我們正處於比特幣威科夫累積階段嗎？

Bitcoinsensus 在 X 上發表的這篇文章表達了對比特幣市場是否是一種正在經歷威科夫累積的貨幣的懷疑

Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range for the past few weeks, and many are wondering whether this is the calm before the storm. Some believe that Bitcoin is preparing for a major bullish rally, while others are not so sure.

過去幾週，比特幣一直在窄幅波動，許多人想知道這是否是暴風雨前的寧靜。有些人認為比特幣正在為大幅看漲反彈做準備，而有些人則不太確定。

One thing that is clear is that large investors are quietly preparing to make the most of any potential uptrend in the Bitcoin market. A recent post by Bitcoinsensus suggests that the Bitcoin market might be in a Wyckoff accumulation phase, but is this really the case?

一件明確的事情是，大型投資者正在悄悄準備充分利用比特幣市場的任何潛在上升趨勢。 Bitcoinsensus 最近發表的一篇文章表明，比特幣市場可能處於威科夫累積階段，但事實真的是這樣嗎？

The post, published on Twitter in X by Bitcoinsensus, expresses its suspicion that whether the Bitcoin market is a currency experiencing a Wyckoff accumulation phase or not.

Bitcoinsensus 在 X 的 Twitter 上發布的這篇文章表達了對比特幣市場是否是一種正在經歷威科夫累積階段的貨幣的懷疑。

We could be witnessing a Wyckoff accumulation phase unfolding right now for $BTC – this pattern is often designed to shake out weaker hands before the price begins its rally. pic.twitter.com/buT7YKJJAt

我們可能正在見證 BTC 的威科夫累積階段正在展開——這種模式通常旨在在價格開始上漲之前擺脫較弱的手。 pic.twitter.com/buT7YKJJAt

Typically, during such a phase, a market experiences an increased participation of large investors and a decreased participation of short-term investors. The market appears to be in a state of either uncertainty or even decline. Once the phase is completed, the market enters a period of growth.

通常，在這個階段，市場會經歷大投資者參與的增加和短期投資者參與的減少。市場似乎處於不確定甚至下跌的狀態。一旦該階段完成，市場就進入成長期。

Bitcoinsensus shares a chart in an attempt to push the theory of the emergence of a Wyckoff accumulation phase in the Bitcoin market.

Bitcoinsensus 分享了一張圖表，試圖推動比特幣市場出現威科夫累積階段的理論。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特幣價格分析

At present, the price of BTC stands at $59,210. In the beginning of the previous month, on 1st Aug, 2024, it was around $65.310. On the last day of that month, it slipped to $58,987 – far better than that month’s low of $53,977. Though on the first day of this month, the market opened with a red candlestick, pulling the price down to $57,333, yesterday, it saw a green candlestick, pushing the price up to $59,133 from $57,333 in a single day.

目前，BTC的價格為59,210美元。上月初，即 2024 年 8 月 1 日，價格約為 65.310 美元。該月最後一天，價格跌至 58,987 美元，遠優於該月低點 53,977 美元。雖然本月第一天，市場以紅色燭台開盤，將價格拉低至 57,333 美元，但昨天，市場以綠色燭台開盤，將價格從 57,333 美元推高至 59,133 美元。

In conclusion, if the Bitcoin market is currently going through a Wyckoff accumulation phase, the market is likely to meet a strong bullish trend in the near future itself. And, in case of such a bullish trend, the biggest beneficiary would be those who are stepping into the market during this phase. But, can we say for certain that the market is in the said phase? It’s a tough question to answer.

總之，如果比特幣市場目前正在經歷威科夫累積階段，那麼市場很可能會在不久的將來遇到強勁的看漲趨勢。而且，在這種看漲趨勢的情況下，最大的受益者將是那些在此階段進入市場的人。但是，我們能肯定地說市場正處於上述階段嗎？這是一個很難回答的問題。