突發事件：加密貨幣市場因修正、比特幣和山寨幣崩盤而動盪

在加密貨幣市場的調整中，多頭市場的樂觀情緒已經消退。比特幣（BTC）自歷史高點以來已回落 15%，並可能進一步回調。歷史週期表明，比特幣價格可能會出現 30% 的回調，從而回到 51,000 美元左右。山寨幣受到的影響尤其嚴重，過去六個月累積的收益受到許多侵蝕。

Crypto Market Correction Intensifies: Bitcoin and Altcoins Plunge

加密貨幣市場調整加劇：比特幣和山寨幣暴跌

The once-boisterous crypto market has hit a major roadblock, with a prolonged correction sending digital asset prices plummeting. The euphoria that fueled the bull market appears to have evaporated, leaving investors reeling from significant losses.

曾經熱鬧的加密貨幣市場遇到了重大障礙，長期調整導致數位資產價格暴跌。推動多頭市場的興奮情緒似乎已經消失，導致投資者遭受重大損失。

Bitcoin, the Market Bellwether

比特幣，市場領頭羊

Bitcoin (BTC), the bellwether of the crypto market, has been at the heart of the correction. After reaching an all-time high of $73,000 on March 14, BTC has retreated over 15%, erasing months of gains. This downward trend has cast a long shadow over the entire crypto landscape.

加密貨幣市場的領頭羊比特幣（BTC）一直處於調整的核心。在 3 月 14 日觸及 73,000 美元的歷史高點後，BTC 已回落超過 15%，抹去了數月的漲幅。這種下降趨勢為整個加密貨幣格局蒙上了長長的陰影。

Market analyst "Cold Blooded Shiller" believes that Bitcoin remains "the cloud that hangs over crypto." He points to the coin's recent inability to hold its value, citing historical market cycles that have witnessed corrections exceeding 30%.

市場分析師「冷血希勒」認為，比特幣仍是「籠罩在加密貨幣之上的雲」。他指出，該代幣最近無法保值，並引用了歷史市場週期中回檔幅度超過 30% 的例子。

Historical Precedents Raise Concerns

歷史先例引發擔憂

Indeed, historical data provides support for Shiller's concerns. In 2021, Bitcoin underwent a 25% correction early in the year, plummeting from over $40,000 to $30,000 within a month. Later that year, it suffered a brutal 53% pullback, dropping from $63,000 in April to $30,000 in July.

事實上，歷史數據為希勒的擔憂提供了支持。 2021年，比特幣年初經歷了25%的回調，一個月內從4萬多美元暴跌至3萬美元。那年晚些時候，它遭受了 53% 的殘酷回調，從 4 月的 63,000 美元跌至 7 月的 30,000 美元。

Given these precedents, a 30% retracement from Bitcoin's current price of $63,000 would take it back to around $51,000. Such a significant decline could trigger a deeper freefall for altcoins, the smaller and more speculative cryptocurrencies.

鑑於這些先例，如果比特幣目前價格 63,000 美元回撤 30%，其價格將回到 51,000 美元左右。如此顯著的下跌可能會引發山寨幣（規模較小、投機性更強的加密貨幣）的進一步下跌。

Bear Market Warnings Abound

熊市警告比比皆是

Market analyst Willy Woo has warned that "we move to a bear market" if support at $58,900 is breached. He believes that the market is still "weeks away from a proper bullish environment."

市場分析師 Willy Woo 警告稱，如果突破 58,900 美元的支撐位，「我們將進入熊市」。他認為市場「距離適當的看漲環境還需要幾週的時間」。

Glassnode analyst "Checkmatey" has also alluded to the potential for a bear market, stating that it begins "when too many people buy too much coin, too high." However, he remains cautiously optimistic, asserting that the market does not appear to be "top heavy."

Glassnode 分析師「Checkmatey」也提到了熊市的可能性，並表示熊市開始於「當太多人購買太多、太高的代幣時」。不過，他仍保持謹慎樂觀，認為市場似乎並未「頭重腳輕」。

Fear and Greed Index Remains Green

恐懼和貪婪指數保持綠色

Despite the bearish sentiment, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index remains in the green zone, indicating that it is too early to declare a bear market. This suggests that overall sentiment remains positive, despite the recent volatility.

儘管市場情緒看跌，但比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數仍處於綠色區域，顯示現在宣布熊市還為時過早。這表明，儘管近期出現波動，但整體情緒仍然樂觀。

Altcoins Bear the Brunt

山寨幣首當其衝

Altcoins have been disproportionately affected by the correction, with many wiping out six months of gains in just a few weeks. Analyst Luke Martin notes that "some are only 15-20% away from bear market cycle lows."

山寨幣受到調整的影響尤其嚴重，許多山寨幣在短短幾週內就抹去了六個月的漲幅。分析師 Luke Martin 指出，“有些距離熊市週期低點僅 15-20%。”

Rekt Capital highlights that there has historically been a "Pre-Halving Retrace" before Bitcoin's halving event, which reduces the number of new bitcoins produced. This cycle is no exception, with BTC prices currently in a downward trend.

Rekt Capital強調，歷史上在比特幣減半事件之前存在“預減半回溯”，這會減少新比特幣的產生數量。本週期也不例外，比特幣價格目前處於下跌趨勢。

Conclusion

結論

The crypto market correction has cast a pall over the industry, leaving investors grappling with significant losses. Bitcoin's recent weakness has raised concerns about a potential deeper retracement, which could send shockwaves throughout the crypto ecosystem. While some analysts remain optimistic, others warn of the possibility of a bear market. As the market continues to fluctuate, investors are advised to proceed with caution and manage their portfolios accordingly.

加密貨幣市場的調整為整個產業蒙上了一層陰影，讓投資者面臨巨大的損失。比特幣最近的疲軟引發了人們對潛在的更深層回調的擔憂，這可能會給整個加密生態系統帶來衝擊波。雖然一些分析師保持樂觀，但其他分析師警告熊市的可能性。由於市場持續波動，建議投資者謹慎行事並相應地管理其投資組合。