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加密貨幣研究公司 Exponential Science Research 的一項新研究發現,禁止比特幣挖礦以拯救環境的行為會產生相反的效果

A recent study by crypto research firm Exponential Science Research has found that attempts to ban Bitcoin mining in the name of saving the environment may actually have the opposite effect, leading to worse climate outcomes.
加密貨幣研究公司 Exponential Science Research 最近的一項研究發現,以拯救環境的名義禁止比特幣挖礦的嘗試實際上可能會產生相反的效果,導致更糟糕的氣候結果。
The study highlights the complex relationship between mining regulations and environmental impact, demonstrating that a blanket ban on crypto-mining could paradoxically increase overall carbon emissions.
該研究強調了採礦法規與環境影響之間的複雜關係,顯示全面禁止加密採礦可能反而會增加整體碳排放量。
This occurs when miners, faced with bans in regions with renewable energy sources, relocate to areas heavily dependent on fossil fuels for electricity generation.
當礦商面臨再生能源地區的禁令,搬遷到嚴重依賴化石燃料發電的地區時,就會發生這種情況。
“NEW: A paper from Exponential Science finds that in some jurisdictions, a blanket ban on Bitcoin mining can actually lead to higher overall carbon emissions, as affected miners may relocate to regions with fossil fuel-dependent power grids.”
「新消息:Exponential Science 的一篇論文發現,在某些司法管轄區,全面禁止比特幣挖礦實際上可能會導致整體碳排放量更高,因為受影響的礦工可能會搬遷到依賴化石燃料電網的地區。
The precise effect of a mining ban on carbon emissions varies geographically, depending on the local energy infrastructure and the scale of mining activity in the region.
採礦禁令對碳排放的確切影響因地理位置而異,取決於當地能源基礎設施和該地區採礦活動的規模。
For example, a mining ban in Kazakhstan would reduce the Bitcoin network's global annual carbon emissions by 7.63%, while a ban in Paraguay could increase emissions by 4.32%.
例如,哈薩克的採礦禁令將使比特幣網路的全球年度碳排放量減少 7.63%,而巴拉圭的採礦禁令可能會使排放量增加 4.32%。
The environmental impact of Bitcoin mining is also influenced by the energy sources used by mining firms. Coal-powered electric grids, for instance, generate more carbon emissions compared to grids powered by renewable sources like hydropower.
比特幣挖礦對環境的影響也受到礦業公司使用的能源的影響。例如,與水力發電等再生能源供電的電網相比,燃煤電網會產生更多的碳排放。
The United States presents a particularly nuanced case. Bans in regions like Kentucky or Georgia could have a positive impact in terms of carbon emissions, while measures in New York, Texas, Washington, or California could potentially increase the network's carbon footprint.
美國的情況尤其微妙。肯塔基州或喬治亞州等地區的禁令可能會對碳排放產生正面影響,而紐約州、德州、華盛頓州或加州的措施可能會增加網路的碳足跡。
The study also sheds light on China's situation. After banning crypto mining in 2021, some mining operators went underground and continued operating illegally.
該研究也揭示了中國的情況。 2021年禁止加密貨幣挖礦後,一些挖礦業者轉入地下並繼續非法運作。
This continuation of mining activities has had varying environmental impacts across different provinces. Banning mining in Xinjiang would result in a 6.9% reduction in global annual emissions, while a ban in Sichuan could cause an increase of 3.8%.
採礦活動的持續對不同省份產生了不同的環境影響。新疆禁止採礦將導致全球年排放量減少6.9%,而四川禁止採礦可能導致全球年排放量增加3.8%。
The study concludes that the emerging mining jurisdictions will significantly influence the network's environmental impact over the coming years.
研究的結論是,新興採礦管轄區將在未來幾年對網路的環境影響產生重大影響。
The research underscores the importance of adopting science-based and context-specific policy approaches, rather than broad-brush regulations, to effectively address the environmental concerns related to Bitcoin mining.
該研究強調了採用基於科學和針對具體情況的政策方法而不是粗略監管的重要性,以有效解決與比特幣挖礦相關的環境問題。
This nuanced perspective is crucial for policymakers and regulators to achieve the desired environmental outcomes without inadvertently exacerbating the problem.
這種細緻入微的視角對於政策制定者和監管機構實現預期的環境成果、避免無意中加劇問題至關重要。
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