Bitfinex，比特幣和$ 116K：導航電阻

比特幣的掙扎接近$ 116K是值得關注的關鍵水平，例如美聯儲的速率決策和第四季度的季節性即將到來。

Bitfinex, Bitcoin, and $116k: Navigating the Resistance

Bitfinex，比特幣和$ 116K：導航電阻

Bitcoin is currently wrestling with resistance around the $116,000 mark, a level identified by Bitfinex analysts as crucial for any further upward momentum. This comes as the market eagerly awaits the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, creating a cocktail of uncertainty and anticipation.

比特幣目前正在以$ 116,000的抵抗力搏鬥，這是Bitfinex分析師確定的水平，這對於任何進一步的向上勢頭至關重要。這是因為市場熱切地等待美聯儲的利率決定，創造了不確定性和預期的雞尾酒。

The $116k Hurdle: Bitfinex's Perspective

$ 116K的障礙：Bitfinex的觀點

According to Bitfinex analysts, Bitcoin's inability to decisively reclaim $116,000 is a significant headwind. Since hitting an all-time high of $124,100 on August 14th, Bitcoin's strength has waned, and the price now hovers below the cost basis of many recent buyers who jumped in between $108,000 and $116,000. These investors, who bought during the rally earlier in the year, have been quick to take profits, adding to the selling pressure.

根據Bitfinex分析師的說法，比特幣無法果斷地回收116,000美元是一個重大逆風。自8月14日達到歷史最高額度為124,100美元以來，比特幣的實力降低了，現在的價格徘徊在許多近期購買者的成本基礎上，這些買家跌至108,000美元至116,000美元之間。這些投資者在今年早些時候在集會上購買的投資者已經很快獲得了利潤，這增加了銷售壓力。

Fed's Decision: A Potential Game Changer?

美聯儲的決定：潛在的遊戲規則？

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. The market currently anticipates a 25 basis point cut with a high probability. Tom Lee from Fundstrat believes that the first rate cut of the year could be a major catalyst, potentially triggering a “monster move” for both Bitcoin and Ether in the coming months.

所有人的目光都關注美聯儲即將到來的利率決定。該市場目前預計以很高的可能性削減了25個基點。 Fundstrat的湯姆·李（Tom Lee）認為，今年的一流削減可能是主要的催化劑，可能會在未來幾個月內引發比特幣和以太的“怪物舉動”。

However, not everyone is convinced. Crypto analyst Ted suggests that Bitcoin might first dip to $104,000, or even $92,000, before staging a recovery. This highlights the divided sentiment among market participants regarding the Fed's impact.

但是，並不是每個人都相信。加密分析師TED建議比特幣在上台恢復之前首先將比特幣首先降至104,000美元，甚至$ 92,000。這凸顯了市場參與者對美聯儲影響的分歧。

Investor Behavior: Long-Term vs. Short-Term

投資者行為：長期與短期

Bitfinex's Alpha report sheds light on how different investor groups are behaving. Long-term holders remain steadfast, using dips as buying opportunities. In contrast, newer investors, particularly those who bought in the last six months, are more inclined to sell and secure profits. This dynamic is contributing to the resistance at $116,000.

Bitfinex的Alpha報告闡明了不同的投資者群體的行為。長期持有人將堅定不移，以蘸醬作為購買機會。相比之下，較新的投資者，尤其是過去六個月購買的投資者，更傾向於出售和獲得利潤。這種動態促使電阻為116,000美元。

Q4: Historically a Bullish Period

第四季：歷史上是看好時期

Looking ahead, October 1st marks the start of the fourth quarter, historically Bitcoin's best-performing quarter. Since 2013, Q4 has delivered an average return of 85.42%. This seasonal trend, combined with established support levels, could pave the way for a potential recovery.

展望未來，10月1日標誌著第四季度的開始，歷史上比特幣表現最好的季度。自2013年以來，第四季度的平均回報率為85.42％。這種季節性趨勢以及既定的支持水平都可以為潛在的恢復鋪平道路。

The Bottom Line

底線

Bitcoin's path forward hinges on overcoming the $116,000 resistance. The Fed's rate decision and the onset of Q4 are potential catalysts that could provide the necessary boost. However, investor behavior and overall market sentiment will also play crucial roles.

比特幣的前進道路取決於克服116,000美元的電阻。美聯儲的利率決定和第四季度的發作是可能提供必要的提升的潛在催化劑。但是，投資者的行為和整體市場情緒也將扮演至關重要的角色。

So, buckle up, folks! It's going to be an interesting ride. Whether Bitcoin breaks through or takes a detour, one thing's for sure: the crypto market never sleeps. And neither do we, apparently, while trying to decode it all. Keep your eyes peeled and your wits about you, and who knows, maybe we'll all be celebrating a monster move soon enough!

所以，搭扣，伙計們！這將是一個有趣的旅程。無論是比特幣突破還是繞行，肯定是一件事：加密貨幣市場永遠不會入睡。顯然，我們在試圖解碼全部時也沒有。讓您的眼睛剝皮，對您的智慧，誰知道，也許我們都會盡快慶祝怪物的舉動！