Cardano（ADA）價格預測2025：瀏覽波濤洶湧的水域

隨著技術指標向南和長期持有人兌現，Cardano的ADA面臨看跌壓力。反彈是否可能，或者更多的下降方面？讓我們潛水。

Cardano's ADA is currently navigating a sea of mixed signals. Technical indicators are flashing red, long-term holders are taking profits, yet network growth persists. What does this mean for ADA's price in 2025?

Cardano的ADA目前正在瀏覽混合信號的海洋。技術指標正在閃爍紅色，長期持有人正在獲利，但網絡增長仍然存在。這對2025年ADA的價格意味著什麼？

ADA's Price Plunge: What's Happening?

Ada的價格下跌：發生了什麼事？

ADA is currently trading around $0.60, a significant drop from over $0.70 just a week ago. This decline is fueled by bearish technical momentum, with indicators like the Supertrend, DMI, and Awesome Oscillator all pointing downwards. The price action is compressed below key resistance levels, and a falling wedge pattern is forming, which is typically a bullish reversal sign, but it is not confirmed yet.

ADA目前的交易約為0.60美元，從一周前的0.70美元下降了。這種下降是由看跌技術動力推動的，諸如超級趨勢，DMI和令人敬畏的振盪器等指標都向下指向。價格動作壓縮到關鍵阻力水平以下，並且形成了下降的楔形模式，這通常是看漲的逆轉標誌，但尚未確認。

The 4-hour chart reveals a persistent downtrend, marked by successive rejections from the Supertrend and declining EMAs. Price action remains confined below all dynamic averages (20/50/100/200 EMA), with the 200 EMA near $0.6809 acting as the upper boundary of the bearish channel.

4小時的圖表揭示了持續的下降趨勢，其標誌著超級趨勢和EMAS下降的連續拒絕。價格動作仍然局限於所有動態平均值（20/50/100/200 EMA），200 EMA接近$ 0.6809充當看跌通道的上限。

Long-Term Holders Cashing Out

長期持有人兌現

On-chain data reveals a concerning trend: long-term holders are reducing their positions. The 'Age Consumed' metric, tracking the movement of older coins, recently hit a 9-month high. This suggests diminishing confidence among investors and could increase selling pressure, making it harder for ADA to regain positive momentum.

鏈上的數據揭示了一個有關趨勢：長期持有人正在降低其位置。 “年齡消耗”度量標準，跟踪了舊硬幣的運動，最近達到了9個月的高點。這表明投資者之間的信心降低了，並可能增加銷售壓力，從而使ADA更難獲得積極的勢頭。

Potential Reversal Patterns

潛在的逆轉模式

Despite the bearish signals, there are glimmers of hope. Technical analysis reveals a potential triple bottom pattern forming at current price levels, often signaling a bullish reversal. ADA is also trading within a falling wedge formation, which often precedes upward breakouts. Also, CoinMarketCap ranks Cardano’s community sentiment as the 7th most bullish among cryptocurrencies.

儘管有看跌信號，但仍然有希望。技術分析揭示了在當前價格水平下形成的潛在三重底部模式，通常表明看漲逆轉。 ADA還在落下的楔形組中進行交易，這通常是在向上突破之前進行的。此外，CoinMarketCap將Cardano的社區情緒排名為加密貨幣中第七大的看漲。

Key Levels to Watch

觀看的關鍵水平

The $0.60 level is critical support. If it holds, we might see a bounce back toward $0.66 or even $0.70. But if it breaks, $0.57 is the next line of defense. A drop below that could quickly bring $0.50 into play. For a sustained recovery, ADA needs to reclaim the $0.62 level and push toward $0.70.

$ 0.60的水平是關鍵的支持。如果它成立，我們可能會看到返回$ 0.66甚至0.70美元的反彈。但是，如果破裂，$ 0.57是下一個防線。低於低於的下降可能會迅速使$ 0.50發揮作用。為了持續的恢復，ADA需要收回0.62美元的水平，並將其推向0.70美元。

ADA Price Prediction 2025: My Take

ADA價格預測2025：我的看法

Given the current market dynamics, a sustained bullish breakout for ADA in 2025 hinges on a few key factors. First, ADA needs to decisively break above the $0.70 resistance, negating the downtrend. Secondly, we need to see a resurgence in buying volume and a reversal of the long-term holder selling trend. I believe the network growth, with over 5.4 million wallets and continued development activity, provides a solid foundation. Therefore, while short-term volatility is likely, a cautious optimism is warranted, especially if the triple bottom pattern materializes.

鑑於當前的市場動態，ADA在2025年對一些關鍵因素的持續看漲。首先，ADA需要果斷地超過0.70美元的電阻，從而消除了下降趨勢。其次，我們需要看到購買量的複興以及對長期持有人銷售趨勢的逆轉。我相信，網絡增長超過540萬錢包和持續的開發活動，為穩固的基礎提供了堅實的基礎。因此，儘管短期波動率可能是有必要的，尤其是在三重底部模式實現的情況下。

The Bottom Line

底線

Cardano's ADA is facing a challenging period, but not all is doom and gloom. Keep a close eye on those key support and resistance levels, and remember that even in the crypto world, what goes down must eventually come up... or at least, that's what we're hoping for, right?

卡達諾（Cardano）的ADA面臨著一個具有挑戰性的時期，但並非全部都是厄運和憂鬱。密切關注這些關鍵的支持和阻力水平，並記住，即使在加密貨幣世界中，最終會出現的事情……或者至少，這就是我們所希望的，對嗎？