比特幣真的可以達到33萬美元嗎？深入研究模型和指標，暗示了這次牛的壯觀的最後階段。

BTC to $330K? Decoding the Bitcoin Model That's Turning Heads

BTC至$ 330K？解碼轉彎頭的比特幣模型

Bitcoin's been on a wild ride, huh? While the market digests its recent ups and downs, some analysts are eyeing a potential surge to $330,000. Let's break down the models and insights fueling this bold prediction.

比特幣一直在瘋狂騎行，是嗎？儘管市場消化了最近的起伏，但一些分析師將潛在的激增至33萬美元。讓我們分解模型，並深入了解這一大膽預測。

The AVIV Ratio: A Little-Known Indicator with Big Implications

Aviv比率：一個鮮為人知的指標

Ever heard of the AVIV Ratio? Market technician Gert van Lagen is watching it closely. This ratio compares Bitcoin's active capitalization (funds in motion) to its invested capitalization (excluding mining rewards). Van Lagen argues that when this ratio exceeds +3 standard deviations from its historical average, it historically signals a cycle peak.

聽說過Aviv比率嗎？市場技術員Gert Van Lagen正在密切關注它。該比率將比特幣的主動資本化（運動中的資金）與投資資本化（不包括採礦獎勵）進行了比較。範·拉根（Van Lagen）認為，當該比率超過其歷史平均水平+3標準偏差時，它歷史上標誌著周期峰。

The kicker? It hasn't hit that threshold yet. According to Van Lagen’s model, based on historical precedents, this suggests the price could climb to at least $330,000 this cycle before topping out. This model captures the tug-of-war between speculative activity and long-term investments.

踢球？還沒有達到這個門檻。根據范·拉根（Van Lagen）的模型，根據歷史先例，這表明價格可能會在本週期至少攀升至至少330,000美元。該模型捕獲了投機活動和長期投資之間的拔河戰。

Institutional Accumulation: Are the Whales Loading Up?

機構積累：鯨魚加載了嗎？

Technical indicators aside, there's something else brewing: institutional accumulation. Data shows Bitcoin balances on OTC desks (where big players buy and sell) are dropping. CryptoQuant data shows a decrease of over 29,000 BTC in a few months. This decline is attributed to strategic accumulation, including Strategy’s aggressive buying and Metaplanet’s entry.

除了技術指標，還有其他釀造：機構積累。數據顯示，OTC辦公桌上的比特幣餘額（大玩家買賣）正在下降。加密數據顯示，幾個月內降低了29,000多個BTC。這種下降歸因於戰略積累，包括戰略的積極購買和Metaplanet的參賽作品。

Factor in the massive inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, with BlackRock holding a significant chunk, and you've got a recipe for potential price appreciation.

將大量流入的因素變成了斑點比特幣ETF，貝萊德擁有很大的一部分，並且您有一個潛在的價格升值的秘訣。

The Power Law Model: Another Bullish Signal

權力法律模型：另一個看漲信號

Adding fuel to the fire, Bitcoin researcher Sminston With's power law model, incorporating a 365-day moving average, projects a price between $220,000 and $330,000 for this cycle. His analysis challenges the idea that Bitcoin's volatility is diminishing.

比特幣研究人員Sminston通過Power Law模型增加了燃料，並結合了365天的移動平均線，該週期的價格在220,000美元至330,000美元之間。他的分析挑戰了比特幣的波動率正在減少的想法。

A Grain of Salt (and a Whole Lot of Optimism)

一粒鹽（以及很多樂觀）

Now, before you mortgage your house to buy Bitcoin, remember these models aren't crystal balls. The market is volatile, and no model is perfect. However, the convergence of these indicators – an unsaturated AVIV Ratio, institutional accumulation, and a bullish power law model – paints a picture of a market potentially far from its peak.

現在，在您抵押房屋購買比特幣之前，請記住這些模型不是水晶球。市場是動蕩的，沒有模型是完美的。但是，這些指標的融合（不飽和的Aviv比率，機構積累和看漲的權力法模型）描繪了一個可能遠離其頂峰的市場的圖片。

Latest News Flash: Bitcoin Price Update (June 22, 2025)

最新新聞快訊：比特幣價格更新（2025年6月22日）

As of June 22, 2025, Bitcoin's price dipped to USD 1,02,515. But hey, even with short-term fluctuations, the long-term potential remains the exciting part, right?

截至2025年6月22日，比特幣的價格下跌至1,02,515美元。但是，嘿，即使短期波動，長期潛力仍然是令人興奮的部分，對嗎？

BlockDAG: A Different Kind of Opportunity

塊：另一種機會

While we're talking crypto, let's quickly touch on BlockDAG. Forget trading charts; their referral program lets you earn BDAG coins just by sharing a link. Could be a fun way to diversify your crypto portfolio without spending extra.

當我們談論加密貨幣時，讓我們快速談論BlockDag。忘記交易圖表；他們的推薦計劃僅通過共享鏈接就可以賺取BDAG硬幣。可能是使您的加密貨幣組合多樣化的一種有趣的方式，而無需花費額外的錢。

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up!

最終想法：搭扣！

The combination of technical signals and changing investor behavior suggests this bull run might have some serious gas left in the tank. Will Bitcoin hit $330,000? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: it's going to be an interesting ride. So, HODL on tight, folks, and enjoy the show!

技術信號和不斷變化的投資者行為的結合表明，這種公牛運行可能會剩下一些嚴重的汽油。比特幣會達到$ 330,000嗎？只有時間會證明。但是可以肯定的是：這將是一個有趣的旅程。因此，霍德（Hodl）緊緊，伙計們，享受表演！