first-day volume and $570M in initial AUM. Similarly, Ethereum’s three futures ETFs collectively received $1.92M in volume on their first day and nearly $20M in initial AUM.

由Proshares推出的比特幣期貨ETF（BITO）獲得了10億美元的第一天銷量和5.7億美元的初始AUM。同樣，以太坊的三個期貨ETF在第一天共同獲得了192萬美元的數量，最初的AUM收到了近2000萬美元。

Comparing these two and their crypto relative market capitalization and trading volume to XRP’s and other factors, AI Bots like ChatGPT predict that the XRP futures first day volume can come around $60M and estimate AUM at $35M.

將這兩者及其加密相對市值和交易量與XRP和其他因素進行比較，AI機器人像Chatgpt這樣的機器人預測，XRP期貨的第一天數量可能會達到6000萬美元，估計AUM為3500萬美元。

Although this is just a speculation, the statistical approach indicates restricted performance compared to the other two. Additionally, the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF (XXRP) performance and others also hint at a similar result. The main reason behind this is that the investors are actually hooked to the spot XRP ETF launch.

儘管這只是一個猜測，但統計方法表明與其他兩個相比，性能受到限制。此外，每日2倍長2次XRP ETF（XXRP）的性能也暗示了類似的結果。其背後的主要原因是投資者實際上被吸引到XRP ETF發布。

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